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Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo• Primera División, Uruguay

#131.4:2.03-3FT24/10 · Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo0.8:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.15DAFX3.30DAF22.41PINMargin at best3.5%Books9Markets73Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.073.202.444.8%
Dafabet3.103.252.375.2%
BetVictor3.003.102.387.6%
William Hill2.903.002.409.5%
Betano2.953.052.3010.2%
1xBet2.963.022.2910.6%
Betfair2.803.102.3011.5%
Marathonbet2.893.022.2711.8%
Bet3652.883.002.2512.5%
Best of all books3.103.252.444.0%
Average2.953.082.339.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Defensor SportingRacing Montevideo
Last 10#13Table position#51.06Points per game1.683Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 50.82.0Goals against · last 51.064Attack rating3633Defence rating6743Form rating5785H2H rating1541Goals model5958Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Defensor Sporting

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

17 OctABoston River0-1L
10 OctHCerro2-3L
3 OctAAlbion FC2-3L
30 SepHPlaza Colonia0-1L
27 SepHDanubio1-0W
20 SepAClub Nacional2-3L
13 SepHDeportivo Maldonado1-0W
9 SepACerro Largo1-1D
6 SepACentral Espanol1-1D
29 AugHAtletico Torque1-3L

Racing Montevideo

3W 1D 6L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

17 OctHWanderers3-0W
11 OctAJuventud0-2L
4 OctHPenarol0-1L
26 SepAProgreso1-2L
20 SepALiverpool Montevideo0-0D
17 SepAJuventud0-3L
12 SepHBoston River3-2W
9 SepHCentral Espanol2-4L
6 SepACerro0-1L
3 SepAOriental2-1W

Head to head

20Defensor Sporting wins
6draws
5Racing Montevideo wins

31 meetings · goals 54:26 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Defensor Sporting

30 May 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónRacing Montevideo0-0Defensor Sporting
18 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónRacing Montevideo1-1Defensor Sporting
17 Aug 2025Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraRacing Montevideo0-1Defensor Sporting
16 Feb 2025Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaDefensor Sporting2-0Racing Montevideo
24 Oct 2024Copa UruguayCopa UruguayDefensor Sporting1-0Racing Montevideo
13 Sep 2024Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraDefensor Sporting1-2Racing Montevideo
22 Jun 2024Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaRacing Montevideo0-1Defensor Sporting
2 Mar 2024Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaRacing Montevideo1-2Defensor Sporting
11 Nov 2023Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraDefensor Sporting3-0Racing Montevideo
3 Apr 2023Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaRacing Montevideo0-1Defensor Sporting

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Defensor Sporting sit 13th with 36 points from 34 games, while Racing Montevideo are 5th with 57 points from 34.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Penarol34198751:27+2464
2Deportivo Maldonado33178852:31+2159
3Club Nacional331841151:40+1158
4Atletico Torque331761054:39+1557
5Racing Montevideo341512742:30+1257
6Liverpool Montevideo331411844:31+1353
7Wanderers331481141:42-150
8Albion FC341371447:44+346
9Juventud3410111337:41-441
10Central Espanol341081633:47-1438
11Boston River331071633:43-1037
12Cerro331071627:48-2137
13Defensor Sporting348121433:43-1036
14Cerro Largo338101530:38-834
15Danubio336141327:41-1432
16Progreso33951930:47-1732

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.93X30%3.09239%2.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Oct 00:0022 Oct 15:011 2.93X 3.092 2.33
12.59 → 2.93 +13.1%X2.98 → 3.09 +3.7%22.62 → 2.33 -11.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.311.634.6%
Bet3652.251.626.2%
Betano2.251.626.2%
Betfair2.201.608.0%
BetVictor2.151.609.0%
1xBet2.181.589.2%
Marathonbet2.181.589.2%
Best of all books2.311.634.6%
Average2.221.607.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.877.0%
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betano1.911.807.9%
BetVictor1.901.808.2%
1xBet1.881.818.4%
William Hill1.851.838.7%
Marathonbet1.881.789.4%
Best of all books1.911.875.8%
Average1.891.818.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Defensor Sporting 45%Draw 45%Racing Montevideo 10%

The statistical model rated Defensor Sporting at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Racing Montevideo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.93 | 3.09 | 2.33, which imply roughly 34.1% for a Defensor Sporting win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Defensor Sporting are 13th (36 pts, 33-43 goals), Racing Montevideo 5th (57 pts, 42-30).

