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Neftchi Baku vs Turan• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#22.6:1.215:00Tomorrow · Palms Sports Arena, Baku1.2:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85WHX3.30BFR24.20DAFMargin at best8.2%Books8Markets51Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 01:58 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.853.304.108.7%
Pinnacle1.853.244.109.3%
Betfair1.853.304.009.4%
Dafabet1.803.304.209.7%
1xBet1.853.153.9910.9%
Bet3651.803.204.1011.2%
Marathonbet1.833.153.8812.2%
William Hill1.853.004.0012.4%
Best of all books1.853.304.208.2%
Average1.843.204.0510.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Neftchi BakuTuran
Last 10#2Table position#42.13Points per game1.7511Form pts · last 572.6Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 50.868Attack rating3240Defence rating6052Form rating4838H2H rating6290Goals model1055Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

Neftchi Baku

6W 2D 2L · goals 24:12 · per match 2.4 for, 1.2 against

17 OctAQarabag3-3D
9 OctHSabah FA0-0D
18 SepAQabala3-0W
11 SepAImisli FK3-2W
5 SepHSafa Baku4-1W
30 AugAZira0-1L
23 AugHAraz5-0W
16 AugASumqayıt3-1W
30 JulADinamo Minsk1-0W
22 JulHDinamo Minsk2-4L

Turan

4W 2D 4L · goals 8:9 · per match 0.8 for, 0.9 against

18 OctAImisli FK0-1L
11 OctASafa Baku1-0W
3 OctHFenerbahçe0-2L
19 SepHZira1-0W
13 SepAAraz2-2D
6 SepHSumqayıt2-1W
30 AugAKapaz0-1L
23 AugHŞamaxı FK0-0D
14 AugHQabala1-0W
22 MayHSabah FA1-2L

Head to head

11Neftchi Baku wins
6draws
4Turan wins

21 meetings · goals 26:16 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Neftchi Baku

9 Mar 2026Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaNeftchi Baku0-1Turan
28 Nov 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaTuran0-0Neftchi Baku
29 Aug 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaNeftchi Baku0-1Turan
10 May 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaTuran1-2Neftchi Baku
10 Mar 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaNeftchi Baku1-1Turan
21 Dec 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaTuran1-1Neftchi Baku
3 Aug 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaNeftchi Baku0-0Turan
28 Apr 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaNeftchi Baku3-0Turan
24 Feb 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaTuran1-1Neftchi Baku
10 Dec 2023Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaNeftchi Baku3-2Turan

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Neftchi Baku sit 2nd with 17 points from 8 games, while Turan are 4th with 14 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Sabah FA761018:1+1719
2Neftchi Baku852121:8+1317
3Qarabag752014:7+717
4Turan84227:5+214
5Şamaxı FK834112:9+313
6Zira83329:10-112
7Kapaz73227:8-111
8Sumqayıt722310:1008
9Imisli FK82157:13-67
10Qabala81163:15-124
11Safa Baku81074:15-113
12Araz80266:17-112

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.84X28%3.21222%4.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 15:0123 Oct 05:001 1.84X 3.212 4.05
11.98 → 1.84 -7.1%X3.14 → 3.21 +2.2%23.53 → 4.05 +14.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betfair2.101.735.4%
Bet3652.081.735.9%
Pinnacle2.051.746.3%
Betano2.021.727.6%
1xBet1.991.709.1%
Marathonbet1.991.709.1%
Best of all books2.101.745.1%
Average2.041.727.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betano1.851.838.7%
William Hill1.851.838.7%
1xBet1.821.859.0%
Betfair1.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.821.829.9%
Best of all books1.911.856.4%
Average1.851.838.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Neftchi Baku 35%Draw 35%Turan 30%

The statistical model rates Neftchi Baku at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Turan at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.84 | 3.21 | 4.05, which imply roughly 54.3% for a Neftchi Baku win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Neftchi Baku are 2nd (17 pts, 21-8 goals), Turan 4th (14 pts, 7-5).

Over their last five matches, Neftchi Baku averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Turan averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Neftchi Baku.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.843.214.05

Double chance

1XX212
1.181.821.27

Draw no bet

12
1.362.87

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.83

1st half

1X2
2.442.064.59

2nd half

1X2
2.242.374.01

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9414.140.4
HT X4.694.878.39
HT 224.814.76.80

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.658.502.51

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.58
1.51.333.06
2.52.041.72
3.53.511.25
4.56.701.07
5.514.81.02
6.517.0–
7.521.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.047.00
11.056.40
1.251.183.93
1.751.392.68
21.512.32
2.251.771.93
2.752.281.53
32.791.36
3.253.061.29
3.754.201.15
45.751.07
4.256.051.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.981.33
-12.641.42
-0.752.111.64
-0.51.841.92
-0.251.612.17
01.362.85
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.758.101.02
-2.56.771.07
-2.256.501.07
-26.071.09
-1.754.231.17
-1.53.341.27
+0.251.273.34
+0.51.273.57
+0.751.134.93
+11.037.70
+1.251.028.10
+1.51.018.50

Next Premyer Liqa matches

23 OctAraz – Qabala
23 OctZira – Sumqayıt
24 OctSafa Baku – Kapaz
25 OctImisli FK – Şamaxı FK
25 OctSabah FA – Qarabag

All Premyer Liqa fixtures and the table

Latest Premyer Liqa results

18 OctKapaz 1-1 Zira
18 OctImisli FK 1-0 Turan
17 OctQarabag 3-3 Neftchi Baku
17 OctQabala 0-4 Sabah FA
16 OctSumqayıt 2-1 Araz
16 OctŞamaxı FK 3-2 Safa Baku