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Paredes vs São João Ver• Liga 3, Portugal

#12.2:1.22-1FT01/11 · Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes1.2:0.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62BTNX4.16PIN26.261XBMargin at best1.7%Books8Markets52Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.504.136.167.1%
Dafabet1.504.006.008.3%
Betano1.623.704.909.2%
1xBet1.453.856.2610.9%
Bet3651.453.905.7512.0%
Marathonbet1.443.855.9512.2%
Betfair1.444.005.5012.6%
William Hill1.443.805.8013.0%
Best of all books1.624.136.261.9%
Average1.483.905.7910.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ParedesSão João Ver
Last 10#1Table position#72.38Points per game1.1313Form pts · last 582.2Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 50.865Attack rating3540Defence rating6056Form rating4438H2H rating6261Goals model3949Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

Paredes

8W 1D 1L · goals 23:9 · per match 2.3 for, 0.9 against

1 NovHSão João Ver2-1W
24 OctHTrofense4-0W
18 OctHFamalicao1-0W
10 OctAVianense3-3D
20 SepHMaria da Fonte5-1W
13 SepHFafe2-1W
5 SepAVarzim1-0W
30 AugAErmesinde3-1W
23 AugHLeça1-2L
15 AugAPacos Ferreira1-0W

São João Ver

2W 5D 3L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

1 NovAParedes1-2L
25 OctAVianense3-1W
11 OctHVarzim2-1W
13 SepAPacos Ferreira1-1D
6 SepHAD Marco 090-0D
30 AugAFlorgrade0-0D
22 AugATrofense0-1L
16 AugHFafe1-3L
9 AugALeça1-1D
29 JulATondela1-1D

Head to head

1Paredes wins
6draws
2São João Ver wins

9 meetings · goals 6:10 · last 9: 1W 6D 2L for Paredes

18 Apr 2026Liga 3Liga 3Paredes0-0São João Ver
15 Mar 2026Liga 3Liga 3São João Ver3-1Paredes
25 Jan 2026Liga 3Liga 3São João Ver1-2Paredes
2 Nov 2025Liga 3Liga 3Paredes0-0São João Ver
20 Oct 2024Taça de PortugalTaça de PortugalSão João Ver4-1Paredes
18 Feb 2024Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BSão João Ver1-1Paredes
28 Oct 2023Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BParedes0-0São João Ver
4 Mar 2023Liga 3Liga 3São João Ver1-1Paredes
26 Nov 2022Liga 3Liga 3Paredes0-0São João Ver

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Paredes sit 1st with 19 points from 8 games, while São João Ver are 7th with 9 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Paredes861117:8+919
1CF Os Belenenses862018:6+1220
2AD Marco 0984228:5+314
2Atlético CP852117:7+1017
3Fafe834113:7+613
3Mafra833216:11+512
4Leça841311:9+213
4Caldas832310:12-211
5Vianense824212:13-110
5Oliveirense824210:11-110
6Guimaraes B823310:1009
6União Santarém83149:14-510
7São João Ver82339:10-19
7Louletano822410:12-28
8Varzim830511:13-29
8SC Covilha81435:8-37
9Pacos Ferreira82248:13-58
9Vitória de Sernache82156:15-97
10Trofense81254:15-115
10Lusitano Évora 191181346:11-56

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.48X23%3.90216%5.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Oct 00:011 Nov 16:011 1.48X 3.912 5.80
11.60 → 1.48 -7.5%X3.65 → 3.91 +7.1%24.85 → 5.80 +19.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.901.905.3%
Pinnacle1.901.905.3%
Betano1.901.808.2%
1xBet1.841.839.0%
Marathonbet1.841.839.0%
Best of all books1.901.905.3%
Average1.881.857.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.951.748.8%
Betano1.901.788.8%
William Hill1.851.809.6%
Marathonbet1.951.719.8%
Best of all books1.951.806.8%
Average1.911.769.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Paredes 10%Draw 45%São João Ver 45%

The statistical model rated Paredes at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and São João Ver at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.48 | 3.90 | 5.79, which imply roughly 25.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Paredes are 1st (19 pts, 17-8 goals), São João Ver 7th (9 pts, 9-10).

Over their last five matches, Paredes averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; São João Ver averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or São João Ver.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.483.905.79

Double chance

1XX212
1.102.351.19

Draw no bet

12
1.213.98

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.911.76

1st half

1X2
2.022.245.86

2nd half

1X2
1.872.555.38

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3317.350.3
HT X4.235.7011.8
HT 222.318.39.25

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.459.153.20

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.25
1.51.273.22
2.51.881.85
3.53.071.29
4.55.501.10
5.513.01.03
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.027.70
1.751.322.99
21.412.62
2.251.632.12
2.752.081.65
32.461.45
3.252.781.36
3.753.721.20
45.001.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.761.39
-1.52.331.53
-1.252.071.67
-11.861.88
-0.751.592.20
-0.51.492.53
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.501.01
-37.901.02
-2.755.251.16
-2.54.301.17
-2.253.701.26
-23.541.24
-0.251.323.10
01.174.35
+0.251.125.08
+0.51.145.75
+0.751.107.00
+11.019.00
+1.51.029.20

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.672.10
91.921.88

Next Liga 3 matches

6 NovUnião Santarém – Mafra
6 NovCF Os Belenenses – Lusitano Évora 1911
7 NovCaldas – Oliveirense
7 NovSão João Ver – Guimaraes B
7 NovVianense – Leça
7 NovAD Marco 09 – Paredes

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

1 NovGuimaraes B 2-2 Vianense
1 NovLusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Vitória de Sernache
1 NovSC Covilha 0-1 Caldas
31 OctOliveirense 1-2 CF Os Belenenses
31 OctTrofense 0-2 AD Marco 09
31 OctLeça 2-0 Varzim