Wanderers vs Progreso• Primera División, Uruguay

#71.2:1.613:00Today · Montevideo1.8:1.2#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.14PINX3.37PIN23.33PINMargin at best6.4%Books9Markets62Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 04:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.18	3.37	3.40	5.0%
Dafabet	2.20	3.35	3.35	5.2%
BetVictor	2.10	3.25	3.20	9.6%
William Hill	2.10	3.20	3.25	9.6%
Betfair	2.05	3.25	3.25	10.3%
Betano	2.07	3.25	3.20	10.3%
1xBet	2.05	3.24	3.24	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.03	3.24	3.16	11.8%
Bet365	2.10	3.10	3.10	12.1%
Best of all books	2.20	3.37	3.40	4.5%
Average	2.10	3.25	3.24	9.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

WanderersProgreso

Last 10#7Table position#161.52Points per game0.977Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 51.240Attack rating6043Defence rating5741Form rating5938H2H rating6264Goals model3645Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:12 UTC

Wanderers

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:20 · per match 1.1 for, 2.0 against

17 Oct	A	Racing Montevideo	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	Boston River	1-3	L
7 Oct	A	Cerrito	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Cerro	2-0	W
28 Sep	H	Albion FC	2-1	W
23 Sep	H	Cerrito	1-3	L
20 Sep	A	Danubio	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Club Nacional	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Deportivo Maldonado	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Deportivo Maldonado	0-2	L

Progreso

5W 1D 4L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	H	Juventud	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Penarol	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Liverpool Montevideo	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Racing Montevideo	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Boston River	2-1	W
16 Sep	H	Club Nacional	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Cerro	1-3	L
7 Sep	A	Albion FC	1-0	W
3 Sep	A	Albion FC	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Danubio	1-0	W

Head to head

7Wanderers wins

3draws

7Progreso wins

17 meetings · goals 24:22 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Wanderers

11 Jul 2026Primera División	Primera División	Wanderers2-0Progreso
18 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Progreso2-1Wanderers
21 Sep 2025Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Progreso2-0Wanderers
27 Mar 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Wanderers1-1Progreso
10 Nov 2024Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Progreso0-0Wanderers
14 Jul 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Wanderers4-2Progreso
4 May 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Wanderers2-0Progreso
15 Nov 2021Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Progreso3-1Wanderers
31 Jul 2021Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Wanderers2-0Progreso
21 Mar 2021Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Wanderers1-3Progreso

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Wanderers sit 7th with 50 points from 33 games, while Progreso are 16th with 32 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	34	19	8	7	51:27	+24	64
2	Deportivo Maldonado	33	17	8	8	52:31	+21	59
3	Club Nacional	33	18	4	11	51:40	+11	58
4	Atletico Torque	33	17	6	10	54:39	+15	57
5	Racing Montevideo	34	15	12	7	42:30	+12	57
6	Liverpool Montevideo	33	14	11	8	44:31	+13	53
7	Wanderers	33	14	8	11	41:42	-1	50
8	Albion FC	34	13	7	14	47:44	+3	46
9	Juventud	34	10	11	13	37:41	-4	41
10	Central Espanol	34	10	8	16	33:47	-14	38
11	Boston River	33	10	7	16	33:43	-10	37
12	Cerro	33	10	7	16	27:48	-21	37
13	Defensor Sporting	34	8	12	14	33:43	-10	36
14	Cerro Largo	33	8	10	15	30:38	-8	34
15	Danubio	33	6	14	13	27:41	-14	32
16	Progreso	33	9	5	19	30:47	-17	32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.08X28%3.23228%3.21

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.02	1.83	4.1%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.95	1.82	6.2%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	1.91	1.77	8.9%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Best of all books	2.02	1.83	4.1%
Average	1.94	1.79	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.73	1.98	8.3%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.75	1.97	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Wanderers 10%Draw 45%Progreso 45%

The statistical model rates Wanderers at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Progreso at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.08 | 3.23 | 3.21, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Wanderers are 7th (50 pts, 41-42 goals), Progreso 16th (32 pts, 30-47).

Over their last five matches, Wanderers averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Progreso averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Progreso.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	3.25	3.24

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.65	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.55	2.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
2.73	2.13	3.84

2nd half

1	X	2
2.47	2.39	3.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.31	13.7	34.2
HT X	5.20	5.04	7.36
HT 2	26.0	14.3	5.42

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.77	10.5	2.22

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.15
1.5	1.29	3.32
2.5	1.94	1.79
3.5	3.38	1.28
4.5	6.75	1.08
5.5	13.6	1.03
6.5	23.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.02	8.30
1.25	1.13	4.50
1.75	1.32	2.89
2	1.47	2.51
2.25	1.69	2.03
2.75	2.19	1.60
3	2.65	1.42
3.25	2.93	1.32
3.75	4.11	1.16
4	5.75	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.24	1.30
-0.75	2.47	1.48
-0.5	2.13	1.69
-0.25	1.81	1.91
0	1.54	2.35
+0.25	1.39	2.76

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	8.60	1.01
-2	8.10	1.02
-1.75	5.37	1.11
-1.5	4.05	1.19
-1.25	3.68	1.24
+0.5	1.33	3.34
+0.75	1.20	4.09
+1	1.08	6.17
+1.25	1.06	6.73
+1.5	1.05	7.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.13	4.70
7.5	1.32	3.02
8.5	1.61	2.18
9.5	2.01	1.71
10.5	2.67	1.41
11.5	3.80	1.22
12.5	5.20	1.10

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.35	2.79
8	1.42	2.69
8.25	1.49	2.37
8.75	1.68	2.06
9	1.87	1.92
9.25	1.86	1.78
9.75	2.12	1.58
10	2.31	1.56

Next Primera División matches

25 Oct	Atletico Torque – Cerro
25 Oct	Cerro Largo – Boston River

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

24 Oct	Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Danubio
24 Oct	Defensor Sporting 3-3 Racing Montevideo
24 Oct	Central Espanol 1-3 Albion FC
23 Oct	Juventud 0-0 Penarol
19 Oct	Club Nacional 3-2 Deportivo Maldonado
18 Oct	Liverpool Montevideo 1-0 Penarol