Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC• FAW Championship, Wales

1.2:0.86-2FT10/100.2:2.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.48PINX4.701XB26.941XBMargin at best3.3%Books7Markets47Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 10:36 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.46	4.50	5.60	8.6%
Pinnacle	1.48	4.34	5.02	10.5%
1xBet	1.33	4.70	6.94	10.9%
Betano	1.47	4.30	5.10	10.9%
Bet365	1.42	4.50	5.25	11.7%
Betfair	1.36	4.60	6.00	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.40	4.33	5.65	12.2%
Best of all books	1.48	4.70	6.94	3.3%
Average	1.42	4.47	5.65	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ynyshir Albionsllanelli AFC

Last 109Form pts · last 501.2Goals for · last 50.20.8Goals against · last 52.686Attack rating1476Defence rating24100Form rating00H2H rating10094Goals model669Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 17:20 UTC

Ynyshir Albions

4W 5D 1L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

10 Oct	H	llanelli AFC	6-2	W
3 Oct	A	Treowen Stars	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Trethomas Bluebirds	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Carmarthen Town	2-2	D
31 Aug	A	Afan Lido	0-0	D
28 Aug	A	Newport City	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Caerphilly Athletic	1-2	L
7 Aug	A	Caerau (Ely)	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Cardiff Draconians	1-0	W
18 Apr	H	Aberystwyth Town	0-0	D

llanelli AFC

0W 1D 9L · goals 7:34 · per match 0.7 for, 3.4 against

16 Oct	A	Caerau (Ely)	0-6	L
10 Oct	A	Ynyshir Albions	2-6	L
2 Oct	H	Baglan Dragons	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Llantwit Major	0-2	L
11 Sep	A	Caerau (Ely)	0-3	L
4 Sep	H	Treowen Stars	0-2	L
31 Aug	A	Aberystwyth Town	0-4	L
28 Aug	H	Carmarthen Town	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Cardiff Draconians	2-4	L
15 Aug	A	Swansea University	0-3	L

Head to head

0Ynyshir Albions wins

0draws

3llanelli AFC wins

3 meetings · goals 3:12 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Ynyshir Albions

2 Aug 2025League Cup	League Cup	Ynyshir Albions1-4llanelli AFC
10 Apr 2023FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Ynyshir Albions2-7llanelli AFC
26 Aug 2022FAW Championship	FAW Championship	llanelli AFC1-0Ynyshir Albions

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	11	9	0	2	26:10	+16	27
2	Newtown AFC	10	7	2	1	18:3	+15	23
3	Porthmadog	11	7	2	2	18:11	+7	23
4	Mold Alexandra	11	6	3	2	28:14	+14	21
5	Bala Town	11	6	1	4	22:20	+2	19
6	Caersws	10	5	3	2	22:15	+7	18
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	11	5	3	3	24:18	+6	18
8	Guilsfield	11	4	4	3	16:14	+2	16
9	Buckley Town	11	4	3	4	25:19	+6	15
10	Llanuwchllyn	11	4	2	5	17:24	-7	14
11	Rhyl	11	2	5	4	18:20	-2	11
12	Denbigh Town	11	3	1	7	20:23	-3	10
13	Ruthin Town	11	2	3	6	10:21	-11	9
14	Holyhead Hotspur	10	2	2	6	12:19	-7	8
15	Gresford Athletic	10	2	1	7	6:22	-16	7
16	Penrhyncoch	11	0	1	10	5:34	-29	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.42X20%4.47216%5.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.41 → 1.42 +0.7%X4.44 → 4.47 +0.7%25.62 → 5.65 +0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.51	2.37	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
1xBet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Best of all books	1.53	2.43	6.5%
Average	1.49	2.38	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.06	9.9%
Best of all books	1.66	2.06	8.8%
Average	1.65	2.05	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ynyshir Albions 45%Draw 45%llanelli AFC 10%

The statistical model rated Ynyshir Albions at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and llanelli AFC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 4.47 | 5.65, which imply roughly 70.4% for a Ynyshir Albions win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Ynyshir Albions averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; llanelli AFC averaged 0.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ynyshir Albions or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.42	4.47	5.65

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.59	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.20	4.04

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
1.87	2.49	5.52

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.38	16.8	2.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.5
1.5	1.12	5.10
2.5	1.49	2.38
3.5	2.23	1.56
4.5	3.71	1.19
5.5	7.00	1.10

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
2	1.17	4.03
2.25	1.33	2.88
2.75	1.59	2.15
3	1.77	1.89
3.25	2.01	1.69
3.75	2.57	1.41
4	3.08	1.29
4.25	3.39	1.23
5	6.18	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.44	1.47
-1.5	2.08	1.64
-1.25	1.90	1.82
-1	1.66	2.03
-0.75	1.50	2.34
-0.5	1.47	2.50

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.78	1.05
-3	6.10	1.07
-2.5	3.54	1.22
-2.25	3.20	1.27
-2	3.00	1.31
-0.25	1.24	3.36
0	1.11	4.90
+1.5	1.01	9.70

Next FAW Championship matches

23 Oct	llanelli AFC – Afan Lido
23 Oct	Newport City – Pontypridd Town
23 Oct	Denbigh Town – Gresford Athletic
23 Oct	Caerau (Ely) – Llantwit Major
23 Oct	Trethomas Bluebirds – Cardiff Draconians

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

10 Oct	Cardiff Draconians 2-2 Carmarthen Town
10 Oct	Brickfield Rangers 0-4 Mold Alexandra
10 Oct	Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Caerau (Ely)
10 Oct	Gresford Athletic 0-1 Porthmadog
10 Oct	Llanuwchllyn 4-1 Penrhyncoch
10 Oct	Baglan Dragons 1-1 Pontypridd Town