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Atletico Torque vs Cerro• Primera División, Uruguay

#40.6:1.416:00Today · Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo1.0:1.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57WHX4.20DAF26.00DAFMargin at best4.2%Books9Markets68Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 00:38 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.564.206.004.6%
Pinnacle1.574.025.845.7%
William Hill1.573.755.508.5%
BetVictor1.503.905.759.7%
Betano1.553.805.2010.1%
1xBet1.493.845.7510.5%
Bet3651.533.605.5011.3%
Marathonbet1.483.845.5011.8%
Betfair1.473.905.5011.9%
Best of all books1.574.206.004.2%
Average1.523.875.629.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico TorqueCerro
Last 10#4Table position#121.73Points per game1.126Form pts · last 550.6Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.438Attack rating6350Defence rating5044Form rating5671H2H rating2970Goals model3056Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 01:10 UTC

Atletico Torque

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

21 OctHAtletico-MG2-0W
18 OctAAlbion FC1-2L
14 OctAAtletico-MG0-3L
9 OctHDanubio1-0W
5 OctAClub Nacional0-2L
30 SepHPenarol1-1D
27 SepHDeportivo Maldonado0-2L
24 SepHAtenas3-3D
21 SepACentral Espanol4-1W
18 SepHCienciano3-0W

Cerro

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

16 OctHCerro Largo1-1D
10 OctADefensor Sporting3-2W
4 OctHWanderers0-2L
27 SepAJuventud0-0D
23 SepHDeportivo Maldonado1-2L
19 SepHPenarol1-2L
13 SepAProgreso3-1W
10 SepHCerrito0-2L
6 SepHRacing Montevideo1-0W
1 SepAWanderers1-1D

Head to head

4Atletico Torque wins
4draws
1Cerro wins

9 meetings · goals 12:7 · last 9: 4W 4D 1L for Atletico Torque

19 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónCerro1-1Atletico Torque
18 Oct 2025Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraAtletico Torque1-2Cerro
20 Apr 2025Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaCerro1-2Atletico Torque
18 Nov 2023Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraAtletico Torque1-0Cerro
16 Apr 2023Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaCerro0-2Atletico Torque
31 Jan 2021Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraCerro1-3Atletico Torque
7 Mar 2020Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaAtletico Torque1-1Cerro
21 Oct 2018Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraAtletico Torque0-0Cerro
21 Apr 2018Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaCerro1-1Atletico Torque

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Atletico Torque sit 4th with 57 points from 33 games, while Cerro are 12th with 37 points from 33.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Penarol34198751:27+2464
2Deportivo Maldonado33178852:31+2159
3Club Nacional331841151:40+1158
4Atletico Torque331761054:39+1557
5Racing Montevideo341512742:30+1257
6Liverpool Montevideo331411844:31+1353
7Wanderers331481141:42-150
8Albion FC341371447:44+346
9Juventud3410111337:41-441
10Central Espanol341081633:47-1438
11Boston River331071633:43-1037
12Cerro331071627:48-2137
13Defensor Sporting348121433:43-1036
14Cerro Largo338101530:38-834
15Danubio336141327:41-1432
16Progreso33951930:47-1732

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.53X24%3.88216%5.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0124 Oct 19:001 1.53X 3.882 5.60
11.48 → 1.53 +3.4%X3.93 → 3.88 -1.3%25.96 → 5.60 -6.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.931.885.0%
Bet3651.901.905.3%
Betano1.881.886.4%
Betfair1.851.858.1%
BetVictor1.841.839.0%
1xBet1.851.829.0%
Marathonbet1.851.829.0%
Best of all books1.931.904.4%
Average1.871.857.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.911.837.0%
William Hill1.911.837.0%
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betano1.931.788.0%
BetVictor1.931.788.0%
1xBet1.911.788.5%
Marathonbet1.911.769.2%
Best of all books1.931.836.5%
Average1.921.797.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico Torque 45%Draw 45%Cerro 10%

The statistical model rates Atletico Torque at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cerro at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 3.88 | 5.60, which imply roughly 65.4% for a Atletico Torque win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Atletico Torque are 4th (57 pts, 54-39 goals), Cerro 12th (37 pts, 27-48).

Over their last five matches, Atletico Torque averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Cerro averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atletico Torque or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.523.875.62

Double chance

1XX212
1.112.331.21

Draw no bet

12
1.194.28

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.921.79

1st half

1X2
2.072.255.83

2nd half

1X2
1.882.575.30

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.2815.850.6
HT X4.175.8011.9
HT 223.016.89.90

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4610.83.06

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.70
1.51.273.47
2.51.871.85
3.53.191.31
4.56.271.09
5.512.01.03
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.82
11.018.30
1.251.134.61
1.751.322.93
21.432.61
2.251.642.11
2.752.101.64
32.521.46
3.252.821.34
3.753.851.19
45.251.09
4.255.651.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.531.46
-1.252.231.58
-11.931.81
-0.751.662.09
-0.51.542.41
-0.251.362.93
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.151.02
-2.756.301.08
-2.54.831.13
-2.254.431.16
-24.201.19
-1.753.071.33
01.184.35
+0.251.134.88
+0.51.135.90
+0.751.047.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.164.47
7.51.332.96
8.51.642.15
9.52.021.71
10.52.681.41
11.53.501.23
12.55.101.10
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.322.92
8.251.462.45
8.751.642.12
91.871.90
9.251.821.82
9.752.061.62
102.321.56

Next Primera División matches

25 OctWanderers – Progreso
25 OctCerro Largo – Boston River

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

24 OctDeportivo Maldonado 2-1 Danubio
24 OctDefensor Sporting 3-3 Racing Montevideo
24 OctCentral Espanol 1-3 Albion FC
23 OctJuventud 0-0 Penarol
19 OctClub Nacional 3-2 Deportivo Maldonado
18 OctLiverpool Montevideo 1-0 Penarol