Kapaz vs Zira• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#71.2:1.014:30Tomorrow · Ganja City Stadium, Tovuz0.6:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.33BVCX3.32PIN21.80WHMargin at best8.8%Books6Markets48Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 19:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	4.33	3.30	1.80	9.0%
Pinnacle	4.30	3.32	1.79	9.2%
1xBet	4.16	3.24	1.79	10.8%
Bet365	4.33	3.20	1.75	11.5%
William Hill	4.20	3.10	1.80	11.6%
Marathonbet	4.05	3.24	1.77	12.1%
Best of all books	4.33	3.32	1.80	8.8%
Average	4.23	3.23	1.78	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KapazZira

Last 10#7Table position#61.67Points per game1.5710Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 51.667Attack rating3362Defence rating3867Form rating337H2H rating93100Goals model043Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 12:41 UTC

Kapaz

5W 1D 4L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

9 Oct	A	Araz	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Sumqayıt	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Qabala	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Şamaxı FK	1-4	L
30 Aug	H	Turan	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Sabah FA	0-2	L
23 May	H	Neftchi Baku	0-1	L
15 May	A	Araz	0-2	L
8 May	A	Sabah FA	1-0	W
2 May	H	Sumqayıt	2-1	W

Zira

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Şamaxı FK	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Turan	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Qarabag	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Sabah FA	0-5	L
30 Aug	H	Neftchi Baku	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Imisli FK	3-1	W
16 Aug	H	Safa Baku	2-0	W
30 Jul	H	Paide	1-1	D
23 Jul	A	Paide	0-1	L
16 Jul	A	Torpedo Kutaisi	3-0	W

Head to head

3Kapaz wins

9draws

15Zira wins

27 meetings · goals 19:45 · last 10: 0W 2D 8L for Kapaz

9 Mar 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira2-2Kapaz
28 Nov 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Kapaz0-2Zira
30 Aug 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira5-0Kapaz
26 Apr 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Kapaz0-1Zira
24 Feb 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira2-0Kapaz
8 Dec 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Kapaz0-4Zira
28 Sep 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira3-0Kapaz
18 May 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Kapaz0-1Zira
16 Mar 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira2-1Kapaz
21 Oct 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Kapaz0-0Zira

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 17 Oct 18:21 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Kapaz sit 7th with 10 points from 6 games, while Zira are 6th with 11 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sabah FA	7	6	1	0	18:1	+17	19
2	Neftchi Baku	8	5	2	1	21:8	+13	17
3	Qarabag	7	5	2	0	14:7	+7	17
4	Turan	7	4	2	1	7:4	+3	14
5	Şamaxı FK	8	3	4	1	12:9	+3	13
6	Zira	7	3	2	2	8:9	-1	11
7	Kapaz	6	3	1	2	6:7	-1	10
8	Sumqayıt	7	2	2	3	10:10	0	8
9	Qabala	8	1	1	6	3:15	-12	4
10	Imisli FK	7	1	1	5	6:13	-7	4
11	Safa Baku	8	1	0	7	4:15	-11	3
12	Araz	8	0	2	6	6:17	-11	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.21X28%3.23251%1.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.07 → 4.21 +3.4%X3.20 → 3.23 +0.9%21.83 → 1.79 -2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.12	1.68	6.7%
1xBet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
BetVictor	2.00	1.61	12.1%
Best of all books	2.25	1.68	4.0%
Average	2.11	1.63	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
BetVictor	1.87	1.70	12.3%
Best of all books	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Average	1.93	1.73	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kapaz 45%Draw 45%Zira 10%

The statistical model rates Kapaz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Zira at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.21 | 3.23 | 1.79, which imply roughly 23.8% for a Kapaz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Kapaz are 7th (10 pts, 6-7 goals), Zira 6th (11 pts, 8-9).

Over their last five matches, Kapaz averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Zira averaged 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Kapaz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.23	3.23	1.78

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.84	1.17	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
3.08	1.32

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
4.88	2.04	2.42

2nd half

1	X	2
4.31	2.33	2.22

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.13	16.1	27.7
HT X	8.77	4.68	4.55
HT 2	41.0	16.0	2.81

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.75	7.45	1.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.82
1.5	1.36	2.81
2.5	2.11	1.63
3.5	3.88	1.21
4.5	7.68	1.05
5.5	15.0	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	6.80
1	1.06	6.20
1.25	1.22	3.56
1.75	1.44	2.45
2	1.58	2.15
2.25	1.84	1.82
2.75	2.40	1.47
3	3.08	1.30
3.25	3.34	1.24
3.75	4.64	1.12
4	6.45	1.05
4.25	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	3.05	1.31
+0.25	2.26	1.55
+0.5	1.96	1.77
+0.75	1.68	2.03
+1	1.45	2.49
+1.25	1.35	2.90

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	8.60	1.01
-1	7.80	1.05
-0.75	5.32	1.11
-0.5	4.15	1.22
-0.25	3.49	1.25
+1.5	1.27	3.28
+1.75	1.18	4.18
+2	1.09	6.10
+2.25	1.07	6.57
+2.5	1.04	6.75