Fgura United vs Mgarr United• Challenge League, Malta

#22.0:0.415:30Tomorrow1.4:1.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20BFRX3.65DAF22.95DAFMargin at best6.8%Books6Markets39Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.14	3.65	2.95	8.0%
Betfair	2.20	3.30	2.88	10.5%
1xBet	2.14	3.36	2.90	11.0%
Betano	2.10	3.45	2.90	11.1%
Bet365	2.10	3.40	2.90	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.12	3.36	2.83	12.3%
Best of all books	2.20	3.65	2.95	6.8%
Average	2.13	3.42	2.89	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Fgura UnitedMgarr United

Last 10#2Table position#62.20Points per game1.8011Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 51.40.4Goals against · last 51.059Attack rating4171Defence rating2955Form rating4564H2H rating3622Goals model7856Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 11:01 UTC

Fgura United

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	A	Gudja United	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Santa Lucía	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Victoria Hotspurs	3-0	W
19 Sep	H	Sirens	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Zebbug Rangers	4-0	W
19 Apr	A	Swieqi United	1-1	D
11 Apr	A	Melita	1-0	W
4 Apr	H	Pietà Hotspurs	0-4	L
15 Mar	A	Sirens	2-3	L
10 Mar	H	Balzan FC	1-2	L

Mgarr United

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

25 Oct	H	Zurrieq	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	St. Andrews	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Vittoriosa Stars	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Melita	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Tarxien Rainbows	1-3	L
18 Apr	A	Zurrieq	2-4	L
12 Apr	H	Gudja United	0-2	L
6 Apr	H	Santa Lucía	1-1	D
15 Mar	H	Vittoriosa Stars	1-1	D
8 Mar	A	Zebbug Rangers	2-0	W

Head to head

2Fgura United wins

1draws

1Mgarr United wins

4 meetings · goals 6:3 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Fgura United

7 Feb 2026Challenge League	Challenge League	Mgarr United2-4Fgura United
21 Dec 2024Challenge League	Challenge League	Mgarr United0-0Fgura United
20 Feb 2022Challenge League	Challenge League	Fgura United2-0Mgarr United
31 Oct 2021Challenge League	Challenge League	Mgarr United1-0Fgura United

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 30 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Fgura United sit 2nd with 11 points from 5 games, while Mgarr United are 6th with 9 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tarxien Rainbows	6	6	0	0	15:6	+9	18
2	Fgura United	5	3	2	0	10:2	+8	11
3	Naxxar Lions	5	3	1	1	10:7	+3	10
4	Swieqi United	5	3	1	1	11:9	+2	10
5	Pietà Hotspurs	5	3	0	2	10:8	+2	9
6	Mgarr United	5	3	0	2	7:5	+2	9
7	Melita	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
8	Zurrieq	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
9	St. Andrews	5	2	1	2	3:6	-3	7
10	Victoria Hotspurs	6	2	0	4	7:9	-2	6
11	Vittoriosa Stars	6	1	3	2	5:7	-2	6
12	Santa Lucía	5	0	5	0	3:3	0	5
13	Sirens	5	1	1	3	7:9	-2	4
14	Zebbug Rangers	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4
15	Attard	5	0	3	2	6:9	-3	3
16	Gudja United	5	0	0	5	1:9	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.13X26%3.42231%2.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Betano	1.78	1.87	9.7%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.80	1.90	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.04	10.0%
Best of all books	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Average	1.64	2.07	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fgura United 45%Draw 45%Mgarr United 10%

The statistical model rates Fgura United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mgarr United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.13 | 3.42 | 2.89, which imply roughly 46.9% for a Fgura United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Fgura United are 2nd (11 pts, 10-2 goals), Mgarr United 6