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Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC• FAW Championship, Wales

#21.0:0.40-0FT10/10 · Latham Park, Newtown2.0:2.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.52BTNX4.50DAF25.20DAFMargin at best7.2%Books1Markets22Rating68 · 33Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:42 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.514.374.6310.7%
Best of all books1.514.374.6310.7%
Average1.514.374.6310.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Newtown AFCBangor City 1876 FC
Last 10#2Table position#72.30Points per game1.6412Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 52.00.4Goals against · last 52.433Attack rating6786Defence rating1475Form rating250H2H rating076Goals model2468Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:13 UTC

Newtown AFC

8W 1D 1L · goals 21:5 · per match 2.1 for, 0.5 against

3 OctAMold Alexandra2-1W
26 SepHPorthmadog0-1L
12 SepAHolyhead Hotspur1-0W
5 SepHDenbigh Town1-0W
31 AugABala Town1-0W
28 AugHLlanuwchllyn4-0W
15 AugHGuilsfield1-1D
8 AugHPenrhyncoch5-0W
2 AugAGresford Athletic3-0W
18 AprARuthin Town3-2W

Bangor City 1876 FC

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:16 · per match 2.2 for, 1.6 against

10 OctANewtown AFC0-0D
3 OctAPorthmadog0-1L
25 SepHBuckley Town2-6L
12 SepAPenrhyncoch5-1W
5 SepHRhyl2-2D
31 AugAMold Alexandra1-2L
28 AugHBrickfield Rangers2-1W
21 AugAHolyhead Hotspur3-2W
15 AugHLlanuwchllyn5-0W
8 AugADenbigh Town2-1W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Newtown AFC and Bangor City 1876 FC on record.

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC

In the FAW Championship table, Newtown AFC sit 2nd with 23 points from 10 games, while Bangor City 1876 FC are 7th with 18 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers1190226:10+1627
2Newtown AFC1072118:3+1523
3Porthmadog1172218:11+723
4Mold Alexandra1163228:14+1421
5Bala Town1161422:20+219
6Caersws1053222:15+718
7Bangor City 1876 FC1153324:18+618
8Guilsfield1144316:14+216
9Buckley Town1143425:19+615
10Llanuwchllyn1142517:24-714
11Rhyl1125418:20-211
12Denbigh Town1131720:23-310
13Ruthin Town1123610:21-119
14Holyhead Hotspur1022612:19-78
15Gresford Athletic102176:22-167
16Penrhyncoch1101105:34-291

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.50X21%4.24219%4.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 13:321 1.50X 4.242 4.86
11.46 → 1.50 +2.7%X4.30 → 4.24 -1.4%25.20 → 4.86 -6.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.452.538.5%
Best of all books1.452.538.5%
Average1.452.538.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newtown AFC 45%Draw 45%Bangor City 1876 FC 10%

The statistical model rated Newtown AFC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bangor City 1876 FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 4.24 | 4.86, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Newtown AFC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FAW Championship table: Newtown AFC are 2nd (23 pts, 18-3 goals), Bangor City 1876 FC 7th (18 pts, 24-18).

Over their last five matches, Newtown AFC averaged 1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Bangor City 1876 FC averaged 2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Newtown AFC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.514.374.63

Match goals

LineOverUnder
2.51.452.53
2.751.562.27
31.722.03
3.251.971.79
3.52.181.62
3.752.481.47
43.021.33

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.691.41
-1.52.301.54
-1.252.071.69
-11.831.93
-0.751.632.17
-0.51.502.41
-0.251.362.87

Next FAW Championship matches

23 Octllanelli AFC – Afan Lido
23 OctNewport City – Pontypridd Town
23 OctDenbigh Town – Gresford Athletic
23 OctCaerau (Ely) – Llantwit Major
23 OctTrethomas Bluebirds – Cardiff Draconians

All FAW Championship fixtures and the table

Latest FAW Championship results

10 OctCardiff Draconians 2-2 Carmarthen Town
10 OctBrickfield Rangers 0-4 Mold Alexandra
10 OctYnyshir Albions 6-2 llanelli AFC
10 OctAberystwyth Town 0-1 Caerau (Ely)
10 OctGresford Athletic 0-1 Porthmadog
10 OctLlanuwchllyn 4-1 Penrhyncoch