Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#31.2:0.81-2FT18/10 · Estadio Morelos, Morelia0.6:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53B365X4.57PIN26.05PINMargin at best3.8%Books6Markets85Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	4.57	6.05	5.5%
Bet365	1.53	4.33	5.50	6.6%
BetVictor	1.45	4.33	5.75	9.5%
1xBet	1.42	4.30	5.90	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	4.30	5.65	11.9%
William Hill	1.44	4.00	5.50	12.6%
Best of all books	1.53	4.57	6.05	3.8%
Average	1.46	4.31	5.73	9.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MonarcasCDS Tampico Madero

Last 10#3Table position#141.77Points per game1.155Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 50.60.8Goals against · last 51.667Attack rating3367Defence rating3380Form rating2050H2H rating5090Goals model1067Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:12 UTC

Monarcas

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	CDS Tampico Madero	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Tepatitlán	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Tlaxcala	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Venados FC	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Leones Negros UDG	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Mineros de Zacatecas	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Dorados	1-0	W
21 Aug	H	Correcaminos Uat	1-3	L
15 Aug	A	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	2-1	W

CDS Tampico Madero

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

18 Oct	A	Monarcas	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Durango	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Tepatitlán	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Correcaminos Uat	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Dorados	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Tlaxcala	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Venados FC	4-3	W
30 Aug	A	Mineros de Zacatecas	0-2	L
23 Aug	H	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Leones Negros UDG	0-4	L

Head to head

1Monarcas wins

2draws

1CDS Tampico Madero wins

4 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Monarcas

19 Apr 2026Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CDS Tampico Madero1-0Monarcas
9 Nov 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Monarcas0-0CDS Tampico Madero
11 Jan 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Monarcas1-0CDS Tampico Madero
28 Jul 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CDS Tampico Madero1-1Monarcas

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 24 Oct 04:50 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Monarcas sit 3rd with 23 points from 13 games, while CDS Tampico Madero are 14th with 15 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	13	7	3	3	30:17	+13	24
2	Leones Negros UDG	13	7	3	3	29:19	+10	24
3	Monarcas	13	7	2	4	23:15	+8	23
4	Piratas	13	6	3	4	21:14	+7	21
5	Venados FC	13	6	3	4	28:23	+5	21
6	Durango	13	6	3	4	16:11	+5	21
7	Cancún	13	5	4	4	22:18	+4	19
8	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	14	6	1	7	14:25	-11	19
9	Mineros de Zacatecas	13	5	3	5	26:23	+3	18
10	Tapatío	13	5	2	6	23:25	-2	17
11	Dorados	13	4	4	5	23:24	-1	16
12	Correcaminos Uat	13	4	4	5	21:22	-1	16
13	Tlaxcala	13	4	4	5	25:27	-2	16
14	CDS Tampico Madero	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	14	3	5	6	17:22	-5	14
16	Tepatitlán	13	2	1	10	10:37	-27	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.46X21%4.31216%5.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.45 → 1.46 +0.7%X4.29 → 4.31 +0.5%25.66 → 5.73 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.27	4.7%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
BetVictor	1.58	2.20	8.7%
1xBet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Best of all books	1.65	2.27	4.7%
Average	1.59	2.24	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.69	2.03	8.4%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Best of all books	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Average	1.69	2.03	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Monarcas 45%Draw 45%CDS Tampico Madero 10%

The statistical model rated Monarcas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and CDS Tampico Madero at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.46 | 4.31 | 5.73, which imply roughly 68.5% for a Monarcas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Monarcas are 3rd (23 pts, 23-15 goals), CDS Tampico Madero 14th (15 pts, 14-20).

Over their last five matches, Monarcas averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; CDS Tampico Madero averaged 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Monarcas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.46	4.31	5.73

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.48	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.18	4.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
1.95	2.46	5.59

2nd half

1	X	2
1.74	2.88	5.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.07	16.7	42.3
HT X	4.30	7.17	12.8
HT 2	20.3	17.8	9.83

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	14.8	2.95

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.7
1.5	1.16	4.53
2.5	1.59	2.24
3.5	2.42	1.48
4.5	4.35	1.17
5.5	7.80	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.25	1.06	6.00
1.75	1.17	3.96
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.41	2.67
2.75	1.72	2.01
3	1.92	1.77
3.25	2.18	1.60
3.75	2.70	1.36
4	3.42	1.23
4.25	3.72	1.19
4.75	4.95	1.11
5	6.65	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.62	1.43
-1.5	2.27	1.56
-1.25	2.01	1.73
-1	1.76	1.98
-0.75	1.56	2.27
-0.5	1.47	2.57

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.20	1.03
-3.25	6.60	1.11
-3	6.45	1.07
-2.75	4.67	1.14
-2.5	3.77	1.21
-2.25	3.60	1.24
-2	3.33	1.29
-0.25	1.31	3.15
0	1.17	4.47
+0.25	1.13	4.83
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.06	7.23
+1	1.02	9.40
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.02	6.96
7.5	1.14	4.17
8.5	1.34	2.83
9.5	1.61	2.12
10.5	1.97	1.73
11.5	2.59	1.40
12.5	3.50	1.22
13.5	5.09	1.08

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	6.69
7	1.03	6.41
7.25	1.09	5.00
7.75	1.16	3.97
8	1.18	3.76
8.25	1.26	3.20
8.75	1.38	2.68
9	1.43	2.54
9.25	1.53	2.30
9.75	1.71	2.02
10	1.80	1.92
10.25	1.90	1.80
10.75	2.14	1.62
11	2.32	1.52
11.25	2.45	1.46
11.75	2.83	1.34
12	3.20	1.26
12.25	3.35	1.24
12.75	3.99	1.16
13	4.72	1.10
13.25	4.90	1.09

Next Liga de Expansión MX matches

24 Oct	Venados FC – Durango
25 Oct	Dorados – Piratas
25 Oct	CDS Tampico Madero – CA La Paz
25 Oct	Mineros de Zacatecas – Leones Negros UDG
25 Oct	Tlaxcala – Correcaminos Uat
25 Oct	Tapatío – Monarcas

All Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

24 Oct	Tepatitlán 0-4 Cancún
18 Oct	Leones Negros UDG 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
18 Oct	Piratas 3-0 Tepatitlán
18 Oct	Cancún 1-1 Venados FC
17 Oct	Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas
17 Oct	CA La Paz 2-2 Tlaxcala