Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo• Primera División, Uruguay

#51.4:1.613:00Today · Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo0.8:1.2#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.77DAFX3.60DAF25.01PINMargin at best4.2%Books10Markets81Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 08:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.77	3.60	4.90	4.7%
Pinnacle	1.76	3.58	4.99	4.8%
BetVictor	1.70	3.40	5.00	8.2%
William Hill	1.75	3.30	4.60	9.2%
Betano	1.72	3.35	4.50	10.2%
Bet365	1.70	3.40	4.50	10.5%
1xBet	1.69	3.32	4.72	10.5%
Betfair	1.67	3.30	4.75	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.67	3.32	4.60	11.7%
SBO	1.61	3.13	4.37	16.9%
Best of all books	1.77	3.60	5.00	4.3%
Average	1.70	3.37	4.69	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Racing MontevideoCerro Largo

Last 10#5Table position#111.68Points per game1.094Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 51.264Attack rating3643Defence rating5750Form rating5075H2H rating2576Goals model2462Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 00:12 UTC

Racing Montevideo

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

24 Oct	A	Defensor Sporting	3-3	D
17 Oct	H	Wanderers	3-0	W
11 Oct	A	Juventud	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Penarol	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Progreso	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Liverpool Montevideo	0-0	D
17 Sep	A	Juventud	0-3	L
12 Sep	H	Boston River	3-2	W
9 Sep	H	Central Espanol	2-4	L
6 Sep	A	Cerro	0-1	L

Cerro Largo

2W 3D 5L · goals 6:10 · per match 0.6 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	H	Boston River	2-0	W
21 Oct	A	Liverpool Montevideo	0-1	L
16 Oct	A	Cerro	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Albion FC	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	Danubio	1-2	L
30 Sep	H	Rentistas	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Club Nacional	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Deportivo Maldonado	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Central Espanol	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Defensor Sporting	1-1	D

Head to head

8Racing Montevideo wins

4draws

6Cerro Largo wins

18 meetings · goals 18:18 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Racing Montevideo

17 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Racing Montevideo1-0Cerro Largo
26 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Cerro Largo0-1Racing Montevideo
25 Oct 2025Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Cerro Largo2-2Racing Montevideo
28 Apr 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Racing Montevideo1-1Cerro Largo
5 Oct 2024Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Racing Montevideo0-0Cerro Largo
29 Mar 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Cerro Largo0-2Racing Montevideo
7 Mar 2024CONMEBOL Sudamericana	CONMEBOL Sudamericana	Racing Montevideo2-0Cerro Largo
25 Nov 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Racing Montevideo1-0Cerro Largo
15 Jul 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Cerro Largo2-0Racing Montevideo
21 Apr 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Cerro Largo2-1Racing Montevideo

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 31 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Primera División table, Racing Montevideo sit 5th with 57 points from 34 games, while Cerro Largo are 11th with 37 points from 34.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	34	19	8	7	51:27	+24	64
2	Deportivo Maldonado	34	18	8	8	54:32	+22	62
3	Atletico Torque	34	18	6	10	57:40	+17	60
4	Club Nacional	34	18	4	12	51:41	+10	58
5	Racing Montevideo	34	15	12	7	42:30	+12	57
6	Liverpool Montevideo	34	15	11	8	45:31	+14	56
7	Wanderers	34	14	8	12	41:43	-2	50
8	Albion FC	34	13	7	14	47:44	+3	46
9	Juventud	34	10	11	13	37:41	-4	41
10	Central Espanol	34	10	8	16	33:47	-14	38
11	Cerro Largo	34	9	10	15	32:38	-6	37
12	Boston River	34	10	7	17	33:45	-12	37
13	Cerro	34	10	7	17	28:51	-23	37
14	Defensor Sporting	34	8	12	14	33:43	-10	36
15	Progreso	34	10	5	19	31:47	-16	35
16	Danubio	34	6	14	14	28:43	-15	32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.71X27%3.39219%4.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.77 → 1.71 -3.4%X3.27 → 3.39 +3.7%24.39 → 4.72 +7.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.34	1.62	4.5%
Betano	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
BetVictor	2.17	1.59	9.0%
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Best of all books	2.34	1.62	4.5%
Average	2.24	1.59	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Bet365	2.20	1.62	7.2%
William Hill	2.05	1.70	7.6%
BetVictor	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Betano	2.15	1.62	8.2%
1xBet	2.07	1.66	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.07	1.64	9.3%
Best of all books	2.20	1.70	4.3%
Average	2.11	1.65	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Racing Montevideo 45%Draw 45%Cerro Largo 10%

