Vianense vs Leça• Liga 3, Portugal

#52.0:2.215:00Tomorrow1.6:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.46PINX3.53PIN22.70DAFMargin at best6.0%Books5Markets38Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.44	3.61	2.60	7.1%
William Hill	2.40	3.25	2.60	10.9%
1xBet	2.44	3.28	2.46	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.44	3.28	2.46	12.1%
Bet365	2.35	3.25	2.55	12.5%
Best of all books	2.44	3.61	2.60	7.1%
Average	2.41	3.33	2.53	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VianenseLeça

Last 10#5Table position#41.25Points per game1.638Form pts · last 5122.0Goals for · last 51.62.2Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4431Defence rating6940Form rating600H2H rating10040Goals model6041Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

Vianense

5W 3D 2L · goals 24:14 · per match 2.4 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	A	Guimaraes B	2-2	D
25 Oct	H	São João Ver	1-3	L
17 Oct	H	Leixoes	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Paredes	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	Estrela Calheta	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Varzim	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Pacos Ferreira	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Minas de Argozelo	8-0	W
23 Aug	A	AD Marco 09	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Trofense	2-0	W

Leça

6W 1D 3L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

31 Oct	H	Varzim	2-0	W
23 Oct	A	Pacos Ferreira	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Penafiel	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	AD Marco 09	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Mortágua	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Trofense	4-1	W
6 Sep	H	Fafe	0-3	L
23 Aug	A	Paredes	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Guimaraes B	0-2	L
9 Aug	H	São João Ver	1-1	D

Head to head

0Vianense wins

0draws

2Leça wins

2 meetings · goals 5:8 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Vianense

17 May 2026Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round	Vianense3-4Leça
26 Apr 2026Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round	Leça4-2Vianense

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Vianense sit 5th with 10 points from 8 games, while Leça are 4th with 13 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	8	6	1	1	17:8	+9	19
1	CF Os Belenenses	8	6	2	0	18:6	+12	20
2	AD Marco 09	8	4	2	2	8:5	+3	14
2	Atlético CP	8	5	2	1	17:7	+10	17
3	Fafe	8	3	4	1	13:7	+6	13
3	Mafra	8	3	3	2	16:11	+5	12
4	Leça	8	4	1	3	11:9	+2	13
4	Caldas	8	3	2	3	10:12	-2	11
5	Vianense	8	2	4	2	12:13	-1	10
5	Oliveirense	8	2	4	2	10:11	-1	10
6	Guimaraes B	8	2	3	3	10:10	0	9
6	União Santarém	8	3	1	4	9:14	-5	10
7	São João Ver	8	2	3	3	9:10	-1	9
7	Louletano	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
8	Varzim	8	3	0	5	11:13	-2	9
8	SC Covilha	8	1	4	3	5:8	-3	7
9	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	2	4	8:13	-5	8
9	Vitória de Sernache	8	2	1	5	6:15	-9	7
10	Trofense	8	1	2	5	4:15	-11	5
10	Lusitano Évora 1911	8	1	3	4	6:11	-5	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.42X27%3.34235%2.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.37 → 2.42 +2.1%X3.33 → 3.34 +0.3%22.62 → 2.57 -1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.80	2.02	5.1%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Best of all books	1.81	2.02	4.8%
Average	1.81	1.94	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.06	9.9%
Best of all books	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Average	1.64	2.09	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vianense 10%Draw 45%Leça 45%

The statistical model rates Vianense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Leça at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 3.34 | 2.57, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Vianense are 5th (10 pts, 12-13 goals), Leça 4th (13 pts, 11-9).

Over their last five matches, Vianense averaged 2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Leça averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Leça.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.41	3.33	2.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.41	1.44	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.80	1.91

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.09

1st half

1	X	2
3.00	2.17	3.14

2nd half

1	X	2
2.79	2.42	2.89

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.80	15.0	26.0
HT X	6.30	5.10	6.80
HT 2	24.0	15.0	4.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	11.3	1.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	9.60
1.5	1.22	3.50
2.5	1.81	1.94
3.5	3.04	1.29
4.5	5.80	1.09
5.5	12.0	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.30
1.75	1.28	3.21
2	1.36	2.81
2.25	1.58	2.22
2.75	2.01	1.70
3	2.39	1.48
3.25	2.70	1.38
3.75	3.75	1.19
4	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.94	1.33
-0.5	2.39	1.55
-0.25	2.13	1.63
0	1.82	1.91
+0.25	1.59	2.19
+0.5	1.49	2.54

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.60	1.01
-1.5	5.15	1.10
-1.25	4.70	1.12
-1	4.20	1.15
+0.75	1.32	3.01
+1	1.15	4.25
+1.5	1.09	5.25

Next Liga 3 matches

6 Nov	União Santarém – Mafra
6 Nov	CF Os Belenenses – Lusitano Évora 1911
7 Nov	Caldas – Oliveirense
7 Nov	São João Ver – Guimaraes B
7 Nov	AD Marco 09 – Paredes
8 Nov	Louletano – SC Covilha

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

1 Nov	Paredes 2-1 São João Ver
1 Nov	Guimaraes B 2-2 Vianense
1 Nov	Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Vitória de Sernache
1 Nov	SC Covilha 0-1 Caldas
31 Oct	Oliveirense 1-2 CF Os Belenenses
31 Oct	Trofense 0-2 AD Marco 09