Imisli FK vs Şamaxı FK• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#91.0:2.011:0025/10 · Yevlakh City Stadium, Yevlakh2.2:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.911XBX3.19PIN22.45B365Margin at best6.5%Books8Markets46Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 16:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.85	3.10	2.40	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.79	3.19	2.38	9.2%
Dafabet	2.80	3.10	2.33	10.9%
1xBet	2.91	2.99	2.32	10.9%
Betfair	2.80	3.00	2.38	11.1%
William Hill	2.80	3.00	2.38	11.1%
Bet365	2.80	2.88	2.45	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.83	2.99	2.30	12.3%
Best of all books	2.91	3.19	2.45	6.5%
Average	2.82	3.03	2.37	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Imisli FKŞamaxı FK

Last 10#9Table position#50.88Points per game1.633Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 52.22.0Goals against · last 51.231Attack rating6938Defence rating6321Form rating7936H2H rating6429Goals model7131Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:03 UTC

Imisli FK

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:17 · per match 0.8 for, 1.7 against

18 Oct	H	Turan	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Qarabag	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Sabah FA	1-3	L
11 Sep	H	Neftchi Baku	2-3	L
4 Sep	A	Qabala	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Safa Baku	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Zira	1-3	L
15 Aug	A	Araz	0-0	D
24 May	H	Karvan	1-1	D
16 May	A	Qarabag	0-3	L

Şamaxı FK

4W 4D 2L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

16 Oct	H	Safa Baku	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Zira	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Araz	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Sumqayıt	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Kapaz	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Qabala	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Turan	0-0	D
17 Aug	A	Qarabag	1-3	L
21 May	A	Qabala	1-3	L
16 May	H	Turan	3-2	W

Head to head

0Imisli FK wins

4draws

2Şamaxı FK wins

6 meetings · goals 0:4 · last 6: 0W 4D 2L for Imisli FK

8 Mar 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK0-0Imisli FK
22 Feb 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Imisli FK0-0Şamaxı FK
7 Nov 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK1-0Imisli FK
29 Mar 2024Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Imisli FK0-0Şamaxı FK
14 Dec 2023Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Şamaxı FK0-0Imisli FK
28 Sep 2023Birinci Dasta	Birinci Dasta	Imisli FK0-3Şamaxı FK

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Imisli FK sit 9th with 7 points from 8 games, while Şamaxı FK are 5th with 13 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sabah FA	7	6	1	0	18:1	+17	19
2	Neftchi Baku	8	5	2	1	21:8	+13	17
3	Qarabag	7	5	2	0	14:7	+7	17
4	Turan	8	4	2	2	7:5	+2	14
5	Şamaxı FK	8	3	4	1	12:9	+3	13
6	Zira	8	3	3	2	9:10	-1	12
7	Kapaz	7	3	2	2	7:8	-1	11
8	Sumqayıt	7	2	2	3	10:10	0	8
9	Imisli FK	8	2	1	5	7:13	-6	7
10	Qabala	8	1	1	6	3:15	-12	4
11	Safa Baku	8	1	0	7	4:15	-11	3
12	Araz	8	0	2	6	6:17	-11	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.82X30%3.03238%2.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.17 → 2.82 -11.0%X2.95 → 3.03 +2.7%22.21 → 2.37 +7.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.16	1.66	6.5%
Betano	2.12	1.65	7.8%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Best of all books	2.20	1.67	5.3%
Average	2.15	1.64	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betano	1.85	1.83	8.7%
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.80	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Average	1.84	1.83	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Imisli FK 0%Draw 50%Şamaxı FK 50%

The statistical model rates Imisli FK at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Şamaxı FK at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.82 | 3.03 | 2.37, which imply roughly 33% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Imisli FK are 9th (7 pts, 7-13 goals), Şamaxı FK 5th (13 pts, 12-9).

Over their last five matches, Imisli FK averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Şamaxı FK averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Şamaxı FK.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.82	3.03	2.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.35	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
2.00	1.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
3.55	1.98	3.02

2nd half

1	X	2
3.26	2.27	2.71

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.71	14.1	31.3
HT X	6.38	4.44	5.53
HT 2	35.3	14.5	3.88

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.13	7.75	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.28
1.5	1.35	2.87
2.5	2.15	1.64
3.5	3.77	1.21
4.5	7.18	1.05
5.5	14.8	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	6.90
1	1.06	6.20
1.25	1.20	3.68
1.75	1.44	2.51
2	1.61	2.15
2.25	1.87	1.82
2.75	2.48	1.45
3	3.17	1.28
3.25	3.51	1.23
3.75	4.90	1.11
4	7.00	1.04
4.25	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.80	1.40
-0.25	2.41	1.50
0	2.03	1.71
+0.25	1.69	2.04
+0.5	1.55	2.34
+0.75	1.36	2.85

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.50	1.01
-1.5	6.20	1.08
-1.25	5.79	1.09
-1	5.28	1.11
-0.75	3.50	1.25
+1	1.19	3.97
+1.25	1.15	4.45
+1.5	1.13	4.95
+1.75	1.07	6.50
+2	1.02	8.65
+2.5	1.01	9.65

Next Premyer Liqa matches

23 Oct	Araz – Qabala
23 Oct	Zira – Sumqayıt
24 Oct	Safa Baku – Kapaz
24 Oct	Neftchi Baku – Turan
25 Oct	Sabah FA – Qarabag

All Premyer Liqa fixtures and the table

Latest Premyer Liqa results

18 Oct	Kapaz 1-1 Zira
18 Oct	Imisli FK 1-0 Turan
17 Oct	Qarabag 3-3 Neftchi Baku
17 Oct	Qabala 0-4 Sabah FA
16 Oct	Sumqayıt 2-1 Araz
16 Oct	Şamaxı FK 3-2 Safa Baku