Cerro vs Central Espanol• Primera División, Uruguay

#131.0:1.616:00Today · Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo0.4:2.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.31DAFX3.20DAF23.47PINMargin at best3.4%Books10Markets75Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 08:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.27	3.15	3.47	4.6%
Dafabet	2.31	3.20	3.30	4.8%
BetVictor	2.25	3.10	3.20	8.0%
Betano	2.25	2.95	3.15	10.1%
William Hill	2.20	2.90	3.30	10.2%
1xBet	2.19	2.95	3.22	10.6%
Betfair	2.20	3.00	3.10	11.0%
Marathonbet	2.17	2.95	3.14	11.8%
Bet365	2.15	3.00	3.00	13.2%
SBO	2.26	2.80	2.69	17.1%
Best of all books	2.31	3.20	3.47	3.4%
Average	2.23	3.00	3.16	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CerroCentral Espanol

Last 10#13Table position#101.09Points per game1.125Form pts · last 501.0Goals for · last 50.41.6Goals against · last 52.071Attack rating2956Defence rating44100Form rating071H2H rating2957Goals model4363Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 00:12 UTC

Cerro

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

25 Oct	A	Atletico Torque	1-3	L
16 Oct	H	Cerro Largo	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Defensor Sporting	3-2	W
4 Oct	H	Wanderers	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	Juventud	0-0	D
23 Sep	H	Deportivo Maldonado	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Penarol	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Progreso	3-1	W
10 Sep	H	Cerrito	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Racing Montevideo	1-0	W

Central Espanol

1W 2D 7L · goals 8:23 · per match 0.8 for, 2.3 against

24 Oct	H	Albion FC	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Danubio	0-1	L
15 Oct	H	Danubio	0-6	L
11 Oct	H	Club Nacional	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Deportivo Maldonado	0-3	L
27 Sep	H	Liverpool Montevideo	1-2	L
21 Sep	H	Atletico Torque	1-4	L
17 Sep	H	Oriental	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Cerro Largo	0-0	D
9 Sep	A	Racing Montevideo	4-2	W

Head to head

4Cerro wins

1draws

3Central Espanol wins

8 meetings · goals 10:9 · last 8: 4W 1D 3L for Cerro

24 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Cerro1-0Central Espanol
26 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Central Espanol3-1Cerro
5 Aug 2022Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerro2-0Central Espanol
14 May 2022Segunda División	Segunda División	Central Espanol1-2Cerro
28 Sep 2021Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerro0-0Central Espanol
16 Jun 2021Segunda División	Segunda División	Central Espanol3-2Cerro
18 May 2013Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Central Espanol0-2Cerro
25 Nov 2012Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Cerro0-2Central Espanol

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 31 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Primera División table, Cerro sit 13th with 37 points from 34 games, while Central Espanol are 10th with 38 points from 34.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	34	19	8	7	51:27	+24	64
2	Deportivo Maldonado	34	18	8	8	54:32	+22	62
3	Atletico Torque	34	18	6	10	57:40	+17	60
4	Club Nacional	34	18	4	12	51:41	+10	58
5	Racing Montevideo	34	15	12	7	42:30	+12	57
6	Liverpool Montevideo	34	15	11	8	45:31	+14	56
7	Wanderers	34	14	8	12	41:43	-2	50
8	Albion FC	34	13	7	14	47:44	+3	46
9	Juventud	34	10	11	13	37:41	-4	41
10	Central Espanol	34	10	8	16	33:47	-14	38
11	Cerro Largo	34	9	10	15	32:38	-6	37
12	Boston River	34	10	7	17	33:45	-12	37
13	Cerro	34	10	7	17	28:51	-23	37
14	Defensor Sporting	34	8	12	14	33:43	-10	36
15	Progreso	34	10	5	19	31:47	-16	35
16	Danubio	34	6	14	14	28:43	-15	32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.22X30%3.00229%3.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.39 → 2.22 -7.1%X2.97 → 3.00 +1.0%22.92 → 3.16 +8.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.42	1.57	5.0%
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Betano	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
1xBet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
BetVictor	2.26	1.54	9.2%
Best of all books	2.42	1.57	5.0%
Average	2.34	1.54	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
BetVictor	2.00	1.73	7.8%
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.97	1.73	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.71	9.2%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.96	1.75	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cerro 45%Draw 45%Central Espanol 10%

The statistical model rates Cerro at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Central Espanol at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.00 | 3.16, which imply roughly 45% for a Cerro win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Cerro are 13th (37 pts, 28-51 goals), Central Espanol 10th (38 pts, 33-47).

Over their last five matches, Cerro averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Central Espanol averaged 0.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cerro or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.22	3.00	3.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.56	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.58	2.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.96	1.75

1st half

1	X	2
2.98	1.95	3.88

2nd half

1	X	2
2.64	2.22	3.54

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.71	14.2	37.9
HT X	5.30	4.31	6.85
HT 2	30.5	14.2	5.29

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.84	7.03	2.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	7.13
1.5	1.43	2.63
2.5	2.34	1.54
3.5	4.47	1.18
4.5	8.90	1.04
5.5	18.4	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.07	5.95
1	1.09	5.35
1.25	1.25	3.29
1.75	1.55	2.30
2	1.75	1.98
2.25	2.02	1.69
2.75	2.67	1.38
3	3.42	1.23
3.25	3.84	1.19
3.75	5.30	1.09
4	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.65	1.43
-0.5	2.23	1.63
-0.25	1.91	1.82
0	1.57	2.29
+0.25	1.40	2.73
+0.5	1.34	3.27

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.90	1.01
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.75	5.80	1.09
-1.5	4.43	1.16
-1.25	4.10	1.20
-1	3.59	1.25
+0.75	1.20	4.11
+1	1.08	6.17
+1.25	1.07	6.70
+1.5	1.06	7.00
+1.75	1.01	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.10
6.5	1.24	3.49
7.5	1.50	2.41
8.5	1.90	1.83
9.5	2.44	1.49
10.5	3.40	1.25
11.5	4.59	1.11
12.5	7.22	1.01

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.05	5.32
5.75	1.05	5.82
6	1.06	5.54
6.25	1.13	4.32
6.75	1.23	3.43
7	1.34	2.98
7.25	1.36	2.78
7.75	1.51	2.35
8	1.66	2.14
8.25	1.70	2.03
8.75	1.91	1.79
9	2.09	1.67
9.25	2.18	1.60
9.75	2.52	1.44
10	2.82	1.34
10.25	2.98	1.31
10.75	3.56	1.21
11	4.20	1.14
11.25	4.39	1.13
11.75	5.41	1.07
12	6.75	1.02
12.25	6.98	1.02

Next Primera División matches

31 Oct	Racing Montevideo – Cerro Largo
31 Oct	Penarol – Wanderers
1 Nov	Progreso – Defensor Sporting
1 Nov	Boston River – Atletico Torque
1 Nov	Liverpool Montevideo – Juventud
2 Nov	Albion FC – Deportivo Maldonado

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

25 Oct	Club Nacional 0-1 Liverpool Montevideo
25 Oct	Cerro Largo 2-0 Boston River
25 Oct	Atletico Torque 3-1 Cerro
25 Oct	Wanderers 0-1 Progreso
24 Oct	Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Danubio
24 Oct	Defensor Sporting 3-3 Racing Montevideo