Deportivo Maldonado vs 
Danubio• Primera División, Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 20:32 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 4.9% |
| Pinnacle | 1.86 | 3.62 | 4.20 | 5.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 7.7% |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 9.3% |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.70 | 10.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.34 | 3.89 | 10.6% |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.34 | 3.80 | 11.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 3.62 | 4.20 | 2.7% |
| Average | 1.87 | 3.37 | 3.87 | 9.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:12 UTC
Deportivo Maldonado
7W 1D 2L · goals 22:8 · per match 2.2 for, 0.8 against
| 19 Oct | A | Club Nacional | 2-3 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Albion FC | 4-1 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Liverpool Montevideo | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Oct | H | Central Espanol | 3-0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Atletico Torque | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Cerro | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Cerro Largo | 2-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Defensor Sporting | 0-1 | L |
| 9 Sep | H | Wanderers | 4-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Wanderers | 2-0 | W |
Danubio
3W 3D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against
| 18 Oct | H | Central Espanol | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Central Espanol | 6-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | Atletico Torque | 0-1 | L |
| 4 Oct | H | Cerro Largo | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Defensor Sporting | 0-1 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Penarol | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Wanderers | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Juventud | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | Penarol | 0-4 | L |
| 1 Sep | A | Atletico Torque | 0-2 | L |
Head to head
10 meetings · goals 12:14 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Deportivo Maldonado
| 18 May 2026Primera División | Primera División | Deportivo Maldonado3-1Danubio |
| 19 Apr 2026Primera División | Primera División | Danubio1-1Deportivo Maldonado |
| 2 Dec 2024Primera División - Clausura | Primera División - Clausura | Deportivo Maldonado3-1Danubio |
| 3 Jun 2024Primera División - Apertura | Primera División - Apertura | Danubio1-1Deportivo Maldonado |
| 6 Nov 2023Primera División - Clausura | Primera División - Clausura | Deportivo Maldonado1-2Danubio |
| 25 Mar 2023Primera División - Apertura | Primera División - Apertura | Danubio4-0Deportivo Maldonado |
| 7 Aug 2022Primera División - Clausura | Primera División - Clausura | Danubio0-0Deportivo Maldonado |
| 15 Feb 2022Primera División - Apertura | Primera División - Apertura | Deportivo Maldonado1-2Danubio |
| 23 Mar 2021Primera División - Clausura | Primera División - Clausura | Danubio2-2Deportivo Maldonado |
| 6 Oct 2020Primera División - Apertura | Primera División - Apertura | Deportivo Maldonado0-0Danubio |
Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 24 Oct 23:10 UTC
In the Primera División table, Deportivo Maldonado sit 2nd with 59 points from 33 games, while Danubio are 15th with 32 points from 33.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 64 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 52:31 | +21 | 59 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 51:40 | +11 | 58 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:39 | +15 | 57 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:30 | +12 | 57 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 44:31 | +13 | 53 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:41 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | Boston River | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 37 |
| 12 | Cerro | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 37 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Danubio | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27:41 | -14 | 32 |
| 16 | Progreso | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30:47 | -17 | 32 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 1.83 | 4.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Betano | 1.98 | 1.80 | 6.1% |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 1.75 | 8.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 1.78 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 1.75 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 1.75 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.02 | 1.85 | 3.6% |
| Average | 1.95 | 1.79 | 7.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.78 | 1.93 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 1.88 | 8.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 1.85 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.81 | 1.93 | 7.1% |
| Average | 1.80 | 1.90 | 8.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Deportivo Maldonado at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Danubio at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.37 | 3.87, which imply roughly 53.5% for a Deportivo Maldonado win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd (59 pts, 52-31 goals), Danubio 15th (32 pts, 27-41).
