Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache• Liga 3, Portugal

#91.2:1.815:0001/111.0:2.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78PINX3.60BFR25.00BFRMargin at best4.0%Books8Markets43Rating62 · 39Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 21:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.78	3.47	4.54	7.0%
Betano	1.75	3.45	4.35	9.1%
Betfair	1.62	3.60	5.00	9.5%
Dafabet	1.75	3.55	4.10	9.7%
William Hill	1.75	3.30	4.33	10.5%
1xBet	1.70	3.34	4.52	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.68	3.34	4.40	12.2%
Bet365	1.70	3.30	4.33	12.2%
Best of all books	1.78	3.60	5.00	4.0%
Average	1.72	3.42	4.45	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lusitano Évora 1911Vitória de Sernache

Last 10#9Table position#100.86Points per game0.572Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 52.055Attack rating4553Defence rating4763Form rating380H2H rating076Goals model2462Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

Lusitano Évora 1911

1W 4D 5L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

24 Oct	H	Oliveirense	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	União Santarém	0-3	L
12 Sep	H	SC Covilha	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Louletano	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	CF Os Belenenses	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Mafra	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Caldas	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	Atlético CP	0-1	L
29 Jul	A	Estrela	0-1	L
15 Jul	A	Benfica B	1-1	D

Vitória de Sernache

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

25 Oct	A	União Santarém	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	Brito	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Louletano	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Varzim	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Caldas	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	CF Os Belenenses	1-3	L
30 Aug	A	Nazarenos	3-0	W
23 Aug	A	Oliveirense	2-3	L
16 Aug	H	SC Covilha	0-0	D
8 Aug	A	Mafra	0-5	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Lusitano Évora 1911 and Vitória de Sernache on record.

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 29 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Lusitano Évora 1911 sit 9th with 6 points from 7 games, while Vitória de Sernache are 10th with 4 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	7	5	1	1	15:7	+8	16
1	CF Os Belenenses	7	5	2	0	16:5	+11	17
2	AD Marco 09	7	3	2	2	6:5	+1	11
2	Atlético CP	7	4	2	1	14:6	+8	14
3	Fafe	7	2	4	1	10:6	+4	10
3	Oliveirense	7	2	4	1	9:9	0	10
4	Leça	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
4	União Santarém	7	3	1	3	8:11	-3	10
5	São João Ver	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	9
5	Mafra	7	2	3	2	14:10	+4	9
6	Vianense	7	2	3	2	10:11	-1	9
6	Louletano	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
7	Varzim	7	3	0	4	11:11	0	9
7	Caldas	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8
8	Pacos Ferreira	7	2	2	3	7:10	-3	8
8	SC Covilha	7	1	4	2	5:7	-2	7
9	Guimaraes B	7	2	2	3	8:8	0	8
9	Lusitano Évora 1911	7	1	3	3	6:10	-4	6
10	Trofense	7	1	2	4	4:13	-9	5
10	Vitória de Sernache	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.72X27%3.42220%4.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.10	1.71	6.1%
Betano	2.02	1.72	7.6%
1xBet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.80	3.2%
Average	2.03	1.72	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.91	1.78	8.5%
1xBet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.75	9.8%
Best of all books	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Average	1.90	1.78	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lusitano Évora 1911 45%Draw 45%Vitória de Sernache 10%

The statistical model rates Lusitano Évora 1911 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vitória de Sernache at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.42 | 4.45, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Lusitano Évora 1911 win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Lusitano Évora 1911 are 9th (6 pts, 6-10 goals), Vitória de Sernache 10th (4 pts, 5-15).

Over their last five matches, Lusitano Évora 1911 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Vitória de Sernache averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Lusitano Évora 1911.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.72	3.42	4.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.01	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
2.30	2.09	4.97

2nd half

1	X	2
2.11	2.38	4.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.59	16.2	47.0
HT X	4.31	5.25	9.92
HT 2	23.7	17.8	8.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	8.60	2.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.33
1.5	1.32	2.98
2.5	2.03	1.72
3.5	3.45	1.23
4.5	6.60	1.08
5.5	17.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.85
1.25	1.17	3.98
1.75	1.40	2.65
2	1.53	2.29
2.25	1.79	1.89
2.75	2.33	1.52
3	2.89	1.34
3.25	3.20	1.26
3.75	4.15	1.16
4	6.20	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.07	1.31
-1.25	2.72	1.38
-1	2.37	1.52
-0.75	1.95	1.77
-0.5	1.74	2.03
-0.25	1.49	2.38

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.30	1.06
-2	5.45	1.08
-1.75	3.82	1.19
0	1.27	3.24
+0.25	1.19	3.78
+1.5	1.01	10.5

Next Liga 3 matches

30 Oct	Fafe – Pacos Ferreira
31 Oct	Leça – Varzim
31 Oct	Mafra – Louletano
31 Oct	Trofense – AD Marco 09
31 Oct	Oliveirense – CF Os Belenenses
1 Nov	SC Covilha – Caldas

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

25 Oct	União Santarém 2-1 Vitória de Sernache
25 Oct	Varzim 2-4 Guimaraes B
25 Oct	Vianense 1-3 São João Ver
25 Oct	CF Os Belenenses 1-1 SC Covilha
25 Oct	Louletano 2-2 Atlético CP
25 Oct	AD Marco 09 0-0 Fafe