Guilsfield vs 
Denbigh Town• FAW Championship, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:42 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 4.07 | 3.67 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 4.07 | 3.67 | 10.6% |
| Average | 1.70 | 4.07 | 3.67 | 10.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC
Guilsfield
3W 4D 3L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against
| 17 Oct | A | Coedpoeth United | 3-3 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Denbigh Town | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Llanuwchllyn | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Holyhead Hotspur | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Gresford Athletic | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Brickfield Rangers | 0-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Penrhyncoch | 4-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Buckley Town | 1-3 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Ruthin Town | 2-2 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | Newtown AFC | 1-1 | D |
Denbigh Town
2W 1D 7L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against
| 16 Oct | H | Bangor City 1876 FC | 0-2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Guilsfield | 2-0 | W |
| 2 Oct | H | Holyhead Hotspur | 2-4 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Brickfield Rangers | 0-2 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Bala Town | 5-2 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Newtown AFC | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Rhyl | 1-3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Penrhyncoch | 2-2 | D |
| 21 Aug | H | Porthmadog | 2-3 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Ruthin Town | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
6 meetings · goals 16:13 · last 6: 3W 1D 2L for Guilsfield
| 20 Jan 2026FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Denbigh Town3-2Guilsfield |
| 11 Oct 2025FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Guilsfield2-1Denbigh Town |
| 18 Jan 2025FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Denbigh Town3-2Guilsfield |
| 2 Nov 2024FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Guilsfield4-3Denbigh Town |
| 23 Mar 2024FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Guilsfield4-1Denbigh Town |
| 24 Feb 2024FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Denbigh Town2-2Guilsfield |
FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 22 Oct 03:10 UTC
In the FAW Championship table, Guilsfield sit 8th with 16 points from 11 games, while Denbigh Town are 12th with 10 points from 11.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:3 | +15 | 23 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 21 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:15 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5:34 | -29 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 2.80 | 8.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.38 | 2.80 | 8.2% |
| Average | 1.38 | 2.80 | 8.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Guilsfield at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Denbigh Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.96 | 3.82, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Guilsfield win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the FAW Championship table: Guilsfield are 8th (16 pts, 16-14 goals), Denbigh Town 12th (10 pts, 20-23).
Over their last five matches, Guilsfield averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Denbigh Town averaged 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Guilsfield or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 4.07 | 3.67 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
| 2.75 | 1.45 | 2.53 |
| 3 | 1.57 | 2.28 |
| 3.25 | 1.79 | 1.97 |
| 3.5 | 1.98 | 1.76 |
| 3.75 | 2.20 | 1.59 |
| 4 | 2.60 | 1.43 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.66 | 1.41 |
| -1.25 | 2.40 | 1.50 |
| -1 | 2.15 | 1.64 |
| -0.75 | 1.88 | 1.87 |
| -0.5 | 1.69 | 2.07 |
| -0.25 | 1.52 | 2.36 |
| 0 | 1.35 | 2.92 |