Over their last five matches, Deportivo Maldonado averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Danubio averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Deportivo Maldonado or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Deportivo Maldonado
3-4-3Coach: Gabriel Di Noia
Goalkeeper
- 1A. Freitas
Defence
- 2N. Fuica
- 4Juan Martín Ginzo
- 19F. Tealde
Midfield
- 5L. Núñez
- 28S. Cartagena
- 20S. Tormo
- 14C. Tabó
Attack
- 17Santiago Ramírez
- 10A. M. Noble Sequeira
- 16R. César
Substitutes (10)
- 42J. Fernández
- 34N. Forastiero
- 15S. González
- 30L. Ibanez
- 11G. López
- 31F. Marino
- 29E. Mozzone
- 32H. Petryk
- 27G. Sosa
- 23A. Vila
Danubio
4-3-1-2Coach: L. Rocco
Goalkeeper
- 1M. Goicoechea
Defence
- 4M. Rinaldi
- 19M. Brasil
- 3G. Rodriguez
- 6L. Sosa
Midfield
- 5J. Millán
- 10M. Peralta
- 7E. Cabrera
Attack
- 28E. Femia
- 14Bautista Pereira
- 77B. Tomatis
Substitutes (10)
- 2E. Velázquez
- 80C. Tizón
- 8S. Rodríguez
- 32K. Martínez
- 33D. Garcia
- 15E. Figueroa
- 20M. Ferreira
- 30S. Fernández
- 27I. Costantino
- 25Felipe Cabrera
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.87 | 3.37 | 3.87 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 1.81 | 1.27 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.38 | 2.85 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.80 | 1.90 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.46 | 2.12 | 4.52 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.24 | 2.41 | 4.00 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.95 | 14.1 | 38.4 |
| HT X | 4.73 | 5.06 | 8.39 |
| HT 2 | 25.0 | 14.9 | 6.60 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | 9.40 | 2.55 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 8.83 |
| 1.5 | 1.29 | 3.27 |
| 2.5 | 1.95 | 1.79 |
| 3.5 | 3.40 | 1.28 |
| 4.5 | 6.72 | 1.08 |
| 5.5 | 13.1 | 1.03 |
| 6.5 | 23.5 | 1.01 |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.02 | 8.20 |
| 1 | 1.03 | 7.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.15 | 4.26 |
| 1.75 | 1.38 | 2.75 |
| 2 | 1.48 | 2.46 |
| 2.25 | 1.72 | 2.01 |
| 2.75 | 2.20 | 1.59 |
| 3 | 2.70 | 1.41 |
| 3.25 | 2.98 | 1.31 |
| 3.75 | 4.16 | 1.16 |
| 4 | 5.75 | 1.07 |
| 4.25 | 6.15 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 2.98 | 1.35 |
| -1 | 2.65 | 1.44 |
| -0.75 | 2.09 | 1.66 |
| -0.5 | 1.86 | 1.91 |
| -0.25 | 1.59 | 2.22 |
| 0 | 1.36 | 2.91 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7.00 | 1.06 |
| -2.25 | 6.57 | 1.07 |
| -2 | 6.10 | 1.08 |
| -1.75 | 4.22 | 1.17 |
| -1.5 | 3.34 | 1.28 |
| +0.25 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
| +0.5 | 1.23 | 4.08 |
| +0.75 | 1.12 | 5.10 |
| +1 | 1.02 | 7.80 |
| +1.25 | 1.01 | 8.30 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 8.80 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.03 | 6.50 |
| 6.5 | 1.19 | 3.91 |
| 7.5 | 1.40 | 2.65 |
| 8.5 | 1.72 | 2.02 |
| 9.5 | 2.19 | 1.61 |
| 10.5 | 2.99 | 1.32 |
| 11.5 | 4.32 | 1.13 |
| 12.5 | 6.70 | 1.02 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.75 | 1.04 | 6.21 |
| 6 | 1.05 | 5.92 |
| 6.25 | 1.11 | 4.58 |
| 6.75 | 1.20 | 3.61 |
| 7 | 1.23 | 3.40 |
| 7.25 | 1.32 | 2.91 |
| 7.75 | 1.47 | 2.44 |
| 8 | 1.51 | 2.44 |
| 8.25 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| 8.75 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| 9 | 1.95 | 1.82 |
| 9.25 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| 9.75 | 2.42 | 1.48 |
| 10 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
| 10.25 | 2.84 | 1.34 |
| 10.75 | 3.37 | 1.24 |
| 11 | 3.94 | 1.16 |
| 11.25 | 4.13 | 1.15 |
| 11.75 | 5.06 | 1.08 |
| 12 | 6.25 | 1.04 |
| 12.25 | 6.47 | 1.03 |
Next Primera División matches
| 25 Oct | Wanderers – Progreso |
| 25 Oct | Atletico Torque – Cerro |
| 25 Oct | Cerro Largo – Boston River |