Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#51.6:0.83-2FTToday · Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi0.2:2.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83BTNX3.60BFR24.421XBMargin at best5.0%Books10Markets65Rating81 · 19Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.83	3.40	4.05	8.7%
Pinnacle	1.75	3.51	4.27	9.1%
BetVictor	1.73	3.50	4.33	9.5%
Betfair	1.75	3.60	4.00	9.9%
Dafabet	1.78	3.45	4.00	10.2%
1xBet	1.73	3.30	4.42	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.71	3.30	4.30	12.0%
Bet365	1.75	3.20	4.20	12.2%
William Hill	1.75	3.20	4.20	12.2%
SBO	1.73	3.21	3.89	14.7%
Best of all books	1.83	3.60	4.42	5.0%
Average	1.75	3.37	4.17	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Şamaxı FKSafa Baku

Last 10#5Table position#111.63Points per game0.389Form pts · last 501.6Goals for · last 50.20.8Goals against · last 52.089Attack rating1171Defence rating29100Form rating00H2H rating084Goals model1681Overall rating19

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 11:01 UTC

Şamaxı FK

3W 4D 3L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

10 Oct	A	Zira	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Araz	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Sumqayıt	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Kapaz	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Qabala	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Turan	0-0	D
17 Aug	A	Qarabag	1-3	L
21 May	A	Qabala	1-3	L
16 May	H	Turan	3-2	W
10 May	A	Neftchi Baku	0-3	L

Safa Baku

2W 1D 7L · goals 4:14 · per match 0.4 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	H	Turan	0-1	L
18 Sep	A	Qarabag	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Sabah FA	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	Neftchi Baku	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Imisli FK	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Qabala	1-0	W
16 Aug	A	Zira	0-2	L
22 May	A	Zaqatala	1-2	L
15 May	H	Cəbrayıl	1-0	W
6 May	A	Difai Ağsu	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Şamaxı FK and Safa Baku on record.

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 16 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Şamaxı FK sit 5th with 13 points from 8 games, while Safa Baku are 11th with 3 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi Baku	7	5	1	1	18:5	+13	16
2	Sabah FA	6	5	1	0	14:1	+13	16
3	Qarabag	6	5	1	0	11:4	+7	16
4	Turan	7	4	2	1	7:4	+3	14
5	Şamaxı FK	8	3	4	1	12:9	+3	13
6	Zira	7	3	2	2	8:9	-1	11
7	Kapaz	6	3	1	2	6:7	-1	10
8	Sumqayıt	6	1	2	3	8:9	-1	5
9	Qabala	7	1	1	5	3:11	-8	4
10	Imisli FK	7	1	1	5	6:13	-7	4
11	Safa Baku	8	1	0	7	4:15	-11	3
12	Araz	7	0	2	5	5:15	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.66X27%3.36218%4.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.78 → 1.75 -1.7%X3.37 → 3.37 0.0%24.14 → 4.17 +0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.88	1.90	5.8%
SBO	1.95	1.83	5.9%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betano	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
BetVictor	1.81	1.76	12.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.90	3.9%
Average	1.88	1.82	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.78	1.90	8.8%
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.84	9.9%
BetVictor	1.73	1.85	11.9%
Best of all books	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Average	1.79	1.88	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Şamaxı FK 50%Draw 50%Safa Baku 0%

The statistical model rated Şamaxı FK at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Safa Baku at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 3.36 | 4.97, which imply roughly 60.2% for a Şamaxı FK win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Şamaxı FK are 5th (13 pts, 12-9 goals), Safa Baku 11th (3 pts, 4-15).

Over their last five matches, Şamaxı FK averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Safa Baku averaged 0.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Şamaxı FK.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.75	3.37	4.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	1.93	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.34	2.12	4.61

2nd half

1	X	2
2.10	2.45	4.28

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.72	14.6	41.2
HT X	4.48	5.17	9.10
HT 2	22.7	14.8	7.08

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	9.30	2.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.92
1.5	1.29	3.25
2.5	1.88	1.83
3.5	3.21	1.30
4.5	6.07	1.09
5.5	11.7	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.00
1	1.03	7.40
1.25	1.14	4.33
1.75	1.35	2.81
2	1.46	2.44
2.25	1.65	2.05
2.75	2.11	1.62
3	2.52	1.42
3.25	2.88	1.34
3.75	3.92	1.18
4	5.35	1.09
4.25	5.75	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.99	1.33
-1.25	2.66	1.40
-1	2.33	1.52
-0.75	1.95	1.74
-0.5	1.73	2.00
-0.25	1.50	2.35

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.00	1.02
-2.5	6.07	1.08
-2.25	5.66	1.10
-2	5.20	1.12
-1.75	3.70	1.22
0	1.29	3.14
+0.25	1.25	3.53
+0.5	1.23	3.96
+0.75	1.09	5.66
+1	1.01	8.90
+1.5	1.02	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.14	4.22
6.5	1.37	2.72
7.5	1.73	2.01
8.5	2.21	1.58
9.5	3.01	1.30
10.5	4.44	1.12
11.5	7.10	1.01

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.01	7.08
6	1.19	3.74
7	1.49	2.39
8	1.97	1.79
9	2.68	1.38
10	4.04	1.16
11	6.62	1.03