OddsFilter
Live

Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo• Primera División, Uruguay

#42.2:0.80-1FT25/10 · Gran Parque Central, Montevideo1.4:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.08PINX3.48PIN23.60DAFMargin at best4.6%Books10Markets64Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 20:17 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.093.443.574.9%
Dafabet2.073.453.605.1%
BetVictor2.003.403.508.0%
William Hill2.053.253.409.0%
Betano2.023.253.3510.1%
Bet3651.953.303.5010.2%
1xBet1.963.263.4610.6%
Marathonbet1.943.263.3811.8%
Betfair1.953.303.3011.9%
SBO1.943.073.2514.9%
Best of all books2.093.453.604.6%
Average2.003.303.439.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
Last 10#4Table position#61.71Points per game1.6515Form pts · last 5132.2Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 50.861Attack rating3950Defence rating5058Form rating4293H2H rating751Goals model4964Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 14:41 UTC

Club Nacional

8W 2D 0L · goals 21:9 · per match 2.1 for, 0.9 against

19 OctHDeportivo Maldonado3-2W
15 OctHRentistas3-0W
11 OctACentral Espanol1-0W
5 OctHAtletico Torque2-0W
26 SepACerro Largo2-0W
20 SepHDefensor Sporting3-2W
16 SepAProgreso1-0W
12 SepAWanderers1-1D
6 SepHJuventud2-2D
3 SepACA River Plate3-2W

Liverpool Montevideo

7W 2D 1L · goals 14:7 · per match 1.4 for, 0.7 against

25 OctAClub Nacional1-0W
21 OctHCerro Largo1-0W
18 OctHPenarol1-0W
9 OctADeportivo Maldonado1-1D
3 OctHProgreso3-2W
27 SepACentral Espanol2-1W
23 SepHColón3-0W
20 SepHRacing Montevideo0-0D
14 SepAAtletico Torque1-3L
6 SepHBoston River1-0W

Head to head

16Club Nacional wins
7draws
8Liverpool Montevideo wins

31 meetings · goals 50:37 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Club Nacional

19 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónLiverpool Montevideo1-3Club Nacional
20 Sep 2025Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraClub Nacional3-1Liverpool Montevideo
26 Mar 2025Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaLiverpool Montevideo2-2Club Nacional
8 Sep 2024Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraClub Nacional1-0Liverpool Montevideo
15 Jun 2024Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaClub Nacional2-1Liverpool Montevideo
25 Feb 2024Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaLiverpool Montevideo1-1Club Nacional
6 Feb 2024Copa UruguayCopa UruguayLiverpool Montevideo2-1Club Nacional
20 Aug 2023Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraLiverpool Montevideo0-0Club Nacional
23 Jun 2023Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaLiverpool Montevideo3-0Club Nacional
6 Feb 2023Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaClub Nacional2-1Liverpool Montevideo

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 31 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Primera División table, Club Nacional sit 4th with 58 points from 34 games, while Liverpool Montevideo are 6th with 56 points from 34.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Penarol34198751:27+2464
2Deportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262
3Atletico Torque341861057:40+1760
4Club Nacional341841251:41+1058
5Racing Montevideo341512742:30+1257
6Liverpool Montevideo341511845:31+1456
7Wanderers341481241:43-250
8Albion FC341371447:44+346
9Juventud3410111337:41-441
10Central Espanol341081633:47-1438
11Cerro Largo349101532:38-637
12Boston River341071733:45-1237
13Cerro341071728:51-2337
14Defensor Sporting348121433:43-1036
15Progreso341051931:47-1635
16Danubio346141428:43-1532

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%2.00X28%3.30227%3.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

25 Oct 14:4025 Oct 18:301 2.00X 3.302 3.42
11.94 → 2.00 +3.1%X3.33 → 3.30 -0.9%23.62 → 3.42 -5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.041.814.3%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betano2.001.805.6%
SBO1.901.885.8%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
1xBet1.921.768.9%
Marathonbet1.921.768.9%
BetVictor1.881.799.1%
Best of all books2.041.882.2%
Average1.941.816.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.007.8%
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
Betano1.781.938.0%
1xBet1.761.948.4%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.761.919.2%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.761.958.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Club Nacional 45%Draw 45%Liverpool Montevideo 10%

The statistical model rated Club Nacional at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Liverpool Montevideo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.43, which imply roughly 50% for a Club Nacional win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Club Nacional are 4th (58 pts, 51-41 goals), Liverpool Montevideo 6th (56 pts, 45-31).

Over their last five matches, Club Nacional averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Liverpool Montevideo averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Club Nacional or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Club Nacional

3-4-1-2

Coach: D. Carreño

Goalkeeper

  • 22A. Martín Arias

Defence

  • 37Luciano Rodriguez
  • 4S. Coates
  • 5F. Calvo
  • 15G. Martirena
  • 21C. Cándido

Midfield

  • 6L. Boggio
  • 23L. Rodríguez
  • 39L. Gonzalez

Attack

  • 9M. Gómez
  • 29T. Correa
Substitutes (10)
  • 32T. Viera
  • 11M. Silvera
  • 8S. Silva
  • 2A. Rogel
  • 7N. Rodríguez
  • 31R. Martinez
  • 10A. Dos Santos
  • 40J. Bianchi
  • 13E. Ancheta
  • 36B. Zuculini

Liverpool Montevideo

3-4-1-2

Coach: J. Fossati

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Bernatene

Defence

  • 3S. Strasorier
  • 18A. Cayetano
  • 24R. Haller

Midfield

  • 6S. Milano
  • 34K. Lewis
  • 5N. Garayalde

Attack

  • 16Lucas Acosta Moreno
  • 10R. Degregorio
  • 7F. Martínez
  • 19R. Bentancourt
Substitutes (10)
  • 22D. Zabala
  • 25M. Campaña
  • 17Gonzalo de Mello
  • 15S. Laquidaín
  • 9R. Machado
  • 8M. Mir
  • 29E. Olivera
  • 4F. Perdomo
  • 33Joaquin Pintos
  • 27D. Romero

Match Statistics

Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
6Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards5
0Free Kicks0
2Shots on Goal2
60%Ball Possession40%
9Shots off Goal2
0Red Cards0
0Blocked Shots0
11Total Shots4

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.003.303.43

Double chance

1XX212
1.251.731.26

Draw no bet

12
1.462.52

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.95

1st half

1X2
2.592.114.08

2nd half

1X2
2.362.403.71

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.1513.734.0
HT X4.955.107.64
HT 224.514.55.88

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.729.452.35

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.20
1.51.293.30
2.51.941.81
3.53.341.28
4.56.681.08
5.513.11.03
6.523.51.01
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.30
11.037.50
1.251.154.31
1.751.352.79
21.482.47
2.251.712.01
2.752.191.59
32.681.41
3.252.981.31
3.754.111.16
45.701.08
4.256.051.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.971.35
-0.752.321.54
-0.52.021.77
-0.251.732.00
01.472.53
+0.251.352.95
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.901.02
-2.257.401.03
-27.001.06
-1.754.831.14
-1.53.761.23
-1.253.411.27
+0.51.313.49
+0.751.184.37
+11.076.67
+1.251.057.13
+1.51.037.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.124.90
7.51.303.18
8.51.552.29
9.51.951.79
10.52.501.46
11.53.461.25
12.55.001.11
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.251.432.46
8.751.592.13
91.712.04
9.251.811.85
9.752.081.67
102.231.61
10.252.361.48
10.752.461.43
112.591.45

Next Primera División matches

31 OctRacing Montevideo – Cerro Largo
31 OctCerro – Central Espanol
31 OctPenarol – Wanderers
1 NovProgreso – Defensor Sporting
1 NovBoston River – Atletico Torque
1 NovLiverpool Montevideo – Juventud

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

25 OctCerro Largo 2-0 Boston River
25 OctAtletico Torque 3-1 Cerro
25 OctWanderers 0-1 Progreso
24 OctDeportivo Maldonado 2-1 Danubio
24 OctDefensor Sporting 3-3 Racing Montevideo
24 OctCentral Espanol 1-3 Albion FC