Trethomas Bluebirds vs 
Cardiff Draconians• FAW Championship, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.27 | 3.90 | 2.60 | 8.2% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.50 | 9.8% |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.93 | 2.42 | 10.6% |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.80 | 2.47 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.80 | 2.62 | 12.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.66 | 2.56 | 12.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.66 | 2.56 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.30 | 3.93 | 2.62 | 7.1% |
| Average | 2.23 | 3.79 | 2.53 | 10.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC
Trethomas Bluebirds
3W 3D 4L · goals 20:23 · per match 2.0 for, 2.3 against
| 16 Oct | A | Cambrian & Clydach | 0-5 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Treowen Stars | 3-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Pontardawe Town | 2-3 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Ynyshir Albions | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Sep | H | Caerphilly Athletic | 2-2 | D |
| 31 Aug | A | Carmarthen Town | 3-2 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | Afan Lido | 5-2 | W |
| 21 Aug | A | Pontypridd Town | 1-2 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Caerau (Ely) | 2-4 | L |
| 7 Aug | A | llanelli AFC | 1-1 | D |
Cardiff Draconians
4W 3D 3L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against
| 17 Oct | A | Radnor Valley | 3-1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Carmarthen Town | 2-2 | D |
| 3 Oct | H | Newport City | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Caerau (Ely) | 1-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Baglan Dragons | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | llanelli AFC | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Pontypridd Town | 1-4 | L |
| 7 Aug | A | Caerphilly Athletic | 0-0 | D |
| 1 Aug | A | Ynyshir Albions | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | Afan Lido | 4-1 | W |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 4:7 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Trethomas Bluebirds
| 4 Apr 2026FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Trethomas Bluebirds4-4Cardiff Draconians |
| 25 Oct 2025FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Cardiff Draconians3-0Trethomas Bluebirds |
FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:3 | +15 | 23 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 21 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:15 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5:34 | -29 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 7.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 2.61 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 2.56 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 2.56 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.44 | 2.62 | 7.6% |
| Average | 1.42 | 2.59 | 9.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 2.78 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 2.71 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.37 | 2.78 | 9.0% |
| Average | 1.37 | 2.75 | 9.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Trethomas Bluebirds at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cardiff Draconians at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 3.79 | 2.53, which imply roughly 26.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Trethomas Bluebirds averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Cardiff Draconians averaged 2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff Draconians.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.23 | 3.79 | 2.53 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 1.58 | 1.20 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.71 | 2.00 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.37 | 2.75 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 2.41 | 2.98 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.48 | 2.78 | 2.76 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.38 | 14.2 | 22.7 |
| HT X | 6.00 | 6.90 | 7.07 |
| HT 2 | 20.0 | 14.2 | 4.23 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | 19.8 | 2.07 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 17.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.11 | 5.50 |
| 2.5 | 1.42 | 2.59 |
| 3.5 | 2.09 | 1.64 |
| 4.5 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 5.5 | 7.00 | 1.07 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.13 | 4.60 |
| 2.25 | 1.26 | 3.20 |
| 2.75 | 1.50 | 2.32 |
| 3 | 1.65 | 2.04 |
| 3.25 | 1.87 | 1.81 |
| 3.75 | 2.36 | 1.49 |
| 4 | 2.83 | 1.34 |
| 4.25 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 5 | 5.70 | 1.08 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.58 | 1.41 |
| -0.5 | 2.02 | 1.72 |
| -0.25 | 1.96 | 1.75 |
| 0 | 1.74 | 1.96 |
| +0.25 | 1.56 | 2.22 |
| +0.5 | 1.51 | 2.39 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 7.70 | 1.03 |
| -1.5 | 4.10 | 1.16 |
| -1.25 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| -1 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| +0.75 | 1.31 | 2.99 |
| +1 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
| +1.5 | 1.10 | 5.05 |
| +2.5 | 1.03 | 8.50 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.92 | 1.81 |