llanelli AFC vs
Afan Lido• FAW Championship, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.40 | 1.55 | 8.1% |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 4.40 | 1.50 | 10.4% |
| Pinnacle | 4.43 | 4.27 | 1.55 | 10.5% |
| Betano | 4.35 | 4.30 | 1.55 | 10.8% |
| 1xBet | 4.89 | 4.30 | 1.49 | 10.8% |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.55 | 11.9% |
| Marathonbet | 4.70 | 4.30 | 1.48 | 12.1% |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 4.89 | 4.40 | 1.55 | 7.7% |
| Average | 4.61 | 4.26 | 1.52 | 10.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC
llanelli AFC
0W 1D 9L · goals 7:34 · per match 0.7 for, 3.4 against
| 16 Oct | A | Caerau (Ely) | 0-6 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ynyshir Albions | 2-6 | L |
| 2 Oct | H | Baglan Dragons | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Llantwit Major | 0-2 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Caerau (Ely) | 0-3 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Treowen Stars | 0-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Aberystwyth Town | 0-4 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Carmarthen Town | 2-2 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | Cardiff Draconians | 2-4 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Swansea University | 0-3 | L |
Afan Lido
2W 3D 5L · goals 13:20 · per match 1.3 for, 2.0 against
| 18 Oct | H | Penybont | 2-3 | L |
| 9 Oct | H | Swansea University | 5-5 | D |
| 2 Oct | A | Caerau (Ely) | 0-2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Newport City | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Sep | A | Pontypridd Town | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | A | Baglan Dragons | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Ynyshir Albions | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | Trethomas Bluebirds | 2-5 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Pontardawe Town | 1-0 | W |
| 14 Aug | A | Carmarthen Town | 1-3 | L |
Head to head
10 meetings · goals 17:11 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for llanelli AFC
| 28 Mar 2025FAW Championship | FAW Championship | llanelli AFC1-1Afan Lido |
| 10 Jan 2025FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Afan Lido0-1llanelli AFC |
| 5 Jan 2024FAW Championship | FAW Championship | llanelli AFC3-2Afan Lido |
| 17 Nov 2023FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Afan Lido0-3llanelli AFC |
| 3 Mar 2023FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Afan Lido0-1llanelli AFC |
| 29 Jul 2022FAW Championship | FAW Championship | llanelli AFC3-1Afan Lido |
| 18 Mar 2022FAW Championship | FAW Championship | llanelli AFC1-1Afan Lido |
| 30 Jul 2021FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Afan Lido1-2llanelli AFC |
| 22 Nov 2019FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Afan Lido5-1llanelli AFC |
| 30 Aug 2019FAW Championship | FAW Championship | llanelli AFC1-0Afan Lido |
FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:3 | +15 | 23 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 21 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:15 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5:34 | -29 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 7.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.41 | 2.69 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 2.66 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 2.66 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.44 | 2.69 | 6.6% |
| Average | 1.40 | 2.66 | 9.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 2.44 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 2.39 | 9.9% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 2.45 | 10.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.47 | 2.45 | 8.8% |
| Average | 1.46 | 2.43 | 9.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates llanelli AFC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Afan Lido at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.61 | 4.26 | 1.53, which imply roughly 23.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, llanelli AFC averaged 0.6 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Afan Lido averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Afan Lido.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.61 | 4.26 | 1.53 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.24 | 1.14 | 1.16 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.53 | 1.25 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.46 | 2.43 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.54 | 2.57 | 1.96 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.38 | 2.95 | 1.80 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 7.13 | 16.0 | 17.0 |
| HT X | 10.6 | 7.63 | 4.93 |
| HT 2 | 32.7 | 16.0 | 2.36 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 21.5 | 1.46 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 19.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.11 | 5.50 |
| 2.5 | 1.40 | 2.66 |
| 3.5 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
| 4.5 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| 5.5 | 5.80 | 1.11 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| 2.25 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| 2.75 | 1.47 | 2.40 |
| 3 | 1.59 | 2.14 |
| 3.25 | 1.81 | 1.86 |
| 3.75 | 2.26 | 1.54 |
| 4 | 2.68 | 1.38 |
| 4.25 | 2.92 | 1.31 |
| 5 | 5.15 | 1.10 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.5 | 2.13 | 1.62 |
| +0.75 | 2.06 | 1.68 |
| +1 | 1.85 | 1.84 |
| +1.25 | 1.65 | 2.05 |
| +1.5 | 1.52 | 2.28 |
| +1.75 | 1.38 | 2.66 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 8.35 | 1.02 |
| -0.25 | 4.20 | 1.16 |
| 0 | 3.75 | 1.19 |
| +0.25 | 2.77 | 1.36 |
| +2 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| +2.5 | 1.17 | 4.00 |
| +3 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
| +3.5 | 1.05 | 7.10 |