Penarol vs Wanderers• Primera División, Uruguay

#10.6:0.619:30Today · Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo1.0:1.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53DAFX4.20DAF26.74PINMargin at best4.0%Books10Markets83Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 08:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.53	4.20	6.40	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.51	4.16	6.74	5.1%
BetVictor	1.50	3.80	6.50	8.4%
William Hill	1.50	3.80	6.00	9.6%
Betano	1.50	3.80	5.80	10.2%
1xBet	1.43	3.92	6.61	10.6%
Betfair	1.44	4.00	6.00	11.1%
Bet365	1.50	3.90	5.25	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.42	3.92	6.30	11.8%
SBO	1.36	3.77	6.28	16.0%
Best of all books	1.53	4.20	6.74	4.0%
Average	1.47	3.93	6.19	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PenarolWanderers

Last 10#1Table position#71.88Points per game1.475Form pts · last 540.6Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 51.638Attack rating6373Defence rating2750Form rating5080H2H rating2068Goals model3265Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 01:40 UTC

Penarol

4W 4D 2L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

27 Oct	H	Atletico Torque	0-2	L
23 Oct	A	Juventud	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Liverpool Montevideo	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Progreso	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Racing Montevideo	1-0	W
30 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Boston River	2-1	W
24 Sep	A	Danubio	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Cerro	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Albion FC	3-1	W

Wanderers

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

25 Oct	H	Progreso	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Racing Montevideo	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	Boston River	1-3	L
7 Oct	A	Cerrito	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Cerro	2-0	W
28 Sep	H	Albion FC	2-1	W
23 Sep	H	Cerrito	1-3	L
20 Sep	A	Danubio	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Club Nacional	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Deportivo Maldonado	1-4	L

Head to head

18Penarol wins

9draws

7Wanderers wins

34 meetings · goals 52:27 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Penarol

5 Aug 2026Primera División	Primera División	Penarol5-1Wanderers
26 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Wanderers1-0Penarol
19 Oct 2025Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Penarol3-0Wanderers
22 Jun 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Penarol2-0Wanderers
19 Apr 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Wanderers1-2Penarol
14 Nov 2024Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Wanderers0-2Penarol
8 Jun 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Wanderers2-0Penarol
11 May 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Penarol1-0Wanderers
6 Dec 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Wanderers0-0Penarol
24 Jun 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Wanderers0-0Penarol

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 31 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Primera División table, Penarol sit 1st with 64 points from 34 games, while Wanderers are 7th with 50 points from 34.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	34	19	8	7	51:27	+24	64
2	Deportivo Maldonado	34	18	8	8	54:32	+22	62
3	Atletico Torque	34	18	6	10	57:40	+17	60
4	Club Nacional	34	18	4	12	51:41	+10	58
5	Racing Montevideo	34	15	12	7	42:30	+12	57
6	Liverpool Montevideo	34	15	11	8	45:31	+14	56
7	Wanderers	34	14	8	12	41:43	-2	50
8	Albion FC	34	13	7	14	47:44	+3	46
9	Juventud	34	10	11	13	37:41	-4	41
10	Central Espanol	34	10	8	16	33:47	-14	38
11	Cerro Largo	34	9	10	15	32:38	-6	37
12	Boston River	34	10	7	17	33:45	-12	37
13	Cerro	34	10	7	17	28:51	-23	37
14	Defensor Sporting	34	8	12	14	33:43	-10	36
15	Progreso	34	10	5	19	31:47	-16	35
16	Danubio	34	6	14	14	28:43	-15	32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.47X23%3.93215%6.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.43 → 1.47 +2.8%X4.01 → 3.93 -2.0%26.45 → 6.19 -4.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.05	1.79	4.6%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.98	1.80	6.1%
SBO	1.95	1.81	6.5%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	1.93	1.75	9.0%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Best of all books	2.05	1.81	4.0%
Average	1.97	1.77	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
William Hill	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Betano	2.05	1.70	7.6%
1xBet	2.07	1.66	8.6%
BetVictor	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.07	1.64	9.3%
Best of all books	2.15	1.70	5.3%
Average	2.08	1.67	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Penarol 45%Draw 45%Wanderers 10%

The statistical model rates Penarol at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Wanderers at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.47 | 3.93 | 6.19, which imply roughly 68% for a Penarol win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Penarol are 1st (64 pts, 51-27 goals), Wanderers 7th (50 pts, 41-43).

Over their last five matches, Penarol averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Wanderers averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Penarol or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.47	3.93	6.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.48	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.57

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.08	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
2.01	2.21	6.35

2nd half

1	X	2
1.82	2.56	5.86

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.16	16.7	53.6
HT X	4.01	5.72	12.8
HT 2	24.4	18.0	11.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	9.50	3.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.27
1.5	1.30	3.24
2.5	1.97	1.77
3.5	3.45	1.27
4.5	6.81	1.08
5.5	13.6	1.02
6.5	23.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.30
1	1.03	7.70
1.25	1.15	4.26
1.75	1.38	2.81
2	1.49	2.43
2.25	1.73	1.99
2.75	2.24	1.57
3	2.70	1.40
3.25	3.04	1.29
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	5.80	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.94	1.35
-1.5	2.45	1.49
-1.25	2.11	1.66
-1	1.85	1.89
-0.75	1.60	2.19
-0.5	1.50	2.51

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.30	1.01
-3	8.70	1.01
-2.75	6.13	1.08
-2.5	4.70	1.14
-2.25	4.27	1.18
-2	4.01	1.21
-0.25	1.32	3.16
0	1.15	4.77
+0.25	1.12	5.20
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.02	8.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.61
6.5	1.17	4.12
7.5	1.38	2.76
8.5	1.71	2.06
9.5	2.13	1.64
10.5	2.87	1.35
11.5	3.73	1.19
12.5	5.59	1.06

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.32
6	1.02	7.06
6.25	1.07	5.32
6.75	1.15	4.14
7	1.17	3.92
7.25	1.25	3.28
7.75	1.37	2.71
8	1.44	2.55
8.25	1.53	2.30
8.75	1.72	2.00
9	1.85	1.88
9.25	1.93	1.78
9.75	2.19	1.59
10	2.43	1.49
10.25	2.53	1.43
10.75	2.96	1.31
11	3.39	1.23
11.25	3.56	1.21
11.75	4.30	1.13
12	5.18	1.08
12.25	5.39	1.07

Next Primera División matches

31 Oct	Racing Montevideo – Cerro Largo
31 Oct	Cerro – Central Espanol
1 Nov	Progreso – Defensor Sporting
1 Nov	Boston River – Atletico Torque
1 Nov	Liverpool Montevideo – Juventud
2 Nov	Albion FC – Deportivo Maldonado

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

25 Oct	Club Nacional 0-1 Liverpool Montevideo
25 Oct	Cerro Largo 2-0 Boston River
25 Oct	Atletico Torque 3-1 Cerro
25 Oct	Wanderers 0-1 Progreso
24 Oct	Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Danubio
24 Oct	Defensor Sporting 3-3 Racing Montevideo