Sabah FA vs 
Qarabag• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 02:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.55 | 2.70 | 8.7% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 9.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.62 | 12.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.45 | 2.59 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.45 | 2.59 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 8.3% |
| Average | 2.27 | 3.49 | 2.62 | 11.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:03 UTC
Sabah FA
7W 1D 2L · goals 24:9 · per match 2.4 for, 0.9 against
| 20 Oct | H | Borussia Dortmund | 1-2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Qabala | 4-0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Slavia Praha | 2-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | Neftchi Baku | 0-0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Imisli FK | 3-1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Safa Baku | 3-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | A | Manchester United | 0-4 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Zira | 5-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Araz | 1-0 | W |
| 25 Aug | H | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 5-2 | W |
Qarabag
7W 2D 1L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against
| 17 Oct | H | Neftchi Baku | 3-3 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Imisli FK | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Safa Baku | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Zira | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Araz | 3-2 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Sumqayıt | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Aug | H | Twente | 1-4 | L |
| 20 Aug | A | Twente | 1-0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Şamaxı FK | 3-1 | W |
| 13 Aug | H | Dynamo Kyiv | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
35 meetings · goals 42:69 · last 10: 4W 5D 1L for Sabah FA
| 22 Apr 2026Cup | Cup | Sabah FA2-1Qarabag |
| 18 Apr 2026Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qarabag0-1Sabah FA |
| 3 Apr 2026Cup | Cup | Qarabag2-2Sabah FA |
| 1 Mar 2026Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qarabag3-3Sabah FA |
| 18 Dec 2025Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Sabah FA2-1Qarabag |
| 31 May 2025Cup | Cup | Qarabag2-3Sabah FA |
| 27 Apr 2025Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Sabah FA1-1Qarabag |
| 22 Feb 2025Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qarabag1-1Sabah FA |
| 7 Dec 2024Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Sabah FA1-1Qarabag |
| 29 Sep 2024Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qarabag3-2Sabah FA |
Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC
In the Premyer Liqa table, Sabah FA sit 1st with 19 points from 7 games, while Qarabag are 3rd with 17 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:1 | +17 | 19 |
| 2 | Neftchi Baku | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:8 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Turan | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 14 |
| 5 | Şamaxı FK | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:9 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Zira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Kapaz | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Sumqayıt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Qabala | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:15 | -11 | 3 |
| 12 | Araz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:17 | -11 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.3% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 6.0% |
| Betano | 1.55 | 2.25 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 2.24 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 2.24 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.60 | 2.30 | 6.0% |
| Average | 1.56 | 2.26 | 8.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Betano | 1.50 | 2.37 | 8.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 2.44 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 2.39 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Average | 1.48 | 2.43 | 8.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Sabah FA at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Qarabag at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.27 | 3.49 | 2.62, which imply roughly 44.1% for a Sabah FA win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Sabah FA are 1st (19 pts, 18-1 goals), Qarabag 3rd (17 pts, 14-7).
Over their last five matches, Sabah FA averaged 3 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Qarabag averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Sabah FA or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.27 | 3.49 | 2.62 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 1.53 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.72 | 2.00 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.49 | 2.42 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.79 | 2.29 | 3.16 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.54 | 2.65 | 2.84 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.59 | 13.3 | 25.3 |
| HT X | 5.83 | 5.83 | 6.53 |
| HT 2 | 23.3 | 13.2 | 4.28 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | 16.0 | 1.96 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 13.9 |
| 1.5 | 1.16 | 4.35 |
| 2.5 | 1.56 | 2.26 |
| 3.5 | 2.34 | 1.50 |
| 4.5 | 4.03 | 1.19 |
| 5.5 | 6.88 | 1.06 |
| 6.5 | 10.5 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 17.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 9.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.07 | 5.96 |
| 1.75 | 1.17 | 3.96 |
| 2 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| 2.25 | 1.39 | 2.64 |
| 2.75 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| 3 | 1.87 | 1.79 |
| 3.25 | 2.10 | 1.59 |
| 3.75 | 2.70 | 1.36 |
| 4 | 3.34 | 1.24 |
| 4.25 | 3.72 | 1.20 |
| 4.75 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| 5 | 6.60 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.34 | 1.24 |
| -0.75 | 2.59 | 1.39 |
| -0.25 | 1.96 | 1.69 |
| 0 | 1.72 | 1.99 |
| +0.25 | 1.52 | 2.24 |
| +0.75 | 1.28 | 3.05 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 7.40 | 1.03 |
| -1.75 | 5.20 | 1.10 |
| -1.5 | 4.10 | 1.16 |
| -1.25 | 3.75 | 1.19 |
| +1 | 1.16 | 4.15 |
| +1.25 | 1.13 | 4.55 |
| +1.5 | 1.11 | 4.95 |
| +1.75 | 1.06 | 6.30 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
Next Premyer Liqa matches
| 23 Oct | Araz – Qabala |
| 23 Oct | Zira – Sumqayıt |
| 24 Oct | Safa Baku – Kapaz |
| 24 Oct | Neftchi Baku – Turan |
| 25 Oct | Imisli FK – Şamaxı FK |
Latest Premyer Liqa results
| 18 Oct | Kapaz 1-1 Zira |
| 18 Oct | Imisli FK 1-0 Turan |
| 17 Oct | Qarabag 3-3 Neftchi Baku |
| 17 Oct | Qabala 0-4 Sabah FA |
| 16 Oct | Sumqayıt 2-1 Araz |
| 16 Oct | Şamaxı FK 3-2 Safa Baku |