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Araz vs Qabala• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#121.2:2.211:00Today · Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi0.6:2.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.57PINX3.25BTN22.63BFRMargin at best7.7%Books8Markets60Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.503.252.628.9%
Pinnacle2.573.172.589.2%
Dafabet2.463.252.609.9%
Betfair2.453.202.6310.1%
Bet3652.503.102.6010.7%
William Hill2.503.002.6011.8%
1xBet2.453.082.5712.2%
Marathonbet2.453.082.5712.2%
Best of all books2.573.252.637.7%
Average2.483.142.6010.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ArazQabala
Last 10#12Table position#100.25Points per game0.501Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 50.62.2Goals against · last 52.667Attack rating3354Defence rating4625Form rating7538H2H rating6265Goals model3549Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 15:00 UTC

Araz

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

16 OctASumqayıt1-2L
9 OctHKapaz0-2L
20 SepAŞamaxı FK1-2L
13 SepHTuran2-2D
6 SepAQarabag2-3L
31 AugHSabah FA0-1L
23 AugANeftchi Baku0-5L
15 AugHImisli FK0-0D
23 MayHZira3-2W
15 MayHKapaz2-0W

Qabala

3W 1D 6L · goals 8:16 · per match 0.8 for, 1.6 against

17 OctHSabah FA0-4L
10 OctASumqayıt1-4L
18 SepHNeftchi Baku0-3L
12 SepAKapaz0-1L
4 SepHImisli FK2-1W
29 AugHŞamaxı FK0-0D
22 AugHSafa Baku0-1L
14 AugATuran0-1L
28 MayHMingəçevir2-0W
21 MayHŞamaxı FK3-1W

Head to head

3Araz wins
3draws
4Qabala wins

10 meetings · goals 12:16 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Araz

25 Apr 2026Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaQabala1-1Araz
30 Nov 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaQabala2-1Araz
30 Aug 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaAraz2-1Qabala
19 May 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaQabala2-0Araz
16 Mar 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaAraz1-1Qabala
9 Feb 2024CupCupQabala2-0Araz
31 Jan 2024CupCupAraz1-1Qabala
22 Oct 2023Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaQabala1-4Araz
12 Aug 2023Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaAraz2-0Qabala
22 Nov 2022CupCupQabala5-0Araz

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Araz sit 12th with 2 points from 8 games, while Qabala are 10th with 4 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Sabah FA761018:1+1719
2Neftchi Baku852121:8+1317
3Qarabag752014:7+717
4Turan84227:5+214
5Şamaxı FK834112:9+313
6Zira83329:10-112
7Kapaz73227:8-111
8Sumqayıt722310:1008
9Imisli FK82157:13-67
10Qabala81163:15-124
11Safa Baku81074:15-113
12Araz80266:17-112

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.49X29%3.14235%2.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 15:0022 Oct 23:001 2.49X 3.142 2.60
12.24 → 2.49 +11.2%X3.23 → 3.14 -2.8%22.86 → 2.60 -9.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.101.706.4%
Pinnacle2.101.706.4%
Betano2.001.728.1%
Betfair2.101.658.2%
1xBet2.021.689.0%
Marathonbet2.021.689.0%
Best of all books2.101.725.8%
Average2.061.697.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.831.917.0%
William Hill1.801.917.9%
Betano1.781.908.8%
1xBet1.781.899.1%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.781.869.9%
Best of all books1.831.917.0%
Average1.801.888.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Araz 35%Draw 35%Qabala 30%

The statistical model rates Araz at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Qabala at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.49 | 3.14 | 2.60, which imply roughly 40.2% for a Araz win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Araz are 12th (2 pts, 6-17 goals), Qabala 10th (4 pts, 3-15).

Over their last five matches, Araz averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Qabala averaged 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Araz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.493.142.60

Double chance

1XX212
1.401.441.29

Draw no bet

12
1.811.85

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.801.88

1st half

1X2
3.152.033.26

2nd half

1X2
2.762.343.04

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.9814.030.2
HT X5.764.786.20
HT 228.414.14.40

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.978.102.05

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.88
1.51.333.06
2.52.061.69
3.53.571.24
4.56.801.07
5.514.21.02
6.517.0–
7.521.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.20
11.056.55
1.251.183.89
1.751.402.63
21.532.27
2.251.801.90
2.752.341.50
32.881.34
3.253.111.30
3.754.401.14
46.051.06
4.256.401.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.891.36
-0.52.371.56
-0.252.091.68
01.831.90
+0.251.552.30
+0.51.422.77
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.401.01
-29.001.02
-1.756.281.08
-1.54.751.14
-1.254.341.17
-13.801.22
+0.751.293.24
+11.144.80
+1.251.125.23
+1.51.105.67
+1.751.046.95

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.075.41
6.51.253.30
7.51.522.32
8.51.951.80
9.52.491.45
10.53.461.22
11.55.201.08
6 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.104.88
71.322.92
81.692.05
92.211.58
103.121.28
114.791.10

Next Premyer Liqa matches

23 OctZira – Sumqayıt
24 OctSafa Baku – Kapaz
24 OctNeftchi Baku – Turan
25 OctImisli FK – Şamaxı FK
25 OctSabah FA – Qarabag

All Premyer Liqa fixtures and the table

Latest Premyer Liqa results

18 OctKapaz 1-1 Zira
18 OctImisli FK 1-0 Turan
17 OctQarabag 3-3 Neftchi Baku
17 OctQabala 0-4 Sabah FA
16 OctSumqayıt 2-1 Araz
16 OctŞamaxı FK 3-2 Safa Baku