Tapatío vs Monarcas• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#102.0:2.223:00Today · Estadio Akron, Zapopan1.2:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.95BTNX3.54PIN22.47PINMargin at best2.6%Books10Markets79Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.73	3.54	2.47	5.4%
Bet365	2.75	3.40	2.45	6.6%
Dafabet	2.75	3.50	2.37	7.1%
BetVictor	2.63	3.50	2.38	8.6%
Betano	2.95	3.30	2.22	9.2%
Betfair	2.80	3.40	2.20	10.6%
William Hill	2.60	3.40	2.30	11.4%
1xBet	2.64	3.34	2.27	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.64	3.34	2.27	11.9%
SBO	2.59	3.17	2.13	17.1%
Best of all books	2.95	3.54	2.47	2.6%
Average	2.71	3.39	2.31	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TapatíoMonarcas

Last 10#10Table position#41.31Points per game1.776Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 51.22.2Goals against · last 51.263Attack rating3835Defence rating6555Form rating4585H2H rating1547Goals model5361Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:12 UTC

Tapatío

4W 1D 5L · goals 20:22 · per match 2.0 for, 2.2 against

18 Oct	A	Durango	0-5	L
13 Oct	H	Tepatitlán	4-1	W
9 Oct	H	CA La Paz	2-4	L
4 Oct	A	Cancún	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Tlaxcala	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Dorados	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Leones Negros UDG	1-3	L
28 Aug	A	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1-1	D
24 Aug	H	Mineros de Zacatecas	4-2	W
15 Aug	A	Correcaminos Uat	3-2	W

Monarcas

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	CDS Tampico Madero	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Tepatitlán	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Tlaxcala	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Venados FC	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Leones Negros UDG	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Mineros de Zacatecas	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Dorados	1-0	W
21 Aug	H	Correcaminos Uat	1-3	L
15 Aug	A	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	2-1	W

Head to head

6Tapatío wins

5draws

3Monarcas wins

14 meetings · goals 18:16 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for Tapatío

22 Mar 2026Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tapatío2-1Monarcas
12 Oct 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Monarcas0-0Tapatío
18 Jan 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tapatío1-0Monarcas
2 Aug 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Monarcas1-4Tapatío
17 Feb 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tapatío0-0Monarcas
17 Sep 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Monarcas0-0Tapatío
21 May 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tapatío2-2Monarcas
18 May 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Monarcas1-2Tapatío
10 Feb 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Monarcas2-0Tapatío
15 Jul 2022Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Tapatío2-0Monarcas

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Tapatío sit 10th with 17 points from 13 games, while Monarcas are 4th with 23 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	13	7	3	3	30:17	+13	24
2	Leones Negros UDG	13	7	3	3	29:19	+10	24
3	Venados FC	14	7	3	4	31:25	+6	24
4	Monarcas	13	7	2	4	23:15	+8	23
5	Cancún	14	6	4	4	26:18	+8	22
6	Piratas	13	6	3	4	21:14	+7	21
7	Durango	14	6	3	5	18:14	+4	21
8	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	14	6	1	7	14:25	-11	19
9	Mineros de Zacatecas	13	5	3	5	26:23	+3	18
10	Tapatío	13	5	2	6	23:25	-2	17
11	Dorados	13	4	4	5	23:24	-1	16
12	Correcaminos Uat	13	4	4	5	21:22	-1	16
13	Tlaxcala	13	4	4	5	25:27	-2	16
14	CDS Tampico Madero	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	14	3	5	6	17:22	-5	14
16	Tepatitlán	14	2	1	11	10:41	-31	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.71X27%3.39239%2.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.83 → 2.71 -4.2%X3.43 → 3.39 -1.2%22.20 → 2.31 +5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.64	2.26	5.2%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.62	2.12	8.9%
1xBet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.65	2.26	4.9%
Average	1.61	2.18	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.55	2.30	8.0%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.49	2.42	8.4%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.38	9.1%
Best of all books	1.55	2.42	5.8%
Average	1.51	2.37	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tapatío 45%Draw 45%Monarcas 10%

The statistical model rates Tapatío at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Monarcas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.71 | 3.39 | 2.31, which imply roughly 36.9% for a Tapatío win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Tapatío are 10th (17 pts, 23-25 goals), Monarcas 4th (23 pts, 23-15).

Over their last five matches, Tapatío averaged 2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Monarcas averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tapatío or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.71	3.39	2.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.54	1.38	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.03	1.71

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.37

1st half

1	X	2
3.18	2.28	2.82

2nd half

1	X	2
2.98	2.61	2.54

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.41	13.6	23.9
HT X	6.65	5.72	5.74
HT 2	26.4	13.4	3.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.00	14.0	1.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.3
1.5	1.17	4.34
2.5	1.62	2.18
3.5	2.49	1.46
4.5	4.43	1.16
5.5	8.15	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.20
1.25	1.06	6.05
1.75	1.18	3.90
2	1.23	3.42
2.25	1.42	2.59
2.75	1.75	1.96
3	1.98	1.73
3.25	2.23	1.57
3.75	2.89	1.33
4	3.75	1.19
4.25	4.11	1.16
4.75	5.60	1.08
5	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.65	1.44
-0.25	2.30	1.54
0	1.98	1.76
+0.25	1.73	2.02
+0.5	1.54	2.38
+0.75	1.38	2.75

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.90	1.01
-2	8.90	1.02
-1.75	7.10	1.04
-1.5	5.40	1.09
-1.25	4.96	1.11
-1	4.52	1.15
-0.75	3.24	1.29
+1	1.23	3.63
+1.25	1.19	3.98
+1.5	1.14	4.40
+1.75	1.08	5.70
+2	1.01	8.70
+2.5	1.02	8.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.02	6.98
7.5	1.14	4.18
8.5	1.34	2.84
9.5	1.61	2.12
10.5	2.00	1.72
11.5	2.58	1.40
12.5	3.50	1.22
13.5	5.08	1.08
14.5	6.92	1.02

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	6.70
7	1.03	6.43
7.25	1.09	5.00
7.75	1.16	3.98
8	1.18	3.78
8.25	1.26	3.20
8.75	1.38	2.69
9	1.43	2.54
9.25	1.53	2.30
9.75	1.70	2.02
10	1.79	1.95
10.25	1.90	1.80
10.75	2.14	1.62
11	2.32	1.52
11.25	2.44	1.47
11.75	2.83	1.34
12	3.18	1.27
12.25	3.34	1.24
12.75	3.98	1.16
13	4.70	1.11
13.25	4.89	1.10
13.75	5.33	1.07
14	6.50	1.03
14.25	6.71	1.02

Next Liga de Expansión MX matches

25 Oct

Tlaxcala – Correcaminos Uat

All Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

25 Oct	Dorados 0-5 Piratas
25 Oct	CDS Tampico Madero 1-3 CA La Paz
25 Oct	Mineros de Zacatecas 0-2 Leones Negros UDG
24 Oct	Venados FC 3-2 Durango
24 Oct	Tepatitlán 0-4 Cancún
18 Oct	Leones Negros UDG 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca