SC Covilha vs Caldas• Liga 3, Portugal

#80.6:1.415:0001/111.8:2.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.46PINX3.20B36523.00B365Margin at best5.2%Books8Markets41Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 21:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.46	3.05	2.97	7.1%
Betano	2.30	3.20	2.95	8.6%
Dafabet	2.40	3.05	2.80	10.2%
1xBet	2.31	3.02	2.91	10.8%
William Hill	2.30	3.00	2.90	11.3%
Betfair	2.30	3.10	2.80	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.29	3.02	2.83	12.1%
Bet365	2.10	3.20	3.00	12.2%
Best of all books	2.46	3.20	3.00	5.2%
Average	2.31	3.08	2.89	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SC CovilhaCaldas

Last 10#8Table position#71.00Points per game1.144Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 52.225Attack rating7561Defence rating3930Form rating7062H2H rating3858Goals model4249Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

SC Covilha

1W 7D 2L · goals 7:9 · per match 0.7 for, 0.9 against

25 Oct	A	CF Os Belenenses	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Oliveirense	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Lusitano Évora 1911	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Mafra	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Mortágua	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Atlético CP	0-3	L
16 Aug	A	Vitória de Sernache	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	União Santarém	2-0	W
1 May	H	Amora	1-1	D
25 Apr	A	Caldas	1-1	D

Caldas

2W 3D 5L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

24 Oct	H	Mafra	3-3	D
11 Oct	A	Atlético CP	1-4	L
13 Sep	H	Vitória de Sernache	2-0	W
4 Sep	A	União Santarém	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Sintrense	1-3	L
23 Aug	H	Louletano	2-4	L
16 Aug	H	Lusitano Évora 1911	0-0	D
8 Aug	A	CF Os Belenenses	0-1	L
1 Aug	H	Academica	2-2	D
2 May	A	1º Dezembro	1-2	L

Head to head

6SC Covilha wins

3draws

3Caldas wins

12 meetings · goals 16:15 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for SC Covilha

25 Apr 2026Liga 3	Liga 3	Caldas1-1SC Covilha
22 Feb 2026Liga 3	Liga 3	SC Covilha1-0Caldas
9 Nov 2025Liga 3	Liga 3	SC Covilha2-1Caldas
9 Aug 2025Liga 3	Liga 3	Caldas2-1SC Covilha
4 May 2025Liga 3	Liga 3	SC Covilha1-1Caldas
15 Feb 2025Liga 3	Liga 3	Caldas0-1SC Covilha
30 Nov 2024Liga 3	Liga 3	Caldas1-2SC Covilha
18 Aug 2024Liga 3	Liga 3	SC Covilha1-0Caldas
27 Jan 2024Liga 3	Liga 3	Caldas2-1SC Covilha
28 Oct 2023Liga 3	Liga 3	SC Covilha4-3Caldas

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 29 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, SC Covilha sit 8th with 7 points from 7 games, while Caldas are 7th with 8 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	7	5	1	1	15:7	+8	16
1	CF Os Belenenses	7	5	2	0	16:5	+11	17
2	AD Marco 09	7	3	2	2	6:5	+1	11
2	Atlético CP	7	4	2	1	14:6	+8	14
3	Fafe	7	2	4	1	10:6	+4	10
3	Oliveirense	7	2	4	1	9:9	0	10
4	Leça	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
4	União Santarém	7	3	1	3	8:11	-3	10
5	São João Ver	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	9
5	Mafra	7	2	3	2	14:10	+4	9
6	Vianense	7	2	3	2	10:11	-1	9
6	Louletano	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
7	Varzim	7	3	0	4	11:11	0	9
7	Caldas	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8
8	Pacos Ferreira	7	2	2	3	7:10	-3	8
8	SC Covilha	7	1	4	2	5:7	-2	7
9	Guimaraes B	7	2	2	3	8:8	0	8
9	Lusitano Évora 1911	7	1	3	3	6:10	-4	6
10	Trofense	7	1	2	4	4:13	-9	5
10	Vitória de Sernache	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.31X29%3.08231%2.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.23	1.63	6.2%
Betano	2.05	1.70	7.6%
1xBet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Best of all books	2.23	1.80	0.4%
Average	2.10	1.68	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Betano	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.87	7.5%
Average	1.82	1.85	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SC Covilha 35%Draw 35%Caldas 30%

The statistical model rates SC Covilha at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Caldas at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.31 | 3.08 | 2.90, which imply roughly 43.3% for a SC Covilha win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: SC Covilha are 8th (7 pts, 5-7 goals), Caldas 7th (8 pts, 9-12).

Over their last five matches, SC Covilha averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Caldas averaged 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : SC Covilha or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.31	3.08	2.90

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.54	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.61	2.16

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
2.95	2.01	3.61

2nd half

1	X	2
2.69	2.28	3.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.72	14.2	32.0
HT X	5.53	4.83	6.77
HT 2	28.0	15.8	4.83

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.85	8.10	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.84
1.5	1.35	2.86
2.5	2.10	1.68
3.5	3.63	1.21
4.5	7.15	1.08
5.5	21.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.40
1.25	1.19	3.78
1.75	1.44	2.52
2	1.59	2.17
2.25	1.86	1.83
2.75	2.48	1.46
3	3.12	1.30
3.25	3.34	1.24
3.75	4.20	1.16
4	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.81	1.36
-0.5	2.44	1.55
-0.25	1.98	1.76
0	1.68	2.05
+0.25	1.47	2.44
+0.5	1.39	2.89

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.85	1.02
-2	8.30	1.02
-1.5	4.75	1.12
-1.25	4.30	1.15
-1	3.89	1.20
+0.75	1.22	3.50
+1	1.09	5.30
+1.5	1.06	6.30

Next Liga 3 matches

30 Oct	Fafe – Pacos Ferreira
31 Oct	Leça – Varzim
31 Oct	Mafra – Louletano
31 Oct	Trofense – AD Marco 09
31 Oct	Oliveirense – CF Os Belenenses
1 Nov	Lusitano Évora 1911 – Vitória de Sernache

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

25 Oct	União Santarém 2-1 Vitória de Sernache
25 Oct	Varzim 2-4 Guimaraes B
25 Oct	Vianense 1-3 São João Ver
25 Oct	CF Os Belenenses 1-1 SC Covilha
25 Oct	Louletano 2-2 Atlético CP
25 Oct	AD Marco 09 0-0 Fafe