CF Os Belenenses vs Lusitano Évora 1911• Liga 3, Portugal

#11.8:1.020:00Today · Lisbon0.8:1.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60BTNX3.90BFR26.00B365Margin at best4.8%Books9Markets47Rating75 · 26Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 14:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.56	3.86	5.76	7.4%
Dafabet	1.58	3.85	5.40	7.8%
Betano	1.57	3.70	5.40	9.2%
William Hill	1.57	3.50	5.50	10.4%
Betfair	1.50	3.90	5.50	10.5%
1xBet	1.51	3.64	5.83	10.9%
Bet365	1.48	3.75	6.00	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.50	3.64	5.55	12.2%
SBO	1.48	3.36	4.84	18.0%
Best of all books	1.58	3.90	6.00	5.6%
Average	1.53	3.69	5.53	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CF Os BelenensesLusitano Évora 1911

Last 10#1Table position#102.50Points per game0.758Form pts · last 521.8Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.869Attack rating3164Defence rating3685Form rating15100H2H rating0100Goals model075Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 18:30 UTC

CF Os Belenenses

7W 2D 1L · goals 24:11 · per match 2.4 for, 1.1 against

31 Oct	A	Oliveirense	2-1	W
25 Oct	H	SC Covilha	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Arouca	3-4	L
11 Oct	A	Mafra	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Beira-Mar	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Atlético CP	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Vitória de Sernache	3-1	W
30 Aug	A	Lusitano Évora 1911	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	União Santarém	5-0	W
15 Aug	A	Louletano	3-1	W

Lusitano Évora 1911

1W 3D 6L · goals 7:14 · per match 0.7 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	H	Vitória de Sernache	0-1	L
24 Oct	H	Oliveirense	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	União Santarém	0-3	L
12 Sep	H	SC Covilha	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Louletano	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	CF Os Belenenses	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Mafra	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Caldas	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	Atlético CP	0-1	L
29 Jul	A	Estrela	0-1	L

Head to head

3CF Os Belenenses wins

0draws

0Lusitano Évora 1911 wins

3 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for CF Os Belenenses

30 Aug 2026Taça de Portugal	Taça de Portugal	Lusitano Évora 19111-2CF Os Belenenses
7 Dec 2025Liga 3	Liga 3	Lusitano Évora 19110-1CF Os Belenenses
23 Aug 2025Liga 3	Liga 3	CF Os Belenenses1-0Lusitano Évora 1911

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, CF Os Belenenses sit 1st with 20 points from 8 games, while Lusitano Évora 1911 are 10th with 6 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	8	6	1	1	17:8	+9	19
1	CF Os Belenenses	8	6	2	0	18:6	+12	20
2	AD Marco 09	8	4	2	2	8:5	+3	14
2	Atlético CP	8	5	2	1	17:7	+10	17
3	Fafe	8	3	4	1	13:7	+6	13
3	Mafra	8	3	3	2	16:11	+5	12
4	Leça	8	4	1	3	11:9	+2	13
4	Caldas	8	3	2	3	10:12	-2	11
5	Vianense	8	2	4	2	12:13	-1	10
5	Oliveirense	8	2	4	2	10:11	-1	10
6	Guimaraes B	8	2	3	3	10:10	0	9
6	União Santarém	8	3	1	4	9:14	-5	10
7	São João Ver	8	2	3	3	9:10	-1	9
7	Louletano	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
8	Varzim	8	3	0	5	11:13	-2	9
8	SC Covilha	8	1	4	3	5:8	-3	7
9	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	2	4	8:13	-5	8
9	Vitória de Sernache	8	2	1	5	6:15	-9	7
10	Trofense	8	1	2	5	4:15	-11	5
10	Lusitano Évora 1911	8	1	3	4	6:11	-5	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.53X24%3.69216%5.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.58 → 1.53 -3.2%X3.65 → 3.69 +1.1%25.28 → 5.48 +3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.03	1.76	6.1%
Betano	2.00	1.72	8.1%
1xBet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Best of all books	2.05	1.76	5.6%
Average	2.01	1.73	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Betano	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.68	9.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Average	1.98	1.71	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CF Os Belenenses 50%Draw 50%Lusitano Évora 1911 0%

The statistical model rates CF Os Belenenses at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Lusitano Évora 1911 at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 3.69 | 5.48, which imply roughly 65.4% for a CF Os Belenenses win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: CF Os Belenenses are 1st (20 pts, 18-6 goals), Lusitano Évora 1911 10th (6 pts, 6-11).

Over their last five matches, CF Os Belenenses averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Lusitano Évora 1911 averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : CF Os Belenenses or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.53	3.69	5.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.29	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.98	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
2.10	2.15	5.61

2nd half

1	X	2
1.94	2.44	5.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.36	16.6	48.6
HT X	4.23	5.31	10.9
HT 2	23.0	17.1	8.88

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.39	8.60	3.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.63
1.5	1.31	3.06
2.5	2.01	1.73
3.5	3.43	1.24
4.5	6.30	1.09
5.5	17.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.70
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.38	2.72
2	1.50	2.36
2.25	1.76	1.96
2.75	2.28	1.54
3	2.83	1.35
3.25	3.14	1.27
4	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.61	1.43
-1.25	2.28	1.55
-1	1.98	1.77
-0.75	1.69	2.06
-0.5	1.58	2.32
-0.25	1.35	2.92

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	5.50	1.15
-2.5	4.98	1.13
-2.25	3.90	1.24
-2	4.15	1.18
-1.75	3.18	1.30
0	1.17	4.31
+0.25	1.13	5.03
+0.5	1.13	5.90
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.97	1.81

Next Liga 3 matches

6 Nov	União Santarém – Mafra
7 Nov	Caldas – Oliveirense
7 Nov	São João Ver – Guimaraes B
7 Nov	Vianense – Leça
7 Nov	AD Marco 09 – Paredes
8 Nov	Louletano – SC Covilha

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

1 Nov	Paredes 2-1 São João Ver
1 Nov	Guimaraes B 2-2 Vianense
1 Nov	Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Vitória de Sernache
1 Nov	SC Covilha 0-1 Caldas
31 Oct	Oliveirense 1-2 CF Os Belenenses
31 Oct	Trofense 0-2 AD Marco 09