CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#12.6:1.62-2FT17/10 · Estadio Guaycura, La Paz2.4:1.8#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53B365X4.92PIN25.47PINMargin at best4.0%Books6Markets88Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 22:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	4.94	5.50	5.5%
Bet365	1.53	4.75	5.00	6.4%
BetVictor	1.45	4.80	5.25	8.8%
1xBet	1.42	4.65	5.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	4.65	5.15	11.8%
William Hill	1.44	4.60	4.80	12.0%
Best of all books	1.53	4.94	5.50	3.8%
Average	1.46	4.73	5.17	9.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CA La PazTlaxcala

Last 10#1Table position#131.85Points per game1.2310Form pts · last 582.6Goals for · last 52.41.6Goals against · last 51.852Attack rating4853Defence rating4750Form rating5085H2H rating1572Goals model2862Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

CA La Paz

6W 3D 1L · goals 23:12 · per match 2.3 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	H	Tlaxcala	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	Tapatío	4-2	W
3 Oct	H	Venados FC	1-2	L
25 Sep	A	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Correcaminos Uat	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Leones Negros UDG	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Mineros de Zacatecas	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	Cancún	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Piratas	2-0	W

Tlaxcala

4W 4D 2L · goals 22:18 · per match 2.2 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	A	CA La Paz	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Piratas	4-2	W
4 Oct	A	Monarcas	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Cancún	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	Tapatío	0-4	L
12 Sep	H	CDS Tampico Madero	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Durango	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Venados FC	3-1	W
21 Aug	A	Tepatitlán	2-3	L
16 Aug	A	Dorados	2-2	D

Head to head

4CA La Paz wins

3draws

1Tlaxcala wins

8 meetings · goals 17:12 · last 8: 4W 3D 1L for CA La Paz

8 Mar 2026Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CA La Paz2-0Tlaxcala
28 Sep 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tlaxcala3-3CA La Paz
11 Jan 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CA La Paz4-4Tlaxcala
27 Jul 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tlaxcala0-2CA La Paz
17 Feb 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tlaxcala2-3CA La Paz
27 Sep 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CA La Paz1-0Tlaxcala
4 Apr 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tlaxcala1-0CA La Paz
10 Aug 2022Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	CA La Paz2-2Tlaxcala

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, CA La Paz sit 1st with 24 points from 13 games, while Tlaxcala are 13th with 16 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	13	7	3	3	30:17	+13	24
2	Leones Negros UDG	13	7	3	3	29:19	+10	24
3	Venados FC	14	7	3	4	31:25	+6	24
4	Monarcas	13	7	2	4	23:15	+8	23
5	Cancún	14	6	4	4	26:18	+8	22
6	Piratas	13	6	3	4	21:14	+7	21
7	Durango	14	6	3	5	18:14	+4	21
8	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	14	6	1	7	14:25	-11	19
9	Mineros de Zacatecas	13	5	3	5	26:23	+3	18
10	Tapatío	13	5	2	6	23:25	-2	17
11	Dorados	13	4	4	5	23:24	-1	16
12	Correcaminos Uat	13	4	4	5	21:22	-1	16
13	Tlaxcala	13	4	4	5	25:27	-2	16
14	CDS Tampico Madero	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	14	3	5	6	17:22	-5	14
16	Tepatitlán	14	2	1	11	10:41	-31	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.46X19%4.73218%5.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.50 → 1.46 -2.7%X4.50 → 4.73 +5.1%24.86 → 5.17 +6.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.33	3.33	5.2%
Bet365	1.33	3.25	6.0%
BetVictor	1.30	3.25	7.7%
1xBet	1.28	3.08	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.28	3.08	10.6%
Best of all books	1.33	3.33	5.2%
Average	1.30	3.20	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.44	2.60	7.9%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.41	2.66	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.60	9.4%
Best of all books	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Average	1.42	2.64	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CA La Paz 45%Draw 45%Tlaxcala 10%

The statistical model rated CA La Paz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tlaxcala at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.46 | 4.73 | 5.16, which imply roughly 68.5% for a CA La Paz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: CA La Paz are 1st (24 pts, 30-17 goals), Tlaxcala 13th (16 pts, 25-27).

Over their last five matches, CA La Paz averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Tlaxcala averaged 2.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : CA La Paz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.46	4.73	5.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.46	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	4.03

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.64

1st half

1	X	2
1.90	2.75	4.81

2nd half

1	X	2
1.70	3.20	4.76

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.05	16.4	38.7
HT X	4.70	8.67	12.3
HT 2	17.4	17.0	8.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.44	26.0	2.63

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	18.5
1.5	1.06	7.15
2.5	1.30	3.20
3.5	1.80	1.91
4.5	2.82	1.37
5.5	4.95	1.13

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.0
1.75	1.05	6.55
2	1.06	6.00
2.25	1.17	4.00
2.75	1.33	2.81
3	1.45	2.51
3.25	1.62	2.15
3.75	1.98	1.74
4	2.27	1.55
4.25	2.54	1.44
4.75	3.28	1.25
5	4.20	1.15
5.25	4.55	1.13
6	8.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.49	1.46
-1.5	2.16	1.61
-1.25	1.94	1.78
-1	1.72	2.02
-0.75	1.54	2.29
-0.5	1.47	2.59

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.90	1.04
-3	6.15	1.06
-2.75	4.50	1.13
-2.5	3.58	1.21
-2.25	3.37	1.27
-2	3.05	1.32
-0.25	1.31	3.12
0	1.18	4.18
+0.25	1.13	4.60
+0.75	1.05	6.92
+1	1.03	8.40
+1.5	1.02	9.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.03	6.48
7.5	1.11	4.59
8.5	1.30	3.02
9.5	1.55	2.22
10.5	1.94	1.76
11.5	2.43	1.46
12.5	3.28	1.25
13.5	4.56	1.12
14.5	6.89	1.02

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.21
7	1.01	7.25
7.25	1.06	5.55
7.75	1.13	4.38
8	1.14	4.16
8.25	1.22	3.49
8.75	1.32	2.90
9	1.36	2.74
9.25	1.46	2.46
9.75	1.62	2.14
10	1.74	2.03
10.25	1.80	1.90
10.75	2.02	1.71
11	2.16	1.61
11.25	2.28	1.54
11.75	2.62	1.40
12	2.92	1.32
12.25	3.06	1.29
12.75	3.61	1.20
13	4.20	1.14
13.25	4.38	1.13
13.75	5.31	1.07
14	6.48	1.03
14.25	6.68	1.02

Next Liga de Expansión MX matches

25 Oct	Tlaxcala – Correcaminos Uat
25 Oct	Tapatío – Monarcas

All Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

25 Oct	Mineros de Zacatecas 0-2 Leones Negros UDG
25 Oct	CDS Tampico Madero 1-3 CA La Paz
25 Oct	Dorados 0-5 Piratas
24 Oct	Venados FC 3-2 Durango
24 Oct	Tepatitlán 0-4 Cancún
18 Oct	Leones Negros UDG 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca