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Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic• FAW Championship, Wales

#121.8:1.818:45Today1.2:1.6#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44B365X5.00BFR26.00BFRMargin at best6.1%Books8Markets49Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.424.905.808.1%
Pinnacle1.414.975.1410.5%
Betano1.424.705.2010.9%
1xBet1.374.755.9210.9%
Bet3651.444.505.0011.7%
Betfair1.335.006.0011.9%
Marathonbet1.364.755.6512.3%
William Hill1.404.405.5012.3%
Best of all books1.445.006.006.1%
Average1.394.755.5310.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Denbigh TownGresford Athletic
Last 10#12Table position#150.91Points per game0.706Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 51.660Attack rating4047Defence rating5346Form rating5450H2H rating5072Goals model2856Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC

Denbigh Town

2W 1D 7L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

16 OctHBangor City 1876 FC0-2L
10 OctAGuilsfield2-0W
2 OctHHolyhead Hotspur2-4L
26 SepABrickfield Rangers0-2L
11 SepHBala Town5-2W
5 SepANewtown AFC0-1L
31 AugHRhyl1-3L
28 AugAPenrhyncoch2-2D
21 AugHPorthmadog2-3L
14 AugARuthin Town1-2L

Gresford Athletic

2W 1D 7L · goals 6:22 · per match 0.6 for, 2.2 against

10 OctHPorthmadog0-1L
3 OctAPenrhyncoch1-0W
26 SepHRhyl3-1W
12 SepAGuilsfield1-1D
6 SepHMold Alexandra1-5L
31 AugALlanuwchllyn0-2L
21 AugABala Town0-3L
16 AugHBrickfield Rangers0-5L
8 AugACaersws0-1L
2 AugHNewtown AFC0-3L

Head to head

3Denbigh Town wins
1draws
4Gresford Athletic wins

8 meetings · goals 19:17 · last 8: 3W 1D 4L for Denbigh Town

1 Jan 2026FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipDenbigh Town2-3Gresford Athletic
15 Aug 2025FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipGresford Athletic0-5Denbigh Town
12 Apr 2025FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipGresford Athletic3-3Denbigh Town
23 Aug 2024FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipDenbigh Town5-1Gresford Athletic
19 Mar 2024FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipDenbigh Town2-5Gresford Athletic
28 Oct 2023FAW ChampionshipFAW ChampionshipGresford Athletic1-2Denbigh Town
22 Jul 2022League CupLeague CupDenbigh Town0-1Gresford Athletic
1 Oct 2016Welsh CupWelsh CupGresford Athletic3-0Denbigh Town

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the FAW Championship table, Denbigh Town sit 12th with 10 points from 11 games, while Gresford Athletic are 15th with 7 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers1190226:10+1627
2Newtown AFC1072118:3+1523
3Porthmadog1172218:11+723
4Mold Alexandra1163228:14+1421
5Bala Town1161422:20+219
6Caersws1053222:15+718
7Bangor City 1876 FC1153324:18+618
8Guilsfield1144316:14+216
9Buckley Town1143425:19+615
10Llanuwchllyn1142517:24-714
11Rhyl1125418:20-211
12Denbigh Town1131720:23-310
13Ruthin Town1123610:21-119
14Holyhead Hotspur1022612:19-78
15Gresford Athletic102176:22-167
16Penrhyncoch1101105:34-291

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.39X19%4.75216%5.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 03:0023 Oct 06:301 1.39X 4.752 5.53
11.37 → 1.39 +1.5%X4.67 → 4.75 +1.7%25.92 → 5.53 -6.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.402.757.8%
1xBet1.312.9210.6%
Marathonbet1.312.9210.6%
Best of all books1.402.925.7%
Average1.342.869.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.472.449.0%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Marathonbet1.472.399.9%
Best of all books1.472.508.0%
Average1.462.449.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Denbigh Town 45%Draw 45%Gresford Athletic 10%

The statistical model rates Denbigh Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gresford Athletic at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.75 | 5.53, which imply roughly 71.9% for a Denbigh Town win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FAW Championship table: Denbigh Town are 12th (10 pts, 20-23 goals), Gresford Athletic 15th (7 pts, 6-22).

Over their last five matches, Denbigh Town averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Gresford Athletic averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Denbigh Town or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.394.755.53

Double chance

1XX212
1.102.641.13

Draw no bet

12
1.184.20

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.462.44

1st half

1X2
1.792.715.07

2nd half

1X2
1.673.154.92

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.0517.039.0
HT X4.708.5213.2
HT 215.717.78.72

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3824.02.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0123.0
1.51.086.50
2.51.342.86
3.51.831.85
4.52.781.34
5.54.801.15
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.095.35
2.251.243.34
2.751.362.74
31.452.45
3.251.652.06
3.752.021.67
42.321.50
4.252.581.41
4.753.281.25
54.201.16

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.691.38
-1.752.241.54
-1.51.991.69
-1.251.831.89
-11.582.16
-0.751.462.44
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.55.751.07
-35.101.10
-2.53.201.26
-2.252.921.31
-0.51.402.73
-0.251.253.28
01.134.55

Next FAW Championship matches

23 OctNewport City – Pontypridd Town
23 Octllanelli AFC – Afan Lido
23 OctCaerau (Ely) – Llantwit Major
23 OctTrethomas Bluebirds – Cardiff Draconians
24 OctCaersws – Guilsfield
24 OctPorthmadog – Brickfield Rangers

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

10 OctNewtown AFC 0-0 Bangor City 1876 FC
10 OctGuilsfield 0-2 Denbigh Town
10 OctBaglan Dragons 1-1 Pontypridd Town
10 OctCardiff Draconians 2-2 Carmarthen Town
10 OctAberystwyth Town 0-1 Caerau (Ely)
10 OctYnyshir Albions 6-2 llanelli AFC