Newtown AFC vs
Bangor City 1876 FC• FAW Championship, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:42 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 4.37 | 4.63 | 10.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.51 | 4.37 | 4.63 | 10.7% |
| Average | 1.51 | 4.37 | 4.63 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:13 UTC
Newtown AFC
8W 1D 1L · goals 21:5 · per match 2.1 for, 0.5 against
| 3 Oct | A | Mold Alexandra | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Porthmadog | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Holyhead Hotspur | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Denbigh Town | 1-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Bala Town | 1-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | Llanuwchllyn | 4-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Guilsfield | 1-1 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Penrhyncoch | 5-0 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | Gresford Athletic | 3-0 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | Ruthin Town | 3-2 | W |
Bangor City 1876 FC
5W 2D 3L · goals 22:16 · per match 2.2 for, 1.6 against
| 10 Oct | A | Newtown AFC | 0-0 | D |
| 3 Oct | A | Porthmadog | 0-1 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Buckley Town | 2-6 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Penrhyncoch | 5-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Rhyl | 2-2 | D |
| 31 Aug | A | Mold Alexandra | 1-2 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Brickfield Rangers | 2-1 | W |
| 21 Aug | A | Holyhead Hotspur | 3-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Llanuwchllyn | 5-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Denbigh Town | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Newtown AFC and Bangor City 1876 FC on record.
FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC
In the FAW Championship table, Newtown AFC sit 2nd with 23 points from 10 games, while Bangor City 1876 FC are 7th with 18 points from 11.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:3 | +15 | 23 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 21 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:15 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5:34 | -29 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 2.53 | 8.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.45 | 2.53 | 8.5% |
| Average | 1.45 | 2.53 | 8.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Newtown AFC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bangor City 1876 FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 4.24 | 4.86, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Newtown AFC win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the FAW Championship table: Newtown AFC are 2nd (23 pts, 18-3 goals), Bangor City 1876 FC 7th (18 pts, 24-18).
Over their last five matches, Newtown AFC averaged 1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Bangor City 1876 FC averaged 2 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Newtown AFC or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.51 | 4.37 | 4.63 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.45 | 2.53 |
| 2.75 | 1.56 | 2.27 |
| 3 | 1.72 | 2.03 |
| 3.25 | 1.97 | 1.79 |
| 3.5 | 2.18 | 1.62 |
| 3.75 | 2.48 | 1.47 |
| 4 | 3.02 | 1.33 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.69 | 1.41 |
| -1.5 | 2.30 | 1.54 |
| -1.25 | 2.07 | 1.69 |
| -1 | 1.83 | 1.93 |
| -0.75 | 1.63 | 2.17 |
| -0.5 | 1.50 | 2.41 |
| -0.25 | 1.36 | 2.87 |
Next FAW Championship matches
| 23 Oct | llanelli AFC – Afan Lido |
| 23 Oct | Newport City – Pontypridd Town |
| 23 Oct | Denbigh Town – Gresford Athletic |
| 23 Oct | Caerau (Ely) – Llantwit Major |
| 23 Oct | Trethomas Bluebirds – Cardiff Draconians |