OddsFilter

Football Odds Analysis & Predictions

For every upcoming match we compare the win probabilities from a statistical model with the probabilities implied by bookmaker odds. Where the model rates an outcome higher than the market, there is potential value — where it rates it lower, the price may be too short.

New to this? See how our data and model work.

Upcoming analysed matches

(24)
Friendlies ClubsToday12:00UTC
Motor LublinMotor LublinvsWarta PoznańWarta Poznań
45%45%10%

Model favours Motor Lublin win at 45% vs 64.5% implied.

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Friendlies ClubsToday12:00UTC
Cracovia KrakowCracovia KrakowvsPafosPafos
33%33%33%

Model favours Cracovia Krakow win at 33% vs 37.5% implied.

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Friendlies ClubsToday12:00UTC
Jong UtrechtJong UtrechtvsWerder Bremen IIWerder Bremen II
10%45%45%

Model favours Draw at 45% vs 25.9% implied(+19.1 value).

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Friendlies ClubsToday12:00UTC
SonderjyskeSonderjyskevsVikingViking
10%45%45%

Model favours Draw at 45% vs 26.2% implied(+18.8 value).

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Friendlies ClubsToday12:00UTC
VitesseVitessevsRodaRoda
33%33%33%

Model favours Vitesse win at 33% vs 46.7% implied.

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Friendlies ClubsToday12:00UTC
RadomljeRadomljevsHNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
10%45%45%

Model favours Draw at 45% vs 17.9% implied(+27.1 value).

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Friendlies ClubsToday12:00UTC
Sturm GrazSturm GrazvsFK KošiceFK Košice
10%45%45%

Model favours Draw at 45% vs 22.2% implied(+22.8 value).

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Friendlies ClubsToday12:00UTC
Wiener SCWiener SCvsFloridsdorfer ACFloridsdorfer AC
45%45%10%

Model favours Wiener SC win at 45% vs 14% implied(+31 value).

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Youth ChampionshipToday12:00UTC
Nizhny Novgorod U19Nizhny Novgorod U19vsUral U20Ural U20
10%45%45%

Model favours Draw at 45% vs 29% implied(+16 value).

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Super LeagueToday12:00UTC
Yunnan YukunYunnan YukunvsHenan JianyeHenan Jianye
10%45%45%

Model favours Draw at 45% vs 27.5% implied(+17.5 value).

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Premier LeagueToday12:30UTC
Tadamon SourTadamon SourvsAl AnsarAl Ansar
0%50%50%

Model favours Draw at 50% vs 14.6% implied(+35.4 value).

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Premier LeagueToday13:00UTC
NaftanNaftanvsDinamo BrestDinamo Brest
0%50%50%

Model favours Draw at 50% vs 23.6% implied(+26.4 value).

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Friendlies ClubsToday13:00UTC
BrannBrannvsKristiansund BKKristiansund BK
45%45%10%

Model favours Brann win at 45% vs 64.9% implied.

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Premier LeagueToday13:00UTC
MekelakeyaMekelakeyavsHadiya HosaenaHadiya Hosaena
10%45%45%

Model favours Draw at 45% vs 32.7% implied(+12.3 value).

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Friendlies ClubsToday13:30UTC
Sturm Graz IISturm Graz IIvsBudapest HonvedBudapest Honved
45%45%10%

Model favours Sturm Graz II win at 45% vs 16% implied(+29 value).

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Premier LeagueToday14:00UTC
FC AstanaFC AstanavsZhenysZhenys
45%45%10%

Model favours FC Astana win at 45% vs 62.1% implied.

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Friendlies ClubsToday14:00UTC
LokomotivLokomotivvsSpartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
45%45%10%

Model favours Lokomotiv win at 45% vs 81.3% implied.

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Youth ChampionshipToday14:00UTC
CSKA Moskva U19CSKA Moskva U19vsRostov U19Rostov U19
45%45%10%

Model favours CSKA Moskva U19 win at 45% vs 78.7% implied.

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Youth ChampionshipToday14:00UTC
Spartak Moskva U19Spartak Moskva U19vsAkademiya Konoplev U20Akademiya Konoplev U20
35%35%30%

Model favours Spartak Moskva U19 win at 35% vs 73.5% implied.

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Youth ChampionshipToday14:00UTC
Zenit U19Zenit U19vsDinamo Moskva U19Dinamo Moskva U19
50%50%0%

Model favours Zenit U19 win at 50% vs 75.2% implied.

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Youth ChampionshipToday14:00UTC
Fakel U19Fakel U19vsKrasnodar U19Krasnodar U19
0%50%50%

Model favours Draw at 50% vs 16.3% implied(+33.7 value).

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Friendlies ClubsToday14:00UTC
RubinRubinvsFC OrenburgFC Orenburg
35%35%30%

Model favours Rubin win at 35% vs 56.2% implied.

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Friendlies ClubsToday14:00UTC
Farul ConstantaFarul ConstantavsOţelulOţelul
10%45%45%

Model favours Draw at 45% vs 31.7% implied(+13.3 value).

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Friendlies ClubsToday15:00UTC
Biel-BienneBiel-BiennevsYverdon SportYverdon Sport
10%45%45%

Model favours Draw at 45% vs 25.4% implied(+19.6 value).

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How to read an odds analysis

Model probability vs implied probability

Every set of decimal odds carries an implied probability — the break-even chance an outcome needs for the price to be fair, worked out as 100 divided by the odds. Odds of 2.50, for example, imply a 40% chance. Our model probability is an independent statistical estimate of the same outcome. Reading an odds analysis means putting those two numbers side by side: a model probability meaningfully above the implied figure is the signal value bettors look for.

The 1X2 probability bar

The three-part bar on each match splits 100% across a home win (1), the draw (X) and an away win (2) exactly as the model sees it. A lopsided bar points to a clear favourite; an even bar flags a genuinely close game where the draw is often underrated by the market.

The comparison factors

On each match page the analysis breaks the prediction down into the factors that drive it — recent form, attacking and defensive strength, head-to-head record and expected goals. Seeing which factors favour which side explains why the model leans the way it does, rather than asking you to trust a single number.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data and are for analysis only — not betting advice. Odds are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Odds analysis FAQ

What is odds analysis?

Odds analysis compares the probability a statistical model assigns to each match outcome with the probability implied by bookmaker odds. When the model rates an outcome higher than the market implies, that gap points to potential value; when it rates it lower, the market may be overpricing it.

How does OddsFilter generate its predictions?

Each prediction is derived from an API-Football statistical model that weighs recent form, attacking and defensive strength, head-to-head history and goal expectancy. We convert those signals into win, draw and loss percentages and show them next to the average 1X2 odds so you can see where the model and the market disagree.

What does implied probability mean?

Implied probability is the chance an outcome must have for the odds to be a fair bet, calculated as 100 divided by the decimal odds. Odds of 2.00 imply a 50% chance. Comparing implied probability with the model probability is the core of value-focused odds analysis.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. The probabilities are statistical estimates from historical data and are provided for analysis and research only. Odds move until kickoff and no outcome is guaranteed. Always gamble responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose.