Tepatitlán vs Cancún• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#161.0:2.00-4FT24/101.6:1.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.80BVCX4.65PIN21.67B365Margin at best2.2%Books9Markets84Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 22:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	4.75	4.10	1.67	5.3%
Pinnacle	4.34	4.65	1.64	5.5%
Dafabet	4.80	4.30	1.60	6.6%
BetVictor	4.80	4.20	1.57	8.3%
Betano	4.55	3.90	1.62	9.3%
Betfair	4.50	4.20	1.55	10.5%
1xBet	4.43	4.25	1.55	10.6%
William Hill	4.50	4.00	1.57	10.9%
Marathonbet	4.35	4.25	1.53	11.9%
Best of all books	4.80	4.65	1.67	2.2%
Average	4.56	4.21	1.59	8.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TepatitlánCancún

Last 10#16Table position#40.50Points per game1.574Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 51.438Attack rating6241Defence rating5933Form rating6715H2H rating8536Goals model6432Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC

Tepatitlán

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:28 · per match 0.9 for, 2.8 against

18 Oct	A	Piratas	0-3	L
13 Oct	A	Tapatío	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Monarcas	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	CDS Tampico Madero	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Mineros de Zacatecas	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Venados FC	0-5	L
4 Sep	H	Dorados	1-4	L
29 Aug	A	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	0-6	L
21 Aug	H	Tlaxcala	3-2	W
14 Aug	A	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0-1	L

Cancún

4W 4D 2L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	H	Venados FC	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Mineros de Zacatecas	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Tapatío	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Tlaxcala	1-4	L
20 Sep	H	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3-0	W
16 Sep	A	Dorados	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Correcaminos Uat	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	6-0	W
28 Aug	H	CA La Paz	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Piratas	1-0	W

Head to head

3Tepatitlán wins

3draws

7Cancún wins

13 meetings · goals 15:22 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Tepatitlán

29 Mar 2026Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Cancún2-2Tepatitlán
18 Oct 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tepatitlán1-2Cancún
18 Jan 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tepatitlán1-1Cancún
3 Aug 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Cancún2-0Tepatitlán
19 Mar 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Cancún2-0Tepatitlán
30 Aug 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tepatitlán3-0Cancún
21 Mar 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tepatitlán1-0Cancún
12 Oct 2022Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Cancún1-2Tepatitlán
22 Apr 2022Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Cancún2-2Tepatitlán
8 Feb 2022Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Cancún2-1Tepatitlán

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 25 Oct 01:10 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Tepatitlán sit 16th with 7 points from 14 games, while Cancún are 4th with 22 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	13	7	3	3	30:17	+13	24
2	Leones Negros UDG	13	7	3	3	29:19	+10	24
3	Monarcas	13	7	2	4	23:15	+8	23
4	Cancún	14	6	4	4	26:18	+8	22
5	Piratas	13	6	3	4	21:14	+7	21
6	Venados FC	13	6	3	4	28:23	+5	21
7	Durango	13	6	3	4	16:11	+5	21
8	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	14	6	1	7	14:25	-11	19
9	Mineros de Zacatecas	13	5	3	5	26:23	+3	18
10	Tapatío	13	5	2	6	23:25	-2	17
11	Dorados	13	4	4	5	23:24	-1	16
12	Correcaminos Uat	13	4	4	5	21:22	-1	16
13	Tlaxcala	13	4	4	5	25:27	-2	16
14	CDS Tampico Madero	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	14	3	5	6	17:22	-5	14
16	Tepatitlán	14	2	1	11	10:41	-31	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.56X22%4.21258%1.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.73 → 4.56 +22.3%X3.86 → 4.21 +9.1%21.74 → 1.59 -8.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.55	2.47	5.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
BetVictor	1.52	2.31	9.1%
1xBet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Best of all books	1.57	2.47	4.2%
Average	1.52	2.34	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.56	2.25	8.5%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.21	9.4%
Best of all books	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Average	1.56	2.24	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tepatitlán 0%Draw 50%Cancún 50%

The statistical model rated Tepatitlán at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Cancún at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.56 | 4.21 | 1.59, which imply roughly 23.8% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Tepatitlán are 16th (7 pts, 10-41 goals), Cancún 4th (22 pts, 26-18).

Over their last five matches, Tepatitlán averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Cancún averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cancún.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.56	4.21	1.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.20	1.16	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
3.50	1.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.24

1st half

1	X	2
4.51	2.47	2.10

2nd half

1	X	2
4.33	2.82	1.89

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.93	16.1	18.9
HT X	11.2	7.15	4.55
HT 2	37.0	15.8	2.24

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.62	17.3	1.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.14	4.73
2.5	1.52	2.34
3.5	2.30	1.55
4.5	3.92	1.20
5.5	7.08	1.06

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	10.5
1.25	1.06	6.30
1.75	1.15	4.25
2	1.19	3.80
2.25	1.35	2.79
2.75	1.64	2.12
3	1.82	1.87
3.25	2.06	1.67
3.75	2.63	1.42
4	3.20	1.26
4.25	3.51	1.22
4.75	4.76	1.12
5	6.40	1.05
5.25	6.70	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.64	1.41
+0.5	2.22	1.62
+0.75	2.00	1.73
+1	1.75	1.98
+1.25	1.61	2.20
+1.5	1.44	2.55

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.90	1.01
-1.25	7.50	1.03
-1	8.20	1.02
-0.75	5.35	1.09
-0.25	3.82	1.21
0	3.39	1.26
+1.75	1.32	3.06
+2	1.19	4.03
+2.25	1.16	4.20
+2.5	1.13	4.55
+2.75	1.08	5.70
+3	1.02	8.10
+3.5	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.03	6.51
7.5	1.16	3.95
8.5	1.37	2.71
9.5	1.66	2.07
10.5	2.09	1.66
11.5	2.70	1.37
12.5	3.71	1.19
13.5	5.44	1.07

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.25
7	1.05	5.98
7.25	1.11	4.70
7.75	1.18	3.76
8	1.21	3.56
8.25	1.29	3.05
8.75	1.42	2.57
9	1.47	2.43
9.25	1.58	2.22
9.75	1.76	1.95
10	1.88	1.86
10.25	1.97	1.74
10.75	2.22	1.57
11	2.42	1.48
11.25	2.56	1.42
11.75	2.97	1.31
12	3.38	1.23
12.25	3.54	1.21
12.75	4.24	1.14
13	5.06	1.08
13.25	5.25	1.08

Next Liga de Expansión MX matches

25 Oct	Tlaxcala – Correcaminos Uat
25 Oct	Tapatío – Monarcas

All Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

24 Oct	Venados FC 3-2 Durango
18 Oct	Leones Negros UDG 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
18 Oct	Piratas 3-0 Tepatitlán
18 Oct	Cancún 1-1 Venados FC
18 Oct	Monarcas 1-2 CDS Tampico Madero
17 Oct	Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas