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Qabala vs Sabah FA• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#100.6:1.80-4FT17/10 · Gabala2.4:0.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.711XBX4.33B36521.55PINMargin at best5.1%Books6Markets74Rating17 · 83Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 11:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle5.434.001.557.9%
BetVictor5.254.001.539.4%
1xBet5.713.881.4810.9%
Marathonbet5.453.881.4712.1%
William Hill5.003.701.5312.4%
Bet3658.004.331.3012.5%
Best of all books5.714.331.555.1%
Average5.813.961.4810.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

QabalaSabah FA
Last 10#10Table position#10.50Points per game2.713Form pts · last 5100.6Goals for · last 52.41.8Goals against · last 50.220Attack rating8010Defence rating9024Form rating767H2H rating930Goals model10017Overall rating83

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 15:00 UTC

Qabala

3W 1D 6L · goals 8:16 · per match 0.8 for, 1.6 against

17 OctHSabah FA0-4L
10 OctASumqayıt1-4L
18 SepHNeftchi Baku0-3L
12 SepAKapaz0-1L
4 SepHImisli FK2-1W
29 AugHŞamaxı FK0-0D
22 AugHSafa Baku0-1L
14 AugATuran0-1L
28 MayHMingəçevir2-0W
21 MayHŞamaxı FK3-1W

Sabah FA

7W 1D 2L · goals 24:9 · per match 2.4 for, 0.9 against

20 OctHBorussia Dortmund1-2L
17 OctAQabala4-0W
13 OctHSlavia Praha2-0W
9 OctANeftchi Baku0-0D
19 SepHImisli FK3-1W
14 SepASafa Baku3-0W
10 SepAManchester United0-4L
5 SepHZira5-0W
31 AugAAraz1-0W
25 AugHHapoel Beer Sheva5-2W

Head to head

11Qabala wins
5draws
16Sabah FA wins

32 meetings · goals 33:51 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Qabala

10 Mar 2026Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaSabah FA7-1Qabala
5 Mar 2026CupCupQabala2-2Sabah FA
16 Feb 2026Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaQabala0-1Sabah FA
4 Feb 2026CupCupSabah FA0-0Qabala
3 Nov 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaSabah FA1-0Qabala
12 May 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaQabala2-0Sabah FA
9 Mar 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaSabah FA2-1Qabala
22 Dec 2023Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaQabala1-0Sabah FA
6 Aug 2023Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaSabah FA5-0Qabala
2 Apr 2023Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaSabah FA3-2Qabala

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Qabala sit 10th with 4 points from 8 games, while Sabah FA are 1st with 19 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Sabah FA761018:1+1719
2Neftchi Baku852121:8+1317
3Qarabag752014:7+717
4Turan84227:5+214
5Şamaxı FK834112:9+313
6Zira83329:10-112
7Kapaz73227:8-111
8Sumqayıt722310:1008
9Imisli FK82157:13-67
10Qabala81163:15-124
11Safa Baku81074:15-113
12Araz80266:17-112

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.81X23%3.97261%1.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 14:3017 Oct 11:401 5.81X 3.972 1.48
18.71 → 5.81 -33.3%X4.61 → 3.97 -13.9%21.29 → 1.48 +14.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.692.145.9%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
1xBet1.701.999.1%
Marathonbet1.701.999.1%
BetVictor1.641.9612.0%
Best of all books1.702.145.6%
Average1.692.048.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.732.007.8%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
1xBet1.761.919.2%
Marathonbet1.761.8810.0%
BetVictor1.701.9011.5%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.751.929.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Qabala 0%Draw 50%Sabah FA 50%

The statistical model rated Qabala at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Sabah FA at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.81 | 3.97 | 1.48, which imply roughly 25.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Qabala are 10th (4 pts, 3-15 goals), Sabah FA 1st (19 pts, 18-1).

Over their last five matches, Qabala averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Sabah FA averaged 2.4 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sabah FA.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.813.971.48

Double chance

1XX212
2.441.091.20

Draw no bet

12
4.011.19

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.751.92

1st half

1X2
5.882.312.01

2nd half

1X2
5.482.691.79

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 110.918.723.0
HT X13.86.234.07
HT 251.317.72.08

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.2113.31.38

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.4
1.51.194.05
2.51.692.04
3.52.721.39
4.55.051.13
5.59.401.04
6.512.01.01
7.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.75
1.251.095.40
1.751.233.42
21.313.03
2.251.502.34
2.751.851.82
32.131.60
3.252.401.47
3.753.281.25
44.401.14
4.254.801.12
4.756.551.05
58.401.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.511.47
+0.752.161.61
+11.881.83
+1.251.692.07
+1.51.502.38
+1.751.412.66
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-0.757.301.03
-0.56.401.12
-0.255.171.12
04.671.15
+0.253.071.32
+21.303.25
+2.251.233.79
+2.51.164.37
+2.751.105.55
+31.048.27
+3.251.096.06
+3.51.086.72
+3.751.028.20

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.094.92
6.51.293.06
7.51.592.19
8.52.011.72
9.52.661.39
10.53.781.18
11.55.811.05
6 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.134.41
71.382.71
81.781.98
92.371.50
103.421.23
115.371.07

Next Premyer Liqa matches

23 OctAraz – Qabala
23 OctZira – Sumqayıt
24 OctSafa Baku – Kapaz
24 OctNeftchi Baku – Turan
25 OctImisli FK – Şamaxı FK
25 OctSabah FA – Qarabag

All Premyer Liqa fixtures and the table

Latest Premyer Liqa results

18 OctKapaz 1-1 Zira
18 OctImisli FK 1-0 Turan
17 OctQarabag 3-3 Neftchi Baku
16 OctSumqayıt 2-1 Araz
16 OctŞamaxı FK 3-2 Safa Baku
11 OctSafa Baku 0-1 Turan