Guimaraes B vs Vianense• Liga 3, Portugal

#61.0:1.02-2FT01/11 · Academia Vitoria SC1.6:2.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80BTNX3.60BFR24.411XBMargin at best6.0%Books8Markets47Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.78	3.60	4.30	7.2%
Dafabet	1.79	3.60	4.10	8.0%
Betano	1.80	3.60	3.90	9.0%
Betfair	1.70	3.60	4.20	10.4%
1xBet	1.68	3.50	4.41	10.8%
William Hill	1.75	3.30	4.20	11.3%
Bet365	1.75	3.50	3.90	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.66	3.50	4.30	12.1%
Best of all books	1.80	3.60	4.41	6.0%
Average	1.74	3.52	4.16	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Guimaraes BVianense

Last 10#6Table position#51.13Points per game1.255Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 52.238Attack rating6269Defence rating3150Form rating50100H2H rating070Goals model3061Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

Guimaraes B

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

1 Nov	H	Vianense	2-2	D
25 Oct	A	Varzim	4-2	W
11 Oct	H	Pacos Ferreira	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	AD Marco 09	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Trofense	0-0	D
21 Aug	A	Fafe	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Leça	2-0	W
7 Aug	A	Paredes	1-3	L
25 Jul	A	Chaves	3-2	W
16 May	H	Amarante	1-3	L

Vianense

5W 3D 2L · goals 24:14 · per match 2.4 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	A	Guimaraes B	2-2	D
25 Oct	H	São João Ver	1-3	L
17 Oct	H	Leixoes	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Paredes	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	Estrela Calheta	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Varzim	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Pacos Ferreira	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Minas de Argozelo	8-0	W
23 Aug	A	AD Marco 09	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Trofense	2-0	W

Head to head

2Guimaraes B wins

0draws

0Vianense wins

2 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Guimaraes B

13 Apr 2025Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A	Guimaraes B2-1Vianense
5 Jan 2025Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A	Vianense0-2Guimaraes B

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Guimaraes B sit 6th with 9 points from 8 games, while Vianense are 5th with 10 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	8	6	1	1	17:8	+9	19
1	CF Os Belenenses	8	6	2	0	18:6	+12	20
2	AD Marco 09	8	4	2	2	8:5	+3	14
2	Atlético CP	8	5	2	1	17:7	+10	17
3	Fafe	8	3	4	1	13:7	+6	13
3	Mafra	8	3	3	2	16:11	+5	12
4	Leça	8	4	1	3	11:9	+2	13
4	Caldas	8	3	2	3	10:12	-2	11
5	Vianense	8	2	4	2	12:13	-1	10
5	Oliveirense	8	2	4	2	10:11	-1	10
6	Guimaraes B	8	2	3	3	10:10	0	9
6	União Santarém	8	3	1	4	9:14	-5	10
7	São João Ver	8	2	3	3	9:10	-1	9
7	Louletano	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
8	Varzim	8	3	0	5	11:13	-2	9
8	SC Covilha	8	1	4	3	5:8	-3	7
9	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	2	4	8:13	-5	8
9	Vitória de Sernache	8	2	1	5	6:15	-9	7
10	Trofense	8	1	2	5	4:15	-11	5
10	Lusitano Évora 1911	8	1	3	4	6:11	-5	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.74X26%3.54222%4.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.77 → 1.74 -1.7%X3.48 → 3.53 +1.4%23.99 → 4.16 +4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.88	1.92	5.3%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Best of all books	1.88	1.95	4.5%
Average	1.84	1.88	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Betano	1.78	1.90	8.8%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.90	9.8%
Best of all books	1.78	1.95	7.5%
Average	1.76	1.92	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guimaraes B 45%Draw 45%Vianense 10%

The statistical model rated Guimaraes B at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vianense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.54 | 4.19, which imply roughly 57.5% for a Guimaraes B win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Guimaraes B are 6th (9 pts, 10-10 goals), Vianense 5th (10 pts, 12-13).

Over their last five matches, Guimaraes B averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Vianense averaged 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Guimaraes B or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.74	3.53	4.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.95	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.91

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
2.31	2.17	4.59

2nd half

1	X	2
2.10	2.49	4.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.80	15.3	36.7
HT X	4.70	5.50	8.62
HT 2	22.7	16.2	6.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	10.9	2.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.32
1.5	1.24	3.40
2.5	1.84	1.88
3.5	3.03	1.30
4.5	5.50	1.09
5.5	13.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.80
1.75	1.29	3.11
2	1.38	2.70
2.25	1.61	2.16
2.75	2.05	1.66
3	2.45	1.46
3.25	2.74	1.37
3.75	3.75	1.19
4	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.96	1.34
-1.25	2.64	1.42
-1	2.32	1.55
-0.75	1.94	1.79
-0.5	1.77	2.01
-0.25	1.51	2.37

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.00	1.10
-2.5	5.93	1.09
-2.25	5.00	1.17
-2	5.00	1.12
-1.75	3.62	1.23
0	1.29	3.22
+0.25	1.23	3.62
+0.5	1.23	4.10
+0.75	1.15	5.50
+1	1.03	7.85
+1.5	1.04	8.55

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.85	1.95

Next Liga 3 matches

6 Nov	União Santarém – Mafra
6 Nov	CF Os Belenenses – Lusitano Évora 1911
7 Nov	Caldas – Oliveirense
7 Nov	São João Ver – Guimaraes B
7 Nov	Vianense – Leça
7 Nov	AD Marco 09 – Paredes

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

1 Nov	Paredes 2-1 São João Ver
1 Nov	Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Vitória de Sernache
1 Nov	SC Covilha 0-1 Caldas
31 Oct	Oliveirense 1-2 CF Os Belenenses
31 Oct	Trofense 0-2 AD Marco 09
31 Oct	Leça 2-0 Varzim