Dorados vs Piratas• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#111.4:2.40-5FTToday · Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlan2.2:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.99PINX4.38PIN21.75DAFMargin at best0.0%Books9Markets83Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	4.43	4.12	1.71	5.3%
Bet365	4.33	4.10	1.70	6.3%
Dafabet	4.40	3.85	1.72	6.8%
BetVictor	4.50	3.90	1.65	8.5%
Betano	4.25	3.95	1.67	8.7%
Betfair	4.33	3.90	1.62	10.5%
1xBet	4.38	3.84	1.62	10.6%
William Hill	4.00	3.75	1.67	11.5%
Marathonbet	4.30	3.84	1.60	11.8%
Best of all books	4.50	4.12	1.72	4.6%
Average	4.32	3.92	1.66	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DoradosPiratas

Last 10#11Table position#61.23Points per game1.624Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 52.22.4Goals against · last 51.639Attack rating6140Defence rating6031Form rating690H2H rating046Goals model5439Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

Dorados

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:20 · per match 1.7 for, 2.0 against

17 Oct	A	Correcaminos Uat	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1-3	L
4 Oct	A	Leones Negros UDG	3-6	L
27 Sep	H	Durango	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	CDS Tampico Madero	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Cancún	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Tapatío	3-1	W
4 Sep	A	Tepatitlán	4-1	W
29 Aug	H	Monarcas	0-1	L
20 Aug	A	Venados FC	2-4	L

Piratas

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Tepatitlán	3-0	W
10 Oct	A	Tlaxcala	2-4	L
4 Oct	H	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4-0	W
25 Sep	A	Mineros de Zacatecas	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Venados FC	2-1	W
11 Sep	A	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Correcaminos Uat	4-1	W
30 Aug	A	Leones Negros UDG	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	Cancún	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	CA La Paz	0-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Dorados and Piratas on record.

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Dorados sit 11th with 16 points from 13 games, while Piratas are 6th with 21 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	13	7	3	3	30:17	+13	24
2	Leones Negros UDG	13	7	3	3	29:19	+10	24
3	Venados FC	14	7	3	4	31:25	+6	24
4	Monarcas	13	7	2	4	23:15	+8	23
5	Cancún	14	6	4	4	26:18	+8	22
6	Piratas	13	6	3	4	21:14	+7	21
7	Durango	14	6	3	5	18:14	+4	21
8	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	14	6	1	7	14:25	-11	19
9	Mineros de Zacatecas	13	5	3	5	26:23	+3	18
10	Tapatío	13	5	2	6	23:25	-2	17
11	Dorados	13	4	4	5	23:24	-1	16
12	Correcaminos Uat	13	4	4	5	21:22	-1	16
13	Tlaxcala	13	4	4	5	25:27	-2	16
14	CDS Tampico Madero	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	14	3	5	6	17:22	-5	14
16	Tepatitlán	14	2	1	11	10:41	-31	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.15X24%3.86254%1.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.22 → 4.31 +2.1%X3.87 → 3.95 +2.1%21.68 → 1.66 -1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.62	2.32	4.8%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
BetVictor	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.32	4.8%
Average	1.59	2.22	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.59	2.19	8.6%
Betano	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.15	9.4%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.60	2.16	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dorados 10%Draw 45%Piratas 45%

The statistical model rated Dorados at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Piratas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.15 | 3.86 | 1.69, which imply roughly 25.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Dorados are 11th (16 pts, 23-24 goals), Piratas 6th (21 pts, 21-14).

Over their last five matches, Dorados averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Piratas averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Piratas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.32	3.92	1.66

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.08	1.17	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
3.39	1.29

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.16

1st half

1	X	2
4.53	2.38	2.16

2nd half

1	X	2
4.21	2.75	1.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.95	15.8	20.8
HT X	9.68	6.48	4.63
HT 2	37.5	15.4	2.46

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.55	14.8	1.53

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.2
1.5	1.17	4.40
2.5	1.59	2.22
3.5	2.44	1.48
4.5	4.32	1.17
5.5	7.78	1.04

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.80
1.25	1.06	6.10
1.75	1.17	3.95
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.40	2.60
2.75	1.72	1.99
3	1.94	1.76
3.25	2.19	1.59
3.75	2.84	1.34
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.92	1.18
4.75	5.30	1.09
5	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.52	1.45
+0.5	2.13	1.67
+0.75	1.89	1.82
+1	1.67	2.09
+1.25	1.49	2.42
+1.5	1.40	2.67

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	8.50	1.01
-0.75	5.40	1.09
-0.25	3.79	1.22
0	3.33	1.27
+1.75	1.27	3.33
+2	1.18	4.24
+2.25	1.12	4.70
+2.5	1.10	5.05
+2.75	1.05	6.45
+3	1.02	8.30
+3.5	1.02	9.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.16
7.5	1.25	3.28
8.5	1.49	2.35
9.5	1.84	1.87
10.5	2.36	1.49
11.5	3.20	1.26
12.5	4.62	1.11
13.5	7.13	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.09	4.92
7	1.11	4.68
7.25	1.18	3.80
7.75	1.28	3.10
8	1.32	2.93
8.25	1.42	2.58
8.75	1.57	2.22
9	1.65	2.09
9.25	1.76	1.95
9.75	1.98	1.74
10	2.13	1.63
10.25	2.25	1.56
10.75	2.59	1.41
11	2.90	1.33
11.25	3.04	1.29
11.75	3.62	1.20
12	4.25	1.14
12.25	4.43	1.12
12.75	5.42	1.07
13	6.69	1.02
13.25	6.91	1.02

Next Liga de Expansión MX matches

25 Oct	Tlaxcala – Correcaminos Uat
25 Oct	Tapatío – Monarcas

All Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

25 Oct	Mineros de Zacatecas 0-2 Leones Negros UDG
25 Oct	CDS Tampico Madero 1-3 CA La Paz
24 Oct	Venados FC 3-2 Durango
24 Oct	Tepatitlán 0-4 Cancún
18 Oct	Leones Negros UDG 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
18 Oct	Piratas 3-0 Tepatitlán