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Newport City vs Pontypridd Town• FAW Championship, Wales

0.6:1.218:30Today1.6:1.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.41DAFX3.70B36522.61PINMargin at best6.8%Books8Markets41Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.413.652.558.1%
Pinnacle2.313.452.6110.6%
Betano2.323.602.5010.9%
Betfair2.303.602.5011.3%
Bet3652.303.702.4511.3%
1xBet2.293.482.5112.2%
Marathonbet2.293.482.5112.2%
William Hill2.303.252.6012.7%
Best of all books2.413.702.616.8%
Average2.313.532.5311.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Newport CityPontypridd Town
Last 105Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.427Attack rating7354Defence rating4622Form rating7864H2H rating3613Goals model8742Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC

Newport City

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:18 · per match 1.7 for, 1.8 against

17 OctACarmarthen Town5-4W
9 OctACaerphilly Athletic2-3L
3 OctACardiff Draconians1-1D
25 SepAAfan Lido0-0D
28 AugHYnyshir Albions0-1L
21 AugHBaglan Dragons0-1L
15 AugAPontardawe Town4-0W
8 AugHCarmarthen Town1-2L
31 JulAllanelli AFC4-1W
8 JulHNewport County0-5L

Pontypridd Town

6W 2D 2L · goals 24:17 · per match 2.4 for, 1.7 against

10 OctABaglan Dragons1-1D
6 OctHLlantwit Major4-1W
3 OctHAberystwyth Town1-3L
25 SepACaerphilly Athletic2-1W
11 SepHAfan Lido0-1L
28 AugASwansea University4-4D
21 AugHTrethomas Bluebirds2-1W
15 AugACardiff Draconians4-1W
7 AugHPontardawe Town3-2W
1 AugATreowen Stars3-2W

Head to head

2Newport City wins
1draws
1Pontypridd Town wins

4 meetings · goals 5:2 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Newport City

5 Dec 2025FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipNewport City0-0Pontypridd Town
12 Sep 2025FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipPontypridd Town1-3Newport City
10 Jan 2025FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipPontypridd Town0-2Newport City
27 Sep 2024FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipNewport City0-1Pontypridd Town

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers1190226:10+1627
2Newtown AFC1072118:3+1523
3Porthmadog1172218:11+723
4Mold Alexandra1163228:14+1421
5Bala Town1161422:20+219
6Caersws1053222:15+718
7Bangor City 1876 FC1153324:18+618
8Guilsfield1144316:14+216
9Buckley Town1143425:19+615
10Llanuwchllyn1142517:24-714
11Rhyl1125418:20-211
12Denbigh Town1131720:23-310
13Ruthin Town1123610:21-119
14Holyhead Hotspur1022612:19-78
15Gresford Athletic102176:22-167
16Penrhyncoch1101105:34-291

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.32X26%3.53236%2.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 03:0022 Oct 23:001 2.32X 3.532 2.53
12.43 → 2.32 -4.5%X3.62 → 3.53 -2.5%22.36 → 2.53 +7.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Pinnacle1.582.228.3%
1xBet1.532.2110.6%
Marathonbet1.532.2110.6%
Best of all books1.582.355.8%
Average1.552.258.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.502.388.7%
1xBet1.462.469.1%
Marathonbet1.462.4110.0%
Best of all books1.502.467.3%
Average1.472.429.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newport City 10%Draw 45%Pontypridd Town 45%

The statistical model rates Newport City at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pontypridd Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 3.53 | 2.53, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Newport City averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Pontypridd Town averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Pontypridd Town.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.323.532.53

Double chance

1XX212
1.421.501.23

Draw no bet

12
1.781.90

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.472.42

1st half

1X2
2.802.323.02

2nd half

1X2
2.602.622.79

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.7514.222.3
HT X6.406.436.50
HT 222.014.23.85

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8415.81.94

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0313.0
1.51.144.80
2.51.552.25
3.52.351.51
4.53.981.17
5.58.501.06
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.213.58
2.251.382.66
2.751.682.01
31.871.79
3.252.121.60
3.752.741.36
43.341.24
4.253.701.20
56.601.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.671.39
-0.52.281.56
-0.252.011.69
01.781.94
+0.251.562.22
+0.51.442.57
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.701.02
-27.701.02
-1.54.251.15
-1.253.881.18
-13.501.22
+0.751.312.98
+11.173.96
+1.251.173.94
+1.51.124.75
+21.018.70
+2.51.028.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.851.85

Next FAW Championship matches

23 Octllanelli AFC – Afan Lido
23 OctCaerau (Ely) – Llantwit Major
23 OctTrethomas Bluebirds – Cardiff Draconians
23 OctDenbigh Town – Gresford Athletic
24 OctCaersws – Guilsfield
24 OctPorthmadog – Brickfield Rangers

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

10 OctNewtown AFC 0-0 Bangor City 1876 FC
10 OctGuilsfield 0-2 Denbigh Town
10 OctBaglan Dragons 1-1 Pontypridd Town
10 OctCardiff Draconians 2-2 Carmarthen Town
10 OctAberystwyth Town 0-1 Caerau (Ely)
10 OctYnyshir Albions 6-2 llanelli AFC