Caersws vs Guilsfield• FAW Championship, Wales

#62.4:1.613:3024/100.8:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30MARX3.75B36522.50B365Margin at best10.1%Books6Markets37Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 12:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.34	3.70	2.49	9.9%
Betfair	2.38	3.60	2.45	10.6%
Bet365	2.25	3.75	2.50	11.1%
Betano	2.27	3.65	2.52	11.1%
1xBet	2.30	3.60	2.44	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.30	3.60	2.44	12.2%
Best of all books	2.38	3.75	2.52	8.4%
Average	2.31	3.65	2.47	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CaerswsGuilsfield

Last 10#6Table position#81.80Points per game1.458Form pts · last 582.4Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 51.075Attack rating2538Defence rating6253Form rating4762H2H rating3861Goals model3957Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Caersws

5W 3D 2L · goals 22:15 · per match 2.2 for, 1.5 against

10 Oct	A	Holyhead Hotspur	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Bala Town	3-3	D
26 Sep	A	Llanuwchllyn	5-2	W
12 Sep	H	Brickfield Rangers	0-2	L
4 Sep	A	Ruthin Town	3-0	W
31 Aug	H	Buckley Town	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Porthmadog	3-1	W
15 Aug	A	Rhyl	2-4	L
8 Aug	H	Gresford Athletic	1-0	W
1 Aug	A	Mold Alexandra	2-2	D

Guilsfield

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	A	Coedpoeth United	3-3	D
10 Oct	H	Denbigh Town	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	Llanuwchllyn	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Holyhead Hotspur	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Gresford Athletic	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Brickfield Rangers	0-2	L
31 Aug	H	Penrhyncoch	4-0	W
28 Aug	A	Buckley Town	1-3	L
22 Aug	H	Ruthin Town	2-2	D
15 Aug	A	Newtown AFC	1-1	D

Head to head

2Caersws wins

2draws

3Guilsfield wins

7 meetings · goals 13:16 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for Caersws

11 Apr 2026FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Guilsfield4-1Caersws
25 Oct 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Caersws0-0Guilsfield
5 Oct 2024FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Caersws5-3Guilsfield
27 Jul 2024FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Guilsfield1-2Caersws
19 Mar 2024FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Guilsfield2-2Caersws
28 Oct 2023FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Caersws2-3Guilsfield
22 Jul 2023League Cup	League Cup	Caersws1-3Guilsfield

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 22 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the FAW Championship table, Caersws sit 6th with 18 points from 10 games, while Guilsfield are 8th with 16 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	11	9	0	2	26:10	+16	27
2	Newtown AFC	10	7	2	1	18:3	+15	23
3	Porthmadog	11	7	2	2	18:11	+7	23
4	Mold Alexandra	11	6	3	2	28:14	+14	21
5	Bala Town	11	6	1	4	22:20	+2	19
6	Caersws	10	5	3	2	22:15	+7	18
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	11	5	3	3	24:18	+6	18
8	Guilsfield	11	4	4	3	16:14	+2	16
9	Buckley Town	11	4	3	4	25:19	+6	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	11	4	2	5	17:24	-7	14
11	Rhyl	11	2	5	4	18:20	-2	11
12	Denbigh Town	11	3	1	7	20:23	-3	10
13	Ruthin Town	11	2	3	6	10:21	-11	9
14	Holyhead Hotspur	10	2	2	6	12:19	-7	8
15	Gresford Athletic	10	2	1	7	6:22	-16	7
16	Penrhyncoch	11	0	1	10	5:34	-29	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.28X24%3.65236%2.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Betano	1.53	2.22	10.4%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.54	2.29	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.41	10.0%
Best of all books	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Average	1.46	2.44	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Caersws 45%Draw 45%Guilsfield 10%

The statistical model rates Caersws at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Guilsfield at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.65 | 2.46, which imply roughly 43.9% for a Caersws win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FAW Championship table: Caersws are 6th (18 pts, 22-15 goals), Guilsfield 8th (16 pts, 16-14).

Over their last five matches, Caersws averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Guilsfield averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Caersws or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.31	3.65	2.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.49	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.76	1.92

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.44

1st half

1	X	2
2.80	2.35	2.97

2nd half

1	X	2
2.59	2.67	2.75

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.63	14.3	23.0
HT X	6.33	6.40	6.60
HT 2	22.0	14.3	4.02

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.84	16.6	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.13	4.60
2.5	1.54	2.29
3.5	2.33	1.48
4.5	4.10	1.16
5.5	8.00	1.08

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.16	4.15
2	1.20	3.70
2.25	1.37	2.71
2.75	1.65	2.04
3	1.84	1.79
3.25	2.09	1.61
3.75	2.70	1.36
4	3.42	1.23

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.58	1.21
-0.75	2.70	1.36
-0.25	2.03	1.65
0	1.79	1.92
+0.25	1.58	2.15
+0.75	1.32	2.88

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.03
-2	8.50	1.01
-1.5	4.40	1.14
-1.25	4.00	1.17
+1	1.17	3.94
+1.5	1.12	4.75
+2.5	1.02	9.20

Next FAW Championship matches

23 Oct	llanelli AFC – Afan Lido
23 Oct	Newport City – Pontypridd Town
23 Oct	Trethomas Bluebirds – Cardiff Draconians
23 Oct	Denbigh Town – Gresford Athletic
23 Oct	Caerau (Ely) – Llantwit Major
24 Oct	Llanuwchllyn – Bala Town

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

10 Oct	Newtown AFC 0-0 Bangor City 1876 FC
10 Oct	Guilsfield 0-2 Denbigh Town
10 Oct	Baglan Dragons 1-1 Pontypridd Town
10 Oct	Cardiff Draconians 2-2 Carmarthen Town
10 Oct	Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Caerau (Ely)
10 Oct	Ynyshir Albions 6-2 llanelli AFC