Cerro Largo vs Boston River• Primera División, Uruguay

#140.4:1.619:00Today · Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo1.2:1.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.78PINX3.10B36522.71PINMargin at best5.1%Books9Markets57Rating35 · 66Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 04:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.80	3.20	2.65	4.7%
Pinnacle	2.81	3.03	2.73	5.2%
William Hill	2.70	2.90	2.62	9.7%
BetVictor	2.63	3.00	2.60	9.8%
Betano	2.62	3.00	2.57	10.4%
Bet365	2.60	3.10	2.50	10.7%
Betfair	2.63	3.00	2.50	11.4%
1xBet	2.61	2.93	2.54	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.61	2.93	2.54	11.8%
Best of all books	2.81	3.20	2.73	3.5%
Average	2.67	3.01	2.58	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cerro LargoBoston River

Last 10#14Table position#111.03Points per game1.124Form pts · last 580.4Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.025Attack rating7538Defence rating6213Form rating8829H2H rating7160Goals model4035Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:12 UTC

Cerro Largo

1W 3D 6L · goals 5:12 · per match 0.5 for, 1.2 against

21 Oct	A	Liverpool Montevideo	0-1	L
16 Oct	A	Cerro	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Albion FC	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	Danubio	1-2	L
30 Sep	H	Rentistas	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Club Nacional	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Deportivo Maldonado	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Central Espanol	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Defensor Sporting	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	1-2	L

Boston River

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Defensor Sporting	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	CA River Plate	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Wanderers	3-1	W
4 Oct	H	Juventud	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Penarol	1-2	L
23 Sep	H	Fenix	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Progreso	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Racing Montevideo	2-3	L
9 Sep	H	Colón	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Liverpool Montevideo	0-1	L

Head to head

7Cerro Largo wins

6draws

9Boston River wins

22 meetings · goals 23:26 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Cerro Largo

23 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Cerro Largo3-0Boston River
20 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Boston River1-0Cerro Largo
11 Oct 2025Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Cerro Largo2-2Boston River
13 Apr 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Boston River1-0Cerro Largo
3 Nov 2024Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Boston River3-0Cerro Largo
17 Jun 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Boston River0-2Cerro Largo
27 Apr 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Cerro Largo2-0Boston River
3 Dec 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Boston River0-1Cerro Largo
5 May 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Cerro Largo2-2Boston River
4 Sep 2022Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Cerro Largo1-1Boston River

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Cerro Largo sit 14th with 34 points from 33 games, while Boston River are 11th with 37 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	34	19	8	7	51:27	+24	64
2	Deportivo Maldonado	33	17	8	8	52:31	+21	59
3	Club Nacional	33	18	4	11	51:40	+11	58
4	Atletico Torque	33	17	6	10	54:39	+15	57
5	Racing Montevideo	34	15	12	7	42:30	+12	57
6	Liverpool Montevideo	33	14	11	8	44:31	+13	53
7	Wanderers	33	14	8	11	41:42	-1	50
8	Albion FC	34	13	7	14	47:44	+3	46
9	Juventud	34	10	11	13	37:41	-4	41
10	Central Espanol	34	10	8	16	33:47	-14	38
11	Boston River	33	10	7	16	33:43	-10	37
12	Cerro	33	10	7	16	27:48	-21	37
13	Defensor Sporting	34	8	12	14	33:43	-10	36
14	Cerro Largo	33	8	10	15	30:38	-8	34
15	Danubio	33	6	14	13	27:41	-14	32
16	Progreso	33	9	5	19	30:47	-17	32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.65X30%2.98235%2.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.35	1.60	5.1%
Betano	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
BetVictor	2.17	1.59	9.0%
1xBet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
Best of all books	2.35	1.62	4.3%
Average	2.25	1.59	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.91	1.78	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.76	9.2%
Best of all books	2.00	1.83	4.6%
Average	1.92	1.79	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cerro Largo 10%Draw 45%Boston River 45%

The statistical model rates Cerro Largo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Boston River at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.65 | 2.98 | 2.57, which imply roughly 33.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Cerro Largo are 14th (34 pts, 30-38 goals), Boston River 11th (37 pts, 33-43).

Over their last five matches, Cerro Largo averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Boston River averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Boston River.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.67	3.01	2.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.43	1.40	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.86	1.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
3.42	1.98	3.33

2nd half

1	X	2
3.05	2.23	2.94

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.48	14.1	31.6
HT X	5.96	4.36	5.88
HT 2	31.6	14.4	4.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.07	7.38	2.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.48
1.5	1.40	2.74
2.5	2.25	1.59
3.5	4.20	1.19
4.5	8.47	1.04
5.5	18.3	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.06	6.15
1	1.08	5.55
1.25	1.23	3.42
1.75	1.51	2.36
2	1.69	2.05
2.25	1.96	1.75
2.75	2.63	1.42
3	3.28	1.25
3.25	3.69	1.20
3.75	5.10	1.10
4	7.20	1.03
4.25	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.65	1.45
-0.25	2.24	1.58
0	1.88	1.84
+0.25	1.60	2.21
+0.5	1.48	2.59
+0.75	1.31	3.16

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.20	1.03
-1.5	5.63	1.10
-1.25	5.12	1.12
-1	4.75	1.15
-0.75	3.28	1.29
+1	1.16	4.60
+1.25	1.13	5.02
+1.5	1.11	5.45
+1.75	1.04	7.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.20	3.85
7.5	1.42	2.62
8.5	1.77	1.95
9.5	2.25	1.57
10.5	3.06	1.31
11.5	4.20	1.16
12.5	6.30	1.06

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.42	2.53
8	1.51	2.41
8.25	1.59	2.15
8.75	1.82	1.88
9	1.95	1.80
9.25	2.04	1.65
9.75	2.35	1.47
10	2.59	1.45

Next Primera División matches

25 Oct	Wanderers – Progreso
25 Oct	Atletico Torque – Cerro

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

24 Oct	Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Danubio
24 Oct	Defensor Sporting 3-3 Racing Montevideo
24 Oct	Central Espanol 1-3 Albion FC
23 Oct	Juventud 0-0 Penarol
19 Oct	Club Nacional 3-2 Deportivo Maldonado
18 Oct	Liverpool Montevideo 1-0 Penarol