Oliveirense vs CF Os Belenenses• Liga 3, Portugal

#31.6:1.617:30Tomorrow · Estadio Carlos Osorio, Oliveira de Azemeis2.4:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20DAFX3.50B36522.19PINMargin at best5.5%Books8Markets40Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 05:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.13	3.39	2.19	7.1%
Dafabet	3.20	3.40	2.12	7.8%
Betano	3.05	3.35	2.15	9.1%
Betfair	3.10	3.40	2.05	10.5%
1xBet	3.10	3.28	2.08	10.8%
William Hill	3.00	3.25	2.10	11.7%
Bet365	3.10	3.50	1.95	12.1%
Marathonbet	3.02	3.28	2.06	12.1%
Best of all books	3.20	3.50	2.19	5.5%
Average	3.09	3.36	2.09	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

OliveirenseCF Os Belenenses

Last 10#3Table position#11.43Points per game2.435Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 52.41.6Goals against · last 50.840Attack rating6033Defence rating6742Form rating580H2H rating10040Goals model6036Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

Oliveirense

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

24 Oct	A	Lusitano Évora 1911	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	SC Covilha	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Penafiel	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Mafra	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Atlético CP	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Penalva Castelo	4-0	W
23 Aug	H	Vitória de Sernache	3-2	W
14 Aug	A	União Santarém	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Louletano	0-0	D
17 May	H	Felgueiras 1932	1-5	L

CF Os Belenenses

7W 2D 1L · goals 23:10 · per match 2.3 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	H	SC Covilha	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Arouca	3-4	L
11 Oct	A	Mafra	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Beira-Mar	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Atlético CP	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Vitória de Sernache	3-1	W
30 Aug	A	Lusitano Évora 1911	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	União Santarém	5-0	W
15 Aug	A	Louletano	3-1	W
8 Aug	H	Caldas	1-0	W

Head to head

0Oliveirense wins

0draws

2CF Os Belenenses wins

2 meetings · goals 1:3 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Oliveirense

21 Apr 2024Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Oliveirense1-2CF Os Belenenses
10 Dec 2023Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	CF Os Belenenses1-0Oliveirense

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 29 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Oliveirense sit 3rd with 10 points from 7 games, while CF Os Belenenses are 1st with 17 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	7	5	1	1	15:7	+8	16
1	CF Os Belenenses	7	5	2	0	16:5	+11	17
2	AD Marco 09	7	3	2	2	6:5	+1	11
2	Atlético CP	7	4	2	1	14:6	+8	14
3	Fafe	7	2	4	1	10:6	+4	10
3	Oliveirense	7	2	4	1	9:9	0	10
4	Leça	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
4	União Santarém	7	3	1	3	8:11	-3	10
5	São João Ver	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	9
5	Mafra	7	2	3	2	14:10	+4	9
6	Vianense	7	2	3	2	10:11	-1	9
6	Louletano	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
7	Varzim	7	3	0	4	11:11	0	9
7	Caldas	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8
8	Pacos Ferreira	7	2	2	3	7:10	-3	8
8	SC Covilha	7	1	4	2	5:7	-2	7
9	Guimaraes B	7	2	2	3	8:8	0	8
9	Lusitano Évora 1911	7	1	3	3	6:10	-4	6
10	Trofense	7	1	2	4	4:13	-9	5
10	Vitória de Sernache	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.09X27%3.36244%2.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.81	2.01	5.0%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Best of all books	1.81	2.01	5.0%
Average	1.78	1.96	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Betano	1.62	2.12	8.9%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.09	10.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Average	1.62	2.12	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Oliveirense 10%Draw 45%CF Os Belenenses 45%

The statistical model rates Oliveirense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and CF Os Belenenses at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.09 | 3.36 | 2.09, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Oliveirense are 3rd (10 pts, 9-9 goals), CF Os Belenenses 1st (17 pts, 16-5).

Over their last five matches, Oliveirense averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; CF Os Belenenses averaged 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CF Os Belenenses.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.09	3.36	2.09

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.64	1.30	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.35	1.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.12

1st half

1	X	2
3.61	2.18	2.67

2nd half

1	X	2
3.28	2.47	2.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.00	14.5	22.7
HT X	7.30	5.47	5.47
HT 2	29.3	14.5	3.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.21	11.8	1.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.15
1.5	1.22	3.60
2.5	1.78	1.96
3.5	2.84	1.34
4.5	5.25	1.10
5.5	9.15	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.40
1.75	1.27	3.27
2	1.34	2.88
2.25	1.55	2.26
2.75	1.97	1.73
3	2.30	1.52
3.25	2.62	1.41
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.04	1.36
-0.25	2.62	1.41
0	2.27	1.56
+0.25	1.87	1.85
+0.5	1.70	2.10
+0.75	1.46	2.46

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.75	1.04
-1	5.75	1.07
-0.75	3.82	1.18
+1	1.29	3.18
+1.25	1.21	3.58
+1.5	1.17	4.00
+2	1.02	7.80
+2.5	1.01	8.70

Next Liga 3 matches

30 Oct	Fafe – Pacos Ferreira
31 Oct	Leça – Varzim
31 Oct	Mafra – Louletano
31 Oct	Trofense – AD Marco 09
1 Nov	SC Covilha – Caldas
1 Nov	Lusitano Évora 1911 – Vitória de Sernache

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

25 Oct	União Santarém 2-1 Vitória de Sernache
25 Oct	Varzim 2-4 Guimaraes B
25 Oct	Vianense 1-3 São João Ver
25 Oct	CF Os Belenenses 1-1 SC Covilha
25 Oct	Louletano 2-2 Atlético CP
25 Oct	AD Marco 09 0-0 Fafe