Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#132.2:2.018:00Today · Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala0.8:1.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.06DAFX3.81PIN23.50B365Margin at best3.4%Books9Markets79Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.97	3.81	3.48	5.7%
Bet365	2.00	3.80	3.30	6.6%
Dafabet	2.07	3.65	3.20	7.0%
BetVictor	1.95	3.70	3.25	9.1%
Betano	1.98	3.65	3.20	9.2%
1xBet	1.94	3.60	3.20	10.6%
Betfair	1.95	3.60	3.10	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.92	3.60	3.12	11.9%
William Hill	1.95	3.50	3.10	12.1%
Best of all books	2.07	3.81	3.48	3.3%
Average	1.97	3.66	3.22	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TlaxcalaCorrecaminos Uat

Last 10#13Table position#121.23Points per game1.238Form pts · last 542.2Goals for · last 50.82.0Goals against · last 51.473Attack rating2741Defence rating5967Form rating3338H2H rating6253Goals model4753Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

Tlaxcala

4W 4D 2L · goals 22:18 · per match 2.2 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	A	CA La Paz	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Piratas	4-2	W
4 Oct	A	Monarcas	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Cancún	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	Tapatío	0-4	L
12 Sep	H	CDS Tampico Madero	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Durango	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Venados FC	3-1	W
21 Aug	A	Tepatitlán	2-3	L
16 Aug	A	Dorados	2-2	D

Correcaminos Uat

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	H	Dorados	1-2	L
9 Oct	A	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	CDS Tampico Madero	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	CA La Paz	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Cancún	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Piratas	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Durango	0-0	D
21 Aug	A	Monarcas	3-1	W
15 Aug	H	Tapatío	2-3	L

Head to head

5Tlaxcala wins

4draws

3Correcaminos Uat wins

12 meetings · goals 15:10 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Tlaxcala

31 Jan 2026Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Correcaminos Uat2-1Tlaxcala
24 Aug 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tlaxcala0-2Correcaminos Uat
17 Jan 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Correcaminos Uat1-1Tlaxcala
4 Aug 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tlaxcala3-2Correcaminos Uat
1 Mar 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Correcaminos Uat1-1Tlaxcala
1 Nov 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tlaxcala0-1Correcaminos Uat
21 Apr 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tlaxcala0-0Correcaminos Uat
24 Aug 2022Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Correcaminos Uat0-2Tlaxcala
24 Mar 2022Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tlaxcala4-0Correcaminos Uat
2 Sep 2021Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Correcaminos Uat1-1Tlaxcala

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Tlaxcala sit 13th with 16 points from 13 games, while Correcaminos Uat are 12th with 16 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	13	7	3	3	30:17	+13	24
2	Leones Negros UDG	13	7	3	3	29:19	+10	24
3	Venados FC	14	7	3	4	31:25	+6	24
4	Monarcas	13	7	2	4	23:15	+8	23
5	Cancún	14	6	4	4	26:18	+8	22
6	Piratas	13	6	3	4	21:14	+7	21
7	Durango	14	6	3	5	18:14	+4	21
8	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	14	6	1	7	14:25	-11	19
9	Mineros de Zacatecas	13	5	3	5	26:23	+3	18
10	Tapatío	13	5	2	6	23:25	-2	17
11	Dorados	13	4	4	5	23:24	-1	16
12	Correcaminos Uat	13	4	4	5	21:22	-1	16
13	Tlaxcala	13	4	4	5	25:27	-2	16
14	CDS Tampico Madero	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	14	3	5	6	17:22	-5	14
16	Tepatitlán	14	2	1	11	10:41	-31	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.96X25%3.67228%3.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.97 → 1.96 -0.5%X3.68 → 3.67 -0.3%23.15 → 3.24 +2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.56	2.42	5.4%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
BetVictor	1.54	2.27	9.0%
1xBet	1.52	2.31	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.31	9.1%
Best of all books	1.56	2.42	5.4%
Average	1.54	2.32	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.47	2.47	8.5%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
BetVictor	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.42	9.3%
Best of all books	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Average	1.48	2.43	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tlaxcala 35%Draw 35%Correcaminos Uat 30%

The statistical model rates Tlaxcala at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Correcaminos Uat at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.96 | 3.67 | 3.24, which imply roughly 51% for a Tlaxcala win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Tlaxcala are 13th (16 pts, 25-27 goals), Correcaminos Uat 12th (16 pts, 21-22).

Over their last five matches, Tlaxcala averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Correcaminos Uat averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Tlaxcala or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.97	3.66	3.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.74	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.49	2.45

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.43

1st half

1	X	2
2.46	2.38	3.65

2nd half

1	X	2
2.27	2.70	3.30

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.99	13.7	28.8
HT X	5.28	6.32	7.75
HT 2	21.5	14.1	5.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	16.3	2.22

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.7
1.5	1.15	4.69
2.5	1.54	2.32
3.5	2.30	1.53
4.5	4.02	1.19
5.5	7.33	1.05

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.25	1.05	6.50
1.75	1.15	4.20
2	1.19	3.75
2.25	1.36	2.75
2.75	1.65	2.08
3	1.84	1.84
3.25	2.08	1.66
3.75	2.67	1.38
4	3.34	1.24
4.25	3.69	1.20
4.75	4.95	1.11
5	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.73	1.39
-0.75	2.22	1.58
-0.5	1.96	1.80
-0.25	1.71	2.01
0	1.49	2.45
+0.25	1.37	2.81

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.80	1.04
-2	6.05	1.06
-1.75	4.30	1.15
-1.5	3.41	1.26
-1.25	3.06	1.31
+0.5	1.31	3.45
+0.75	1.21	3.86
+1	1.08	5.45
+1.25	1.07	5.90
+1.5	1.06	6.35
+1.75	1.01	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.02	6.98
7.5	1.14	4.18
8.5	1.33	2.86
9.5	1.60	2.13
10.5	2.03	1.70
11.5	2.55	1.42
12.5	3.46	1.23
13.5	5.07	1.08
14.5	6.67	1.02

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	6.71
7	1.03	6.44
7.25	1.09	5.01
7.75	1.16	3.98
8	1.18	3.78
8.25	1.26	3.21
8.75	1.38	2.69
9	1.43	2.54
9.25	1.53	2.30
9.75	1.70	2.02
10	1.82	1.91
10.25	1.90	1.80
10.75	2.14	1.62
11	2.32	1.52
11.25	2.44	1.47
11.75	2.82	1.34
12	3.18	1.27
12.25	3.34	1.24
12.75	3.98	1.16
13	4.70	1.11
13.25	4.88	1.10
13.75	5.83	1.05
14	7.20	1.01
14.25	6.47	1.03

Next Liga de Expansión MX matches

25 Oct

Tapatío – Monarcas

All Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

25 Oct	Dorados 0-5 Piratas
25 Oct	CDS Tampico Madero 1-3 CA La Paz
25 Oct	Mineros de Zacatecas 0-2 Leones Negros UDG
24 Oct	Venados FC 3-2 Durango
24 Oct	Tepatitlán 0-4 Cancún
18 Oct	Leones Negros UDG 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca