Safa Baku vs 
Kapaz• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 01:58 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 9.0% |
| Pinnacle | 2.84 | 3.30 | 2.29 | 9.2% |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 9.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 9.5% |
| Dafabet | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.26 | 10.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.12 | 2.28 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 11.5% |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 11.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.78 | 3.12 | 2.26 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.92 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 8.0% |
| Average | 2.85 | 3.18 | 2.28 | 10.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC
Safa Baku
2W 0D 8L · goals 6:17 · per match 0.6 for, 1.7 against
| 16 Oct | A | Şamaxı FK | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Turan | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Qarabag | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Sabah FA | 0-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Neftchi Baku | 1-4 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Imisli FK | 0-1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Qabala | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Zira | 0-2 | L |
| 22 May | A | Zaqatala | 1-2 | L |
| 15 May | H | Cəbrayıl | 1-0 | W |
Kapaz
4W 2D 4L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against
| 18 Oct | H | Zira | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Oct | A | Araz | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Sumqayıt | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Qabala | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | Şamaxı FK | 1-4 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Turan | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Sabah FA | 0-2 | L |
| 23 May | H | Neftchi Baku | 0-1 | L |
| 15 May | A | Araz | 0-2 | L |
| 8 May | A | Sabah FA | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Safa Baku and Kapaz on record.
Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC
In the Premyer Liqa table, Safa Baku sit 11th with 3 points from 8 games, while Kapaz are 7th with 11 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:1 | +17 | 19 |
| 2 | Neftchi Baku | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:8 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Turan | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 14 |
| 5 | Şamaxı FK | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:9 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Zira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Kapaz | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Sumqayıt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Qabala | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:15 | -11 | 3 |
| 12 | Araz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:17 | -11 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.0% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 1.76 | 6.6% |
| Betano | 2.00 | 1.72 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 1.73 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 1.73 | 9.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 1.68 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.01 | 1.80 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.97 | 1.75 | 8.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 1.95 | 8.4% |
| Betano | 1.78 | 1.90 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 1.94 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 1.91 | 9.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 1.87 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.75 | 1.93 | 9.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Safa Baku at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Kapaz at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.82 | 3.17 | 2.28, which imply roughly 31.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Safa Baku are 11th (3 pts, 4-15 goals), Kapaz 7th (11 pts, 7-8).
Over their last five matches, Safa Baku averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Kapaz averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Kapaz.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | 3.18 | 2.28 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | 1.34 | 1.30 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.03 | 1.67 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.93 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.51 | 2.07 | 2.92 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.18 | 2.36 | 2.67 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.76 | 14.0 | 26.8 |
| HT X | 6.56 | 4.82 | 5.54 |
| HT 2 | 30.8 | 13.8 | 3.71 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.12 | 8.80 | 1.90 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 8.35 |
| 1.5 | 1.30 | 3.18 |
| 2.5 | 1.97 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 3.43 | 1.26 |
| 4.5 | 6.70 | 1.08 |
| 5.5 | 13.3 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 17.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.03 | 7.50 |
| 1 | 1.04 | 6.90 |
| 1.25 | 1.17 | 4.06 |
| 1.75 | 1.38 | 2.69 |
| 2 | 1.49 | 2.34 |
| 2.25 | 1.73 | 1.94 |
| 2.75 | 2.22 | 1.54 |
| 3 | 2.74 | 1.37 |
| 3.25 | 3.04 | 1.29 |
| 3.75 | 4.15 | 1.16 |
| 4 | 5.65 | 1.08 |
| 4.25 | 6.00 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.82 | 1.40 |
| -0.25 | 2.39 | 1.48 |
| 0 | 2.05 | 1.67 |
| +0.25 | 1.74 | 1.96 |
| +0.5 | 1.57 | 2.27 |
| +0.75 | 1.39 | 2.69 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 7.60 | 1.03 |
| -1.5 | 5.87 | 1.09 |
| -1.25 | 5.48 | 1.11 |
| -1 | 4.93 | 1.13 |
| -0.75 | 3.41 | 1.25 |
| +1 | 1.23 | 3.63 |
| +1.25 | 1.18 | 4.12 |
| +1.5 | 1.15 | 4.55 |
| +1.75 | 1.09 | 5.92 |
| +2 | 1.01 | 8.60 |
Next Premyer Liqa matches
| 23 Oct | Araz – Qabala |
| 23 Oct | Zira – Sumqayıt |
| 24 Oct | Neftchi Baku – Turan |
| 25 Oct | Imisli FK – Şamaxı FK |
| 25 Oct | Sabah FA – Qarabag |
Latest Premyer Liqa results
| 18 Oct | Kapaz 1-1 Zira |
| 18 Oct | Imisli FK 1-0 Turan |
| 17 Oct | Qarabag 3-3 Neftchi Baku |
| 17 Oct | Qabala 0-4 Sabah FA |
| 16 Oct | Sumqayıt 2-1 Araz |
| 16 Oct | Şamaxı FK 3-2 Safa Baku |