Zira vs Sumqayıt• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#60.6:1.815:00Today · Zira Stadium, Zira1.8:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.70BFR24.80BVCMargin at best5.0%Books9Markets68Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.75	3.55	4.30	8.6%
Pinnacle	1.71	3.47	4.58	9.1%
BetVictor	1.67	3.50	4.75	9.5%
Dafabet	1.70	3.50	4.40	10.1%
William Hill	1.70	3.25	4.75	10.6%
Betfair	1.67	3.50	4.50	10.7%
1xBet	1.65	3.40	4.78	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.63	3.40	4.65	12.3%
Bet365	1.67	3.30	4.50	12.4%
Best of all books	1.75	3.55	4.78	6.2%
Average	1.68	3.43	4.58	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ZiraSumqayıt

Last 10#6Table position#81.50Points per game1.143Form pts · last 580.6Goals for · last 51.81.8Goals against · last 51.225Attack rating7540Defence rating6027Form rating7393H2H rating776Goals model2456Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 15:00 UTC

Zira

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	A	Kapaz	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Şamaxı FK	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Turan	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Qarabag	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Sabah FA	0-5	L
30 Aug	H	Neftchi Baku	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Imisli FK	3-1	W
16 Aug	H	Safa Baku	2-0	W
30 Jul	H	Paide	1-1	D
23 Jul	A	Paide	0-1	L

Sumqayıt

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

16 Oct	H	Araz	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Qabala	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	Kapaz	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Şamaxı FK	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Turan	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Qarabag	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Neftchi Baku	1-3	L
22 May	H	Qarabag	3-4	L
17 May	A	Zira	1-2	L
9 May	H	Araz	2-1	W

Head to head

26Zira wins

14draws

6Sumqayıt wins

46 meetings · goals 67:30 · last 10: 8W 2D 0L for Zira

17 May 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira2-1Sumqayıt
3 Mar 2026Cup	Cup	Zira2-0Sumqayıt
8 Feb 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sumqayıt2-3Zira
4 Feb 2026Cup	Cup	Sumqayıt0-0Zira
25 Oct 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira1-0Sumqayıt
20 Apr 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira3-1Sumqayıt
15 Feb 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sumqayıt0-3Zira
30 Nov 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira4-1Sumqayıt
22 Sep 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sumqayıt0-2Zira
12 Apr 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sumqayıt0-0Zira

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Zira sit 6th with 12 points from 8 games, while Sumqayıt are 8th with 8 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sabah FA	7	6	1	0	18:1	+17	19
2	Neftchi Baku	8	5	2	1	21:8	+13	17
3	Qarabag	7	5	2	0	14:7	+7	17
4	Turan	8	4	2	2	7:5	+2	14
5	Şamaxı FK	8	3	4	1	12:9	+3	13
6	Zira	8	3	3	2	9:10	-1	12
7	Kapaz	7	3	2	2	7:8	-1	11
8	Sumqayıt	7	2	2	3	10:10	0	8
9	Imisli FK	8	2	1	5	7:13	-6	7
10	Qabala	8	1	1	6	3:15	-12	4
11	Safa Baku	8	1	0	7	4:15	-11	3
12	Araz	8	0	2	6	6:17	-11	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.68X26%3.45220%4.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.68 -1.8%X3.33 → 3.45 +3.6%24.50 → 4.60 +2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.99	1.81	5.5%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
BetVictor	1.85	1.72	12.2%
Best of all books	2.00	1.81	5.2%
Average	1.93	1.78	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betano	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.79	9.9%
BetVictor	1.80	1.78	11.7%
Best of all books	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Average	1.84	1.83	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Zira 35%Draw 35%Sumqayıt 30%

The statistical model rates Zira at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Sumqayıt at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.45 | 4.60, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Zira win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Zira are 6th (12 pts, 9-10 goals), Sumqayıt 8th (8 pts, 10-10).

Over their last five matches, Zira averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Sumqayıt averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Zira or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.43	4.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.01	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.25	2.13	5.05

2nd half

1	X	2
2.04	2.46	4.54

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.59	14.8	40.8
HT X	4.35	5.12	9.69
HT 2	23.4	15.6	7.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	8.80	2.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.67
1.5	1.29	3.26
2.5	1.93	1.78
3.5	3.30	1.28
4.5	6.22	1.08
5.5	13.3	1.02
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.95
1.25	1.16	4.16
1.75	1.35	2.84
2	1.45	2.42
2.25	1.69	1.99
2.75	2.16	1.58
3	2.59	1.40
3.25	2.94	1.33
3.75	3.95	1.17
4	5.35	1.09
4.25	5.70	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.36
-1.25	2.52	1.44
-1	2.19	1.59
-0.75	1.85	1.83
-0.5	1.67	2.04
-0.25	1.45	2.47

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.01
-3	9.35	1.02
-2.75	6.95	1.04
-2.5	5.57	1.10
-2.25	5.20	1.12
-2	4.80	1.14
-1.75	3.46	1.24
0	1.25	3.46
+0.25	1.19	4.01
+0.5	1.18	4.65
+0.75	1.09	6.02
+1	1.01	9.50
+1.5	1.02	9.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.10	4.83
6.5	1.30	3.02
7.5	1.61	2.16
8.5	2.02	1.73
9.5	2.70	1.38
10.5	3.85	1.18
11.5	5.94	1.05

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.13	4.32
7	1.39	2.67
8	1.80	1.96
9	2.40	1.48
10	3.48	1.22
11	5.50	1.06

Next Premyer Liqa matches

23 Oct	Araz – Qabala
24 Oct	Safa Baku – Kapaz
24 Oct	Neftchi Baku – Turan
25 Oct	Imisli FK – Şamaxı FK
25 Oct	Sabah FA – Qarabag

All Premyer Liqa fixtures and the table

Latest Premyer Liqa results

18 Oct	Kapaz 1-1 Zira
18 Oct	Imisli FK 1-0 Turan
17 Oct	Qarabag 3-3 Neftchi Baku
17 Oct	Qabala 0-4 Sabah FA
16 Oct	Sumqayıt 2-1 Araz
16 Oct	Şamaxı FK 3-2 Safa Baku