Caldas vs Oliveirense• Liga 3, Portugal

#41.6:1.415:00Tomorrow · Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha1.2:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.81PINX3.25BTN22.51PINMargin at best6.2%Books5Markets38Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.81	3.16	2.51	7.1%
1xBet	2.81	3.05	2.35	10.9%
Bet365	2.75	3.20	2.30	11.1%
William Hill	2.75	2.90	2.45	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.74	3.05	2.33	12.2%
Best of all books	2.81	3.20	2.51	6.7%
Average	2.77	3.07	2.39	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CaldasOliveirense

Last 10#4Table position#51.38Points per game1.2510Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 51.657Attack rating4353Defence rating4767Form rating330H2H rating055Goals model4558Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

Caldas

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

1 Nov	A	SC Covilha	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	Mafra	3-3	D
11 Oct	A	Atlético CP	1-4	L
13 Sep	H	Vitória de Sernache	2-0	W
4 Sep	A	União Santarém	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Sintrense	1-3	L
23 Aug	H	Louletano	2-4	L
16 Aug	H	Lusitano Évora 1911	0-0	D
8 Aug	A	CF Os Belenenses	0-1	L
1 Aug	H	Academica	2-2	D

Oliveirense

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	H	CF Os Belenenses	1-2	L
24 Oct	A	Lusitano Évora 1911	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	SC Covilha	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Penafiel	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Mafra	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Atlético CP	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Penalva Castelo	4-0	W
23 Aug	H	Vitória de Sernache	3-2	W
14 Aug	A	União Santarém	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Louletano	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Caldas and Oliveirense on record.

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Caldas sit 4th with 11 points from 8 games, while Oliveirense are 5th with 10 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	8	6	1	1	17:8	+9	19
1	CF Os Belenenses	8	6	2	0	18:6	+12	20
2	AD Marco 09	8	4	2	2	8:5	+3	14
2	Atlético CP	8	5	2	1	17:7	+10	17
3	Fafe	8	3	4	1	13:7	+6	13
3	Mafra	8	3	3	2	16:11	+5	12
4	Leça	8	4	1	3	11:9	+2	13
4	Caldas	8	3	2	3	10:12	-2	11
5	Vianense	8	2	4	2	12:13	-1	10
5	Oliveirense	8	2	4	2	10:11	-1	10
6	Guimaraes B	8	2	3	3	10:10	0	9
6	União Santarém	8	3	1	4	9:14	-5	10
7	São João Ver	8	2	3	3	9:10	-1	9
7	Louletano	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
8	Varzim	8	3	0	5	11:13	-2	9
8	SC Covilha	8	1	4	3	5:8	-3	7
9	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	2	4	8:13	-5	8
9	Vitória de Sernache	8	2	1	5	6:15	-9	7
10	Trofense	8	1	2	5	4:15	-11	5
10	Lusitano Évora 1911	8	1	3	4	6:11	-5	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.78X29%3.11238%2.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.03	1.79	5.1%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
1xBet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Best of all books	2.03	1.80	4.8%
Average	1.97	1.78	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
Best of all books	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Average	1.70	1.99	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Caldas 45%Draw 45%Oliveirense 10%

The statistical model rates Caldas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Oliveirense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.78 | 3.11 | 2.38, which imply roughly 36% for a Caldas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Caldas are 4th (11 pts, 10-12 goals), Oliveirense 5th (10 pts, 10-11).

Over their last five matches, Caldas averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Oliveirense averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Caldas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.77	3.07	2.39

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.35	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.00	1.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
3.41	2.07	3.01

2nd half

1	X	2
3.12	2.35	2.71

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.37	15.3	26.0
HT X	6.70	5.15	6.10
HT 2	28.5	15.3	3.78

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	9.05	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.15
1.5	1.26	3.20
2.5	1.97	1.78
3.5	3.28	1.25
4.5	7.00	1.08
5.5	15.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.70
1.75	1.35	2.85
2	1.45	2.47
2.25	1.70	2.01
2.75	2.21	1.58
3	2.66	1.39
3.25	2.99	1.32
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.70	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.74	1.43
-0.25	2.36	1.51
0	2.00	1.74
+0.25	1.70	2.04
+0.5	1.52	2.45
+0.75	1.34	2.88

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.05	1.06
-1	5.00	1.10
-0.75	3.41	1.25
+1	1.18	3.90
+1.25	1.14	4.40
+1.5	1.11	4.85
+2.5	1.01	10.0

Next Liga 3 matches

6 Nov	União Santarém – Mafra
6 Nov	CF Os Belenenses – Lusitano Évora 1911
7 Nov	São João Ver – Guimaraes B
7 Nov	Vianense – Leça
7 Nov	AD Marco 09 – Paredes
8 Nov	Louletano – SC Covilha

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

1 Nov	Paredes 2-1 São João Ver
1 Nov	Guimaraes B 2-2 Vianense
1 Nov	Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Vitória de Sernache
1 Nov	SC Covilha 0-1 Caldas
31 Oct	Oliveirense 1-2 CF Os Belenenses
31 Oct	Trofense 0-2 AD Marco 09