CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#140.8:1.21-3FTToday · Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico-Ciudad Madero2.6:1.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.58PINX3.67PIN22.50B365Margin at best6.0%Books9Markets80Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.60	3.79	2.49	5.0%
Bet365	2.60	3.40	2.60	6.3%
Dafabet	2.55	3.65	2.49	6.8%
BetVictor	2.50	3.60	2.45	8.6%
Betano	2.55	3.45	2.45	9.0%
Betfair	2.45	3.50	2.40	11.1%
William Hill	2.45	3.50	2.38	11.4%
1xBet	2.45	3.45	2.38	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.45	3.45	2.38	11.8%
Best of all books	2.60	3.79	2.60	3.3%
Average	2.51	3.53	2.45	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CDS Tampico MaderoCA La Paz

Last 10#14Table position#11.15Points per game1.855Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 52.61.2Goals against · last 51.624Attack rating7657Defence rating4333Form rating6793H2H rating742Goals model5853Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

CDS Tampico Madero

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

18 Oct	A	Monarcas	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Durango	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Tepatitlán	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Correcaminos Uat	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Dorados	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Tlaxcala	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Venados FC	4-3	W
30 Aug	A	Mineros de Zacatecas	0-2	L
23 Aug	H	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Leones Negros UDG	0-4	L

CA La Paz

6W 3D 1L · goals 23:12 · per match 2.3 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	H	Tlaxcala	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	Tapatío	4-2	W
3 Oct	H	Venados FC	1-2	L
25 Sep	A	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Correcaminos Uat	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Leones Negros UDG	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Mineros de Zacatecas	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	Cancún	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Piratas	2-0	W

Head to head

4CDS Tampico Madero wins

1draws

1CA La Paz wins

6 meetings · goals 11:6 · last 6: 4W 1D 1L for CDS Tampico Madero

26 Apr 2026Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CA La Paz1-2CDS Tampico Madero
23 Apr 2026Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CDS Tampico Madero2-0CA La Paz
28 Mar 2026Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CA La Paz1-1CDS Tampico Madero
19 Oct 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CDS Tampico Madero3-2CA La Paz
23 Feb 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CDS Tampico Madero2-0CA La Paz
7 Sep 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CA La Paz2-1CDS Tampico Madero

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, CDS Tampico Madero sit 14th with 15 points from 13 games, while CA La Paz are 1st with 24 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	13	7	3	3	30:17	+13	24
2	Leones Negros UDG	13	7	3	3	29:19	+10	24
3	Venados FC	14	7	3	4	31:25	+6	24
4	Monarcas	13	7	2	4	23:15	+8	23
5	Cancún	14	6	4	4	26:18	+8	22
6	Piratas	13	6	3	4	21:14	+7	21
7	Durango	14	6	3	5	18:14	+4	21
8	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	14	6	1	7	14:25	-11	19
9	Mineros de Zacatecas	13	5	3	5	26:23	+3	18
10	Tapatío	13	5	2	6	23:25	-2	17
11	Dorados	13	4	4	5	23:24	-1	16
12	Correcaminos Uat	13	4	4	5	21:22	-1	16
13	Tlaxcala	13	4	4	5	25:27	-2	16
14	CDS Tampico Madero	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	14	3	5	6	17:22	-5	14
16	Tepatitlán	14	2	1	11	10:41	-31	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.50X26%3.54238%2.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.50	2.58	5.4%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Betano	1.53	2.27	9.4%
1xBet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
Best of all books	1.53	2.58	4.1%
Average	1.50	2.39	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.43	2.59	8.5%
Betano	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.54	9.3%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
BetVictor	1.40	2.63	9.5%
Best of all books	1.45	2.63	7.0%
Average	1.43	2.55	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CDS Tampico Madero 35%Draw 35%CA La Paz 30%

The statistical model rated CDS Tampico Madero at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and CA La Paz at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.50 | 3.54 | 2.43, which imply roughly 40% for a CDS Tampico Madero win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: CDS Tampico Madero are 14th (15 pts, 14-20 goals), CA La Paz 1st (24 pts, 30-17).

Over their last five matches, CDS Tampico Madero averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; CA La Paz averaged 2.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : CDS Tampico Madero or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.51	3.53	2.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.46	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.86	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.43	2.55

1st half

1	X	2
2.99	2.36	2.90

2nd half

1	X	2
2.72	2.70	2.63

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.95	12.9	23.3
HT X	6.32	6.03	6.20
HT 2	24.0	13.6	3.81

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	16.0	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.5
1.5	1.14	4.88
2.5	1.50	2.39
3.5	2.23	1.58
4.5	3.77	1.22
5.5	6.75	1.07

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	10.5
1.25	1.06	6.00
1.75	1.15	4.30
2	1.18	3.85
2.25	1.33	2.84
2.75	1.61	2.17
3	1.79	1.91
3.25	2.00	1.72
3.75	2.54	1.45
4	3.08	1.28
4.25	3.35	1.25
4.75	4.50	1.13
5	5.95	1.07
5.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.51	1.50
-0.25	2.17	1.61
0	1.89	1.84
+0.25	1.65	2.09
+0.5	1.53	2.44
+0.75	1.37	2.81

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.80	1.01
-2	8.20	1.02
-1.75	5.75	1.07
-1.5	4.55	1.13
-1.25	4.16	1.16
-1	3.91	1.21
-0.75	2.96	1.34
+1	1.23	3.67
+1.25	1.17	3.94
+1.5	1.15	4.30
+1.75	1.08	5.45
+2	1.02	7.80
+2.5	1.01	8.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.03	6.51
7.5	1.16	3.95
8.5	1.36	2.73
9.5	1.65	2.05
10.5	1.96	1.75
11.5	2.69	1.37
12.5	3.70	1.19
13.5	5.45	1.07
14.5	7.24	1.01

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.24
7	1.05	5.98
7.25	1.11	4.70
7.75	1.18	3.76
8	1.21	3.56
8.25	1.29	3.04
8.75	1.42	2.57
9	1.47	2.43
9.25	1.58	2.21
9.75	1.76	1.95
10	1.86	1.86
10.25	1.97	1.74
10.75	2.22	1.57
11	2.21	1.64
11.25	2.56	1.42
11.75	2.97	1.31
12	3.38	1.23
12.25	3.54	1.21
12.75	4.24	1.14
13	5.06	1.08
13.25	5.25	1.08
13.75	5.65	1.06
14	6.95	1.02
14.25	7.03	1.02

Next Liga de Expansión MX matches

25 Oct	Tlaxcala – Correcaminos Uat
25 Oct	Tapatío – Monarcas

All Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

25 Oct	Dorados 0-5 Piratas
25 Oct	Mineros de Zacatecas 0-2 Leones Negros UDG
24 Oct	Venados FC 3-2 Durango
24 Oct	Tepatitlán 0-4 Cancún
18 Oct	Leones Negros UDG 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
18 Oct	Piratas 3-0 Tepatitlán