Cardiff Draconians vs 
Carmarthen Town• FAW Championship, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 10:36 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.75 | 2.29 | 8.1% |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.75 | 2.20 | 10.6% |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.70 | 2.22 | 11.0% |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.75 | 2.20 | 11.3% |
| 1xBet | 2.55 | 3.65 | 2.19 | 12.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.55 | 3.65 | 2.19 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.65 | 3.75 | 2.29 | 8.1% |
| Average | 2.58 | 3.71 | 2.21 | 10.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC
Cardiff Draconians
4W 3D 3L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against
| 17 Oct | A | Radnor Valley | 3-1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Carmarthen Town | 2-2 | D |
| 3 Oct | H | Newport City | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Caerau (Ely) | 1-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Baglan Dragons | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | llanelli AFC | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Pontypridd Town | 1-4 | L |
| 7 Aug | A | Caerphilly Athletic | 0-0 | D |
| 1 Aug | A | Ynyshir Albions | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | Afan Lido | 4-1 | W |
Carmarthen Town
4W 2D 4L · goals 22:22 · per match 2.2 for, 2.2 against
| 2 Oct | H | Llantwit Major | 1-2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Baglan Dragons | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Ynyshir Albions | 2-2 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | Trethomas Bluebirds | 2-3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | llanelli AFC | 2-2 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Treowen Stars | 2-4 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Afan Lido | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Newport City | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Aug | H | Caerau (Ely) | 4-3 | W |
| 14 Jul | H | Briton Ferry | 2-3 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 3:5 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Cardiff Draconians
| 14 Mar 2026FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Cardiff Draconians2-3Carmarthen Town |
| 9 Aug 2025FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Carmarthen Town2-1Cardiff Draconians |
FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:3 | +15 | 23 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 21 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:15 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5:34 | -29 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.6% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 2.42 | 10.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 2.42 | 10.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Average | 1.46 | 2.45 | 9.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 2.62 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 2.56 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.41 | 2.62 | 9.1% |
| Average | 1.41 | 2.59 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Cardiff Draconians at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Carmarthen Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.58 | 3.71 | 2.22, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Cardiff Draconians averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Carmarthen Town averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Carmarthen Town and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.58 | 3.71 | 2.22 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.53 | 1.41 | 1.20 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.98 | 1.72 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.41 | 2.59 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.04 | 2.38 | 2.72 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.94 | 19.0 | 1.81 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 17.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.12 | 5.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.46 | 2.45 |
| 3.5 | 2.21 | 1.56 |
| 4.5 | 3.78 | 1.19 |
| 5.5 | 7.50 | 1.10 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 10.0 |
| 2 | 1.16 | 4.20 |
| 2.25 | 1.30 | 2.97 |
| 2.75 | 1.56 | 2.15 |
| 3 | 1.74 | 1.89 |
| 3.25 | 1.96 | 1.70 |
| 3.75 | 2.52 | 1.41 |
| 4 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 4.25 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 5 | 6.45 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| -0.25 | 2.25 | 1.53 |
| 0 | 1.96 | 1.71 |
| +0.25 | 1.73 | 1.97 |
| +0.75 | 1.39 | 2.59 |
| +1 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9.40 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 8.00 | 1.03 |
| -1.5 | 5.10 | 1.10 |
| -1 | 4.25 | 1.15 |
| +1.25 | 1.19 | 3.78 |
| +1.5 | 1.16 | 4.20 |
| +2 | 1.02 | 8.00 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 8.90 |
Next FAW Championship matches
| 23 Oct | llanelli AFC – Afan Lido |
| 23 Oct | Newport City – Pontypridd Town |
| 23 Oct | Denbigh Town – Gresford Athletic |
| 23 Oct | Caerau (Ely) – Llantwit Major |
| 23 Oct | Trethomas Bluebirds – Cardiff Draconians |