Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows• Challenge League, Malta

#140.6:1.015:30Tomorrow2.4:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.711XBX3.70DAF21.86DAFMargin at best7.7%Books6Markets41Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 11:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.70	3.70	1.86	7.8%
Betano	3.60	3.55	1.82	10.9%
1xBet	3.71	3.56	1.79	10.9%
Bet365	3.60	3.60	1.80	11.1%
Betfair	3.60	3.60	1.80	11.1%
Marathonbet	3.62	3.56	1.77	12.2%
Best of all books	3.71	3.70	1.86	7.7%
Average	3.64	3.60	1.81	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Santa LucíaTarxien Rainbows

Last 10#14Table position#10.83Points per game3.004Form pts · last 5150.6Goals for · last 52.41.0Goals against · last 51.020Attack rating8050Defence rating5021Form rating7971H2H rating2929Goals model7145Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:01 UTC

Santa Lucía

2W 6D 2L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against

1 Nov	A	Swieqi United	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	Naxxar Lions	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Fgura United	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Zurrieq	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	St. Andrews	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Vittoriosa Stars	0-0	D
19 Apr	A	Mtarfa	5-1	W
12 Apr	H	Zurrieq	3-0	W
6 Apr	A	Mgarr United	1-1	D
14 Mar	H	Marsa	0-1	L

Tarxien Rainbows

8W 1D 1L · goals 20:11 · per match 2.0 for, 1.1 against

30 Oct	H	Victoria Hotspurs	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Sirens	2-1	W
18 Oct	H	Zebbug Rangers	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Pietà Hotspurs	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Attard	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Mgarr United	3-1	W
10 May	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-2	L
5 May	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	3-2	W
30 Apr	H	Sliema Wanderers	2-1	W
24 Apr	H	Birkirkara	0-0	D

Head to head

4Santa Lucía wins

1draws

1Tarxien Rainbows wins

6 meetings · goals 15:4 · last 6: 4W 1D 1L for Santa Lucía

22 Feb 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	Tarxien Rainbows0-0Santa Lucía
19 Jan 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	Tarxien Rainbows2-1Santa Lucía
13 Feb 2021Premier League	Premier League	Santa Lucía7-0Tarxien Rainbows
20 Oct 2020Premier League	Premier League	Tarxien Rainbows0-2Santa Lucía
9 Feb 2020Premier League	Premier League	Tarxien Rainbows1-3Santa Lucía
22 Sep 2019Premier League	Premier League	Santa Lucía2-1Tarxien Rainbows

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 6 Nov 22:50 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Santa Lucía sit 14th with 5 points from 6 games, while Tarxien Rainbows are 1st with 18 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tarxien Rainbows	6	6	0	0	15:6	+9	18
2	Swieqi United	6	4	1	1	13:9	+4	13
3	Naxxar Lions	6	4	1	1	12:8	+4	13
4	Fgura United	6	3	3	0	12:4	+8	12
5	Pietà Hotspurs	7	4	0	3	13:11	+2	12
6	Melita	6	3	1	2	9:5	+4	10
7	Mgarr United	6	3	1	2	9:7	+2	10
8	Zurrieq	7	3	1	3	7:7	0	10
9	Zebbug Rangers	7	2	1	4	6:12	-6	7
10	St. Andrews	7	2	1	4	3:10	-7	7
11	Attard	6	1	3	2	9:9	0	6
12	Victoria Hotspurs	6	2	0	4	7:9	-2	6
13	Vittoriosa Stars	6	1	3	2	5:7	-2	6
14	Santa Lucía	6	0	5	1	3:5	-2	5
15	Sirens	6	1	1	4	7:12	-5	4
16	Gudja United	6	0	0	6	2:11	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.66X25%3.61250%1.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
1xBet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Betano	1.67	1.98	10.4%
Best of all books	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Average	1.69	2.02	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.08	9.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Average	1.62	2.10	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Santa Lucía 10%Draw 45%Tarxien Rainbows 45%

The statistical model rates Santa Lucía at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tarxien Rainbows at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.66 | 3.61 | 1.81, which imply roughly 27.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Santa Lucía are 14th (5 pts, 3-5 goals), Tarxien Rainbows 1st (18 pts, 15-6).

Over their last five matches, Santa Lucía averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Tarxien Rainbows averaged 2.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Tarxien Rainbows.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.64	3.60	1.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.83	1.21	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
2.69	1.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
4.11	2.23	2.36

2nd half

1	X	2
3.77	2.58	2.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.87	14.7	20.3
HT X	8.33	6.03	4.88
HT 2	30.7	14.0	2.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.39	13.0	1.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.0
1.5	1.18	3.85
2.5	1.69	2.02
3.5	2.70	1.36
4.5	4.95	1.11
5.5	10.0	1.02

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.29	3.04
2.25	1.49	2.34
2.75	1.84	1.80
3	2.14	1.57
3.25	2.42	1.44
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.25	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.74	1.35
+0.25	2.15	1.56
+0.5	1.90	1.80
+0.75	1.65	2.00
+1	1.45	2.47
+1.25	1.34	2.78

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.10	1.02
-1	7.10	1.04
-0.25	3.14	1.27
+1.5	1.27	3.14
+1.75	1.18	3.92
+2	1.08	5.50
+2.5	1.06	6.30

Next Challenge League matches

7 Nov	Gudja United – Swieqi United
8 Nov	Attard – Fgura United
8 Nov	Sirens – Vittoriosa Stars
8 Nov	Mgarr United – Naxxar Lions

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

6 Nov	Pietà Hotspurs 0-3 Zurrieq
6 Nov	Zebbug Rangers 1-0 St. Andrews
1 Nov	Melita 3-0 Sirens
1 Nov	Naxxar Lions 2-1 Gudja United
1 Nov	Fgura United 2-2 Mgarr United
1 Nov	Swieqi United 2-0 Santa Lucía