Venados FC vs 
Durango• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 18:10 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 6.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 6.2% |
| Average | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 6.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 08:01 UTC
Venados FC
4W 2D 4L · goals 21:20 · per match 2.1 for, 2.0 against
| 18 Oct | A | Cancún | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Leones Negros UDG | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Oct | A | CA La Paz | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Monarcas | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Piratas | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Tepatitlán | 5-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | CDS Tampico Madero | 3-4 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Tlaxcala | 1-3 | L |
| 20 Aug | H | Dorados | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Mineros de Zacatecas | 1-5 | L |
Durango
4W 3D 3L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against
| 18 Oct | H | Tapatío | 5-0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | CDS Tampico Madero | 0-0 | D |
| 4 Oct | H | Mineros de Zacatecas | 4-2 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Dorados | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 2-0 | W |
| 11 Sep | A | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Tlaxcala | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Correcaminos Uat | 0-0 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | Leones Negros UDG | 1-2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Cancún | 0-2 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Venados FC
| 23 Feb 2023Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Venados FC1-0Durango |
| 21 Jul 2022Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Durango1-1Venados FC |
Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 24 Oct 04:50 UTC
In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Venados FC sit 5th with 21 points from 13 games, while Durango are 6th with 21 points from 13.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 30:17 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 | Piratas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | +7 | 21 |
| 5 | Venados FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28:23 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 | Durango | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | +5 | 21 |
| 7 | Cancún | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 19 |
| 9 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 26:23 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 | Tapatío | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23:25 | -2 | 17 |
| 11 | Dorados | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25:27 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10:37 | -27 | 7 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 5.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 2.05 | 5.9% |
| Average | 1.75 | 2.05 | 5.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Venados FC at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Durango at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30, which imply roughly 46.5% for a Venados FC win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Venados FC are 5th (21 pts, 28-23 goals), Durango 6th (21 pts, 16-11).
Over their last five matches, Venados FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Durango averaged 2.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Venados FC or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | 1.62 | 1.33 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.57 | 2.25 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.62 | 2.25 | 3.40 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.40 | 13.0 | 29.0 |
| HT X | 5.50 | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| HT 2 | 23.0 | 15.0 | 4.75 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | 11.0 | 2.20 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 1.88 | 1.92 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.83 | 1.83 |
Next Liga de Expansión MX matches
| 25 Oct | Dorados – Piratas |
| 25 Oct | CDS Tampico Madero – CA La Paz |
| 25 Oct | Mineros de Zacatecas – Leones Negros UDG |
| 25 Oct | Tlaxcala – Correcaminos Uat |
| 25 Oct | Tapatío – Monarcas |