Cancún vs 
Venados FC• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 00:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.96 | 3.82 | 3.57 | 5.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.40 | 7.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.30 | 8.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.62 | 3.40 | 10.5% |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 10.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.62 | 3.32 | 11.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.96 | 3.82 | 3.57 | 5.2% |
| Average | 1.92 | 3.69 | 3.37 | 9.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:11 UTC
Cancún
4W 4D 2L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against
| 18 Oct | H | Venados FC | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Mineros de Zacatecas | 2-2 | D |
| 4 Oct | H | Tapatío | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Tlaxcala | 1-4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 3-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Dorados | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Correcaminos Uat | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 6-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | CA La Paz | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Piratas | 1-0 | W |
Venados FC
4W 2D 4L · goals 21:20 · per match 2.1 for, 2.0 against
| 18 Oct | A | Cancún | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Leones Negros UDG | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Oct | A | CA La Paz | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Monarcas | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Piratas | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Tepatitlán | 5-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | CDS Tampico Madero | 3-4 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Tlaxcala | 1-3 | L |
| 20 Aug | H | Dorados | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Mineros de Zacatecas | 1-5 | L |
Head to head
14 meetings · goals 10:22 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Cancún
| 11 Feb 2026Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Venados FC2-0Cancún |
| 14 Sep 2025Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Cancún1-0Venados FC |
| 16 Feb 2025Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Cancún1-2Venados FC |
| 1 Sep 2024Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Venados FC4-0Cancún |
| 4 Apr 2024Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Venados FC2-0Cancún |
| 19 Nov 2023Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Cancún2-1Venados FC |
| 17 Nov 2023Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Venados FC1-0Cancún |
| 30 Jul 2023Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Cancún2-1Venados FC |
| 19 Apr 2023Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Venados FC1-1Cancún |
| 31 Aug 2022Liga de Expansión MX | Liga de Expansión MX | Cancún1-2Venados FC |
Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC
In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Cancún sit 5th with 22 points from 14 games, while Venados FC are 3rd with 24 points from 14.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 30:17 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Venados FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31:25 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 | Monarcas | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 | Cancún | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:18 | +8 | 22 |
| 6 | Piratas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | +7 | 21 |
| 7 | Durango | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:14 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 19 |
| 9 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 26:23 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 | Tapatío | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23:25 | -2 | 17 |
| 11 | Dorados | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25:27 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10:41 | -31 | 7 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 2.43 | 4.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 6.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.56 | 2.23 | 8.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 2.21 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 2.21 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.43 | 4.8% |
| Average | 1.55 | 2.29 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 2.36 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 2.45 | 8.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 2.32 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.51 | 2.45 | 7.0% |
| Average | 1.50 | 2.38 | 8.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Cancún at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Venados FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.92 | 3.69 | 3.37, which imply roughly 27.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Cancún are 5th (22 pts, 26-18 goals), Venados FC 3rd (24 pts, 31-25).
Over their last five matches, Cancún averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Venados FC averaged 2.2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Venados FC.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.92 | 3.69 | 3.37 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | 1.76 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.49 | 2.50 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.50 | 2.38 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.44 | 2.38 | 3.78 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | 2.70 | 3.51 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.90 | 14.2 | 29.0 |
| HT X | 5.23 | 6.27 | 8.13 |
| HT 2 | 21.0 | 14.5 | 5.40 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | 15.8 | 2.26 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 13.3 |
| 1.5 | 1.15 | 4.70 |
| 2.5 | 1.55 | 2.29 |
| 3.5 | 2.38 | 1.52 |
| 4.5 | 4.21 | 1.18 |
| 5.5 | 7.80 | 1.03 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 9.80 |
| 1.75 | 1.17 | 3.98 |
| 2 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| 2.25 | 1.37 | 2.66 |
| 2.75 | 1.68 | 2.04 |
| 3 | 1.88 | 1.81 |
| 3.25 | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| 3.75 | 2.61 | 1.42 |
| 4 | 3.34 | 1.24 |
| 4.25 | 3.72 | 1.20 |
| 4.75 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| 5 | 6.65 | 1.05 |
| 5.25 | 6.95 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 2.90 | 1.36 |
| -1 | 2.60 | 1.43 |
| -0.75 | 2.14 | 1.63 |
| -0.5 | 1.94 | 1.84 |
| -0.25 | 1.68 | 2.07 |
| 0 | 1.45 | 2.57 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 12.0 | 1.04 |
| -3 | 11.0 | 1.06 |
| -2.5 | 5.95 | 1.09 |
| -2.25 | 4.97 | 1.15 |
| -2 | 5.27 | 1.12 |
| -1.75 | 3.83 | 1.21 |
| -1.5 | 3.21 | 1.30 |
| +0.25 | 1.35 | 2.95 |
| +0.5 | 1.30 | 3.50 |
| +0.75 | 1.19 | 4.05 |
| +1 | 1.09 | 5.83 |
| +1.25 | 1.08 | 6.21 |
| +1.5 | 1.07 | 6.60 |
| +1.75 | 1.01 | 8.50 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.02 | 6.94 |
| 7.5 | 1.14 | 4.16 |
| 8.5 | 1.34 | 2.83 |
| 9.5 | 1.61 | 2.12 |
| 10.5 | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| 11.5 | 2.59 | 1.40 |
| 12.5 | 3.51 | 1.22 |
| 13.5 | 5.10 | 1.08 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.02 | 6.66 |
| 7 | 1.03 | 6.39 |
| 7.25 | 1.09 | 4.98 |
| 7.75 | 1.16 | 3.96 |
| 8 | 1.18 | 3.76 |
| 8.25 | 1.26 | 3.19 |
| 8.75 | 1.38 | 2.68 |
| 9 | 1.43 | 2.53 |
| 9.25 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
| 9.75 | 1.71 | 2.02 |
| 10 | 1.81 | 1.92 |
| 10.25 | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| 10.75 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
| 11 | 2.33 | 1.52 |
| 11.25 | 2.45 | 1.46 |
| 11.75 | 2.84 | 1.34 |
| 12 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| 12.25 | 3.36 | 1.24 |
| 12.75 | 4.00 | 1.16 |
| 13 | 4.73 | 1.10 |
| 13.25 | 4.92 | 1.09 |
Next Liga de Expansión MX matches
| 25 Oct | Tlaxcala – Correcaminos Uat |
| 25 Oct | Tapatío – Monarcas |