Louletano vs SC Covilha• Liga 3, Portugal

#71.0:1.411:0008/110.6:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.18PINX3.15BTN23.45PINMargin at best6.6%Books7Markets40Rating52 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 21:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.18	3.10	3.45	7.1%
Betano	2.15	3.15	3.30	8.6%
Dafabet	2.09	3.10	3.35	10.0%
1xBet	2.06	3.10	3.33	10.8%
William Hill	2.15	2.90	3.30	11.3%
Bet365	2.05	3.10	3.25	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.04	3.10	3.24	12.1%
Best of all books	2.18	3.15	3.45	6.6%
Average	2.10	3.08	3.32	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LouletanoSC Covilha

Last 10#7Table position#81.00Points per game0.884Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 51.063Attack rating3842Defence rating5857Form rating430H2H rating044Goals model5652Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:01 UTC

Louletano

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

31 Oct	A	Mafra	1-2	L
25 Oct	H	Atlético CP	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	Rio Ave	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Vitória de Sernache	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	FC Serpa	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	União Santarém	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Lusitano Évora 1911	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Castrense	1-0	W
23 Aug	A	Caldas	4-2	W
15 Aug	H	CF Os Belenenses	1-3	L

SC Covilha

1W 6D 3L · goals 6:9 · per match 0.6 for, 0.9 against

1 Nov	H	Caldas	0-1	L
25 Oct	A	CF Os Belenenses	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Oliveirense	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Lusitano Évora 1911	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Mafra	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Mortágua	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Atlético CP	0-3	L
16 Aug	A	Vitória de Sernache	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	União Santarém	2-0	W
1 May	H	Amora	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Louletano and SC Covilha on record.

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Louletano sit 7th with 8 points from 8 games, while SC Covilha are 8th with 7 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	8	6	1	1	17:8	+9	19
1	CF Os Belenenses	8	6	2	0	18:6	+12	20
2	AD Marco 09	8	4	2	2	8:5	+3	14
2	Atlético CP	8	5	2	1	17:7	+10	17
3	Fafe	8	3	4	1	13:7	+6	13
3	Mafra	8	3	3	2	16:11	+5	12
4	Leça	8	4	1	3	11:9	+2	13
4	Caldas	8	3	2	3	10:12	-2	11
5	Vianense	8	2	4	2	12:13	-1	10
5	Oliveirense	8	2	4	2	10:11	-1	10
6	Guimaraes B	8	2	3	3	10:10	0	9
6	União Santarém	8	3	1	4	9:14	-5	10
7	São João Ver	8	2	3	3	9:10	-1	9
7	Louletano	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
8	Varzim	8	3	0	5	11:13	-2	9
8	SC Covilha	8	1	4	3	5:8	-3	7
9	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	2	4	8:13	-5	8
9	Vitória de Sernache	8	2	1	5	6:15	-9	7
10	Trofense	8	1	2	5	4:15	-11	5
10	Lusitano Évora 1911	8	1	3	4	6:11	-5	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.10X29%3.08227%3.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
1xBet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Best of all books	2.30	1.62	5.2%
Average	2.21	1.60	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.90	1.78	8.8%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.76	10.0%
Best of all books	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Average	1.89	1.78	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Louletano 45%Draw 45%SC Covilha 10%

The statistical model rates Louletano at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and SC Covilha at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.08 | 3.32, which imply roughly 47.6% for a Louletano win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Louletano are 7th (8 pts, 10-12 goals), SC Covilha 8th (7 pts, 5-8).

Over their last five matches, Louletano averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; SC Covilha averaged 0.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Louletano or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	3.08	3.32

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.62	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.53	2.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
2.78	1.99	4.04

2nd half

1	X	2
2.50	2.27	3.64

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.42	16.0	37.7
HT X	5.08	4.48	7.20
HT 2	28.3	15.8	5.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	8.30	2.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.39
1.5	1.37	2.76
2.5	2.21	1.60
3.5	3.90	1.19
4.5	7.65	1.07
5.5	23.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.55
1.25	1.19	3.74
1.75	1.47	2.44
2	1.64	2.09
2.25	1.92	1.78
2.75	2.56	1.43
3	3.29	1.27
3.25	3.58	1.21
4	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.31	1.27
-0.75	2.47	1.46
-0.5	2.12	1.67
-0.25	1.81	1.91
0	1.51	2.39
+0.25	1.36	2.82

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.05	1.02
-2	9.00	1.01
-1.5	4.25	1.15
-1.25	3.78	1.19
+0.5	1.30	3.34
+0.75	1.15	4.25
+1	1.04	6.85
+1.5	1.02	8.10

Next Liga 3 matches

6 Nov	União Santarém – Mafra
6 Nov	CF Os Belenenses – Lusitano Évora 1911
7 Nov	Caldas – Oliveirense
7 Nov	São João Ver – Guimaraes B
7 Nov	Vianense – Leça
7 Nov	AD Marco 09 – Paredes

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

1 Nov	Paredes 2-1 São João Ver
1 Nov	Guimaraes B 2-2 Vianense
1 Nov	Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Vitória de Sernache
1 Nov	SC Covilha 0-1 Caldas
31 Oct	Oliveirense 1-2 CF Os Belenenses
31 Oct	Trofense 0-2 AD Marco 09