Over their last five matches, Defensor Sporting averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Racing Montevideo averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Defensor Sporting or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Defensor Sporting

Coach: A. Rodríguez

Goalkeeper

  • 12K. Dawson

Defence

  • 11L. Agazzi
  • 14francisco sorondo
  • 4G. Rodriguez
  • 2E. Elizalde
  • 3G. de los Santos

Midfield

  • 8Nicolás Andrés Wunsch Tomás
  • 18Lorenzo Cafaro
  • 5G. Barrios

Attack

  • 22A. Torterolo
  • 99Lautaro Navarro
Substitutes (10)
  • 29T. Pozzo
  • 6Bruno Pereira
  • 9J. Neris
  • 26B. Montenegro
  • 1L. Machado
  • 15A. Frugone
  • 30E. Cuello
  • 20Mateo Caballero
  • 10Xavier biscayzacu
  • 25Diego Abella

Racing Montevideo

Coach: C. Chambian

Goalkeeper

  • 12F. Varese

Defence

  • 13Abdulkadir Ceri
  • 4G. Cotugno
  • 17R. Ferreira
  • 29F. González
  • 37Y. Oyarzo

Midfield

  • 34A. De la Cuesta Airoldi
  • 5Juan Bosca
  • 10E. da Silva

Attack

  • 9E. da Silva
  • 18T. Habib
Substitutes (10)
  • 20E. Bentancor
  • 3R. Brazionis
  • 22Thiago Fernandez
  • 30R. Gadea
  • 8L. Loprete
  • 1F. Machado
  • 23N. Sosa
  • 11F. Suárez
  • 27Matias Unyicio
  • 39Á. Vázquez

Match Statistics

Defensor SportingRacing Montevideo
3Yellow Cards2
0Free Kicks0
4Shots on Goal6
3Corner Kicks3
1Red Cards0
40%Ball Possession60%
4Shots off Goal10
0Blocked Shots0
8Total Shots16

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.953.082.33

Double chance

1XX212
1.521.341.31

Draw no bet

12
2.101.67

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.891.81

1st half

1X2
3.691.993.05

2nd half

1X2
3.342.272.71

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.9014.529.6
HT X6.524.475.40
HT 235.214.33.86

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.217.701.86

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.65
1.51.392.79
2.52.221.60
3.54.131.20
4.58.201.05
5.516.91.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.046.75
11.066.10
1.251.213.58
1.751.492.43
21.662.09
2.251.931.78
2.752.571.44
33.281.25
3.253.591.21
3.755.101.10
47.301.03
4.257.701.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.031.38
-0.252.501.47
02.111.66
+0.251.741.99
+0.51.582.33
+0.751.392.79
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.701.01
-1.56.631.07
-1.256.081.08
-15.581.10
-0.753.701.23
+11.223.89
+1.251.184.41
+1.51.144.72
+1.751.086.33
+21.029.20

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.97
6.51.154.43
7.51.332.94
8.51.652.13
9.52.031.70
10.52.701.40
11.53.491.22
12.55.141.08
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.68
61.036.38
6.251.104.88
6.751.124.46
71.144.22
7.251.223.48
7.751.332.87
81.402.69
8.251.482.41
8.751.662.09
91.831.92
9.251.861.84
9.752.101.65
102.281.56
10.252.401.48
10.752.791.35
113.161.27
11.253.321.24
11.753.981.16
124.751.10
12.254.951.09

Next Primera División matches

25 OctWanderers – Progreso
25 OctAtletico Torque – Cerro
25 OctCerro Largo – Boston River

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

24 OctDeportivo Maldonado 2-1 Danubio
24 OctCentral Espanol 1-3 Albion FC
23 OctJuventud 0-0 Penarol
19 OctClub Nacional 3-2 Deportivo Maldonado
18 OctLiverpool Montevideo 1-0 Penarol
18 OctDanubio 1-0 Central Espanol