Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions• Challenge League, Malta

#71.6:0.813:30Tomorrow2.0:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.70DAFX3.80DAF21.83DAFMargin at best8.0%Books6Markets42Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 11:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.70	3.80	1.83	8.0%
1xBet	3.67	3.60	1.79	10.9%
Betano	3.50	3.65	1.82	10.9%
Betfair	3.60	3.60	1.80	11.1%
Bet365	3.50	3.70	1.80	11.2%
Marathonbet	3.58	3.60	1.77	12.2%
Best of all books	3.70	3.80	1.83	8.0%
Average	3.59	3.66	1.80	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mgarr UnitedNaxxar Lions

Last 10#7Table position#31.67Points per game2.1710Form pts · last 5131.6Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 51.044Attack rating5656Defence rating4443Form rating570H2H rating045Goals model5547Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:01 UTC

Mgarr United

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

1 Nov	A	Fgura United	2-2	D
25 Oct	H	Zurrieq	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	St. Andrews	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Vittoriosa Stars	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Melita	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Tarxien Rainbows	1-3	L
18 Apr	A	Zurrieq	2-4	L
12 Apr	H	Gudja United	0-2	L
6 Apr	H	Santa Lucía	1-1	D
15 Mar	H	Vittoriosa Stars	1-1	D

Naxxar Lions

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

1 Nov	H	Gudja United	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Santa Lucía	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Victoria Hotspurs	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Sirens	3-2	W
20 Sep	H	Zebbug Rangers	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Pietà Hotspurs	2-3	L
10 May	H	Mosta	0-1	L
2 May	A	Marsaxlokk	2-3	L
26 Apr	A	Gzira United	0-0	D
19 Apr	A	Hamrun Spartans	0-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Mgarr United and Naxxar Lions on record.

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 6 Nov 22:50 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Mgarr United sit 7th with 10 points from 6 games, while Naxxar Lions are 3rd with 13 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tarxien Rainbows	6	6	0	0	15:6	+9	18
2	Swieqi United	6	4	1	1	13:9	+4	13
3	Naxxar Lions	6	4	1	1	12:8	+4	13
4	Fgura United	6	3	3	0	12:4	+8	12
5	Pietà Hotspurs	7	4	0	3	13:11	+2	12
6	Melita	6	3	1	2	9:5	+4	10
7	Mgarr United	6	3	1	2	9:7	+2	10
8	Zurrieq	7	3	1	3	7:7	0	10
9	Zebbug Rangers	7	2	1	4	6:12	-6	7
10	St. Andrews	7	2	1	4	3:10	-7	7
11	Attard	6	1	3	2	9:9	0	6
12	Victoria Hotspurs	6	2	0	4	7:9	-2	6
13	Vittoriosa Stars	6	1	3	2	5:7	-2	6
14	Santa Lucía	6	0	5	1	3:5	-2	5
15	Sirens	6	1	1	4	7:12	-5	4
16	Gudja United	6	0	0	6	2:11	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.61X25%3.68250%1.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
1xBet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Betano	1.67	1.98	10.4%
Best of all books	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Average	1.69	2.02	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.08	9.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Average	1.62	2.10	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mgarr United 33%Draw 33%Naxxar Lions 33%

The statistical model rates Mgarr United at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Naxxar Lions at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.61 | 3.68 | 1.80, which imply roughly 27.7% for a Mgarr United win versus the model's 33%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Mgarr United are 7th (10 pts, 9-7 goals), Naxxar Lions 3rd (13 pts, 12-8).

Over their last five matches, Mgarr United averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Naxxar Lions averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.59	3.66	1.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.83	1.21	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
2.66	1.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
4.07	2.25	2.36

2nd half

1	X	2
3.74	2.59	2.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.77	14.8	20.3
HT X	8.17	6.10	4.90
HT 2	30.0	14.5	2.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.40	13.8	1.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	10.9
1.5	1.19	3.78
2.5	1.69	2.02
3.5	2.69	1.36
4.5	5.00	1.12
5.5	10.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.30
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.30	2.97
2.25	1.49	2.34
2.75	1.84	1.80
3	2.14	1.57
3.25	2.41	1.45
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.20	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.70	1.36
+0.25	2.15	1.56
+0.5	1.90	1.80
+0.75	1.66	1.99
+1	1.46	2.44
+1.25	1.35	2.74

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.50	1.03
-1	6.70	1.05
-0.25	3.08	1.28
+1.5	1.28	3.08
+1.75	1.18	3.82
+2	1.09	5.30
+2.5	1.06	6.05

Next Challenge League matches

7 Nov	Gudja United – Swieqi United
8 Nov	Attard – Fgura United
8 Nov	Sirens – Vittoriosa Stars
8 Nov	Santa Lucía – Tarxien Rainbows

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

6 Nov	Pietà Hotspurs 0-3 Zurrieq
6 Nov	Zebbug Rangers 1-0 St. Andrews
1 Nov	Melita 3-0 Sirens
1 Nov	Naxxar Lions 2-1 Gudja United
1 Nov	Fgura United 2-2 Mgarr United
1 Nov	Swieqi United 2-0 Santa Lucía