The statistical model rates Racing Montevideo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cerro Largo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.71 | 3.39 | 4.72, which imply roughly 58.5% for a Racing Montevideo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Racing Montevideo are 5th (57 pts, 42-30 goals), Cerro Largo 11th (37 pts, 32-38).

Over their last five matches, Racing Montevideo averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Cerro Largo averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Racing Montevideo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.70	3.37	4.69

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	1.99	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.11	1.65

1st half

1	X	2
2.33	2.04	5.31

2nd half

1	X	2
2.12	2.31	4.80

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.66	15.3	47.1
HT X	4.32	4.68	9.61
HT 2	26.5	16.2	8.26

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	7.55	2.95

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.45
1.5	1.40	2.75
2.5	2.24	1.59
3.5	4.24	1.19
4.5	8.50	1.04
5.5	18.4	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.50
1	1.07	5.85
1.25	1.23	3.49
1.75	1.51	2.38
2	1.69	2.04
2.25	1.96	1.76
2.75	2.61	1.43
3	3.28	1.25
3.25	3.59	1.21
3.75	5.05	1.10
4	7.10	1.04
4.25	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.14	1.32
-1.25	2.75	1.39
-1	2.38	1.53
-0.75	1.93	1.80
-0.5	1.72	2.07
-0.25	1.47	2.48

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.10	1.02
-2.5	6.43	1.07
-2.25	6.03	1.09
-2	5.60	1.10
-1.75	3.96	1.21
0	1.27	3.45
+0.25	1.21	4.00
+0.5	1.19	4.48
+0.75	1.09	5.95
+1	1.01	9.20
+1.5	1.01	9.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.98
6.5	1.14	4.38
7.5	1.34	2.90
8.5	1.64	2.13
9.5	2.05	1.68
10.5	2.73	1.38
11.5	3.83	1.21
12.5	5.46	1.07
13.5	5.39	1.05

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.68
6	1.01	7.24
6.25	1.07	5.43
6.75	1.14	4.22
7	1.16	4.00
7.25	1.24	3.33
7.75	1.36	2.75
8	1.42	2.60
8.25	1.52	2.33
8.75	1.70	2.03
9	1.86	1.90
9.25	1.91	1.80
9.75	2.16	1.61
10	2.37	1.51
10.25	2.49	1.45
10.75	2.91	1.32
11	3.32	1.24
11.25	3.49	1.22
11.75	4.21	1.14
12	5.06	1.08
12.25	5.26	1.08
13	5.25	1.06

Next Primera División matches

31 Oct	Cerro – Central Espanol
31 Oct	Penarol – Wanderers
1 Nov	Progreso – Defensor Sporting
1 Nov	Boston River – Atletico Torque
1 Nov	Liverpool Montevideo – Juventud
2 Nov	Albion FC – Deportivo Maldonado

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

25 Oct	Club Nacional 0-1 Liverpool Montevideo
25 Oct	Cerro Largo 2-0 Boston River
25 Oct	Atletico Torque 3-1 Cerro
25 Oct	Wanderers 0-1 Progreso
24 Oct	Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Danubio
24 Oct	Defensor Sporting 3-3 Racing Montevideo