Safa Baku vs Turan• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#110.4:1.80-1FT11/10 · ASK Arena, Baku1.0:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.52PINX4.20BFR21.47BTNMargin at best7.2%Books9Markets68Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	6.52	4.15	1.43	9.4%
Betano	6.10	4.00	1.47	9.4%
BetVictor	6.50	4.00	1.44	9.8%
Dafabet	6.20	4.10	1.44	10.0%
Betfair	6.50	4.20	1.40	10.6%
1xBet	6.48	3.92	1.43	10.9%
Bet365	6.25	3.75	1.45	11.6%
Marathonbet	6.15	3.92	1.42	12.2%
William Hill	6.00	3.80	1.44	12.4%
Best of all books	6.52	4.20	1.47	7.2%
Average	6.30	3.98	1.44	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Safa BakuTuran

Last 10#11Table position#40.38Points per game1.750Form pts · last 570.4Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 50.829Attack rating7131Defence rating6927Form rating730H2H rating00Goals model10029Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

Safa Baku

2W 0D 8L · goals 6:17 · per match 0.6 for, 1.7 against

16 Oct	A	Şamaxı FK	2-3	L
11 Oct	H	Turan	0-1	L
18 Sep	A	Qarabag	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Sabah FA	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	Neftchi Baku	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Imisli FK	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Qabala	1-0	W
16 Aug	A	Zira	0-2	L
22 May	A	Zaqatala	1-2	L
15 May	H	Cəbrayıl	1-0	W

Turan

4W 2D 4L · goals 8:9 · per match 0.8 for, 0.9 against

18 Oct	A	Imisli FK	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Safa Baku	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Fenerbahçe	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Zira	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Araz	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Sumqayıt	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	Kapaz	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Şamaxı FK	0-0	D
14 Aug	H	Qabala	1-0	W
22 May	H	Sabah FA	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Safa Baku and Turan on record.

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Safa Baku sit 11th with 3 points from 8 games, while Turan are 4th with 14 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sabah FA	7	6	1	0	18:1	+17	19
2	Neftchi Baku	8	5	2	1	21:8	+13	17
3	Qarabag	7	5	2	0	14:7	+7	17
4	Turan	8	4	2	2	7:5	+2	14
5	Şamaxı FK	8	3	4	1	12:9	+3	13
6	Zira	8	3	3	2	9:10	-1	12
7	Kapaz	7	3	2	2	7:8	-1	11
8	Sumqayıt	7	2	2	3	10:10	0	8
9	Imisli FK	8	2	1	5	7:13	-6	7
10	Qabala	8	1	1	6	3:15	-12	4
11	Safa Baku	8	1	0	7	4:15	-11	3
12	Araz	8	0	2	6	6:17	-11	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg115%5.97X25%3.65260%1.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.93 → 6.30 +6.2%X3.91 → 3.99 +2.0%21.47 → 1.44 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.86	1.93	5.6%
Betano	1.82	1.90	7.6%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
BetVictor	1.75	1.82	12.1%
Best of all books	1.86	1.95	5.0%
Average	1.81	1.90	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Betano	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
BetVictor	1.87	1.70	12.3%
Best of all books	2.00	1.76	6.8%
Average	1.94	1.74	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Safa Baku 0%Draw 50%Turan 50%

The statistical model rated Safa Baku at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Turan at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.97 | 3.65 | 1.51, which imply roughly 27.4% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Safa Baku are 11th (3 pts, 4-15 goals), Turan 4th (14 pts, 7-5).

Over their last five matches, Safa Baku averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Turan averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Turan and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.30	3.98	1.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.50	1.08	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
4.52	1.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.94	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
6.26	2.26	1.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.31	10.0	1.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.20
1.5	1.25	3.56
2.5	1.81	1.90
3.5	3.00	1.33
4.5	5.67	1.10
5.5	9.93	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.50
1	1.02	8.00
1.25	1.12	4.64
1.75	1.29	3.08
2	1.38	2.66
2.25	1.60	2.14
2.75	1.99	1.67
3	2.36	1.48
3.25	2.60	1.40
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.65	1.12
4.25	4.95	1.11
5	9.10	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.48	1.49
+0.75	2.26	1.54
+1	1.96	1.75
+1.25	1.69	2.01
+1.5	1.54	2.26
+1.75	1.40	2.64

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	9.40	1.02
-0.75	7.70	1.03
-0.5	6.40	1.12
-0.25	5.46	1.10
0	4.88	1.13
+0.25	3.25	1.29
+2	1.26	3.42
+2.25	1.21	3.77
+2.5	1.18	4.15
+2.75	1.12	5.27
+3	1.03	7.30
+3.5	1.02	7.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.14	4.22
6.5	1.37	2.72
7.5	1.73	2.01
8.5	2.21	1.58
9.5	3.01	1.30
10.5	4.44	1.12
11.5	7.10	1.01

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.01	7.08
6	1.19	3.74
7	1.49	2.39
8	1.98	1.78
9	2.68	1.38
10	4.04	1.16
11	6.62	1.03

Next Premyer Liqa matches

23 Oct	Araz – Qabala
23 Oct	Zira – Sumqayıt
24 Oct	Safa Baku – Kapaz
24 Oct	Neftchi Baku – Turan
25 Oct	Imisli FK – Şamaxı FK
25 Oct	Sabah FA – Qarabag

All Premyer Liqa fixtures and the table

Latest Premyer Liqa results

18 Oct	Kapaz 1-1 Zira
18 Oct	Imisli FK 1-0 Turan
17 Oct	Qarabag 3-3 Neftchi Baku
17 Oct	Qabala 0-4 Sabah FA
16 Oct	Sumqayıt 2-1 Araz
16 Oct	Şamaxı FK 3-2 Safa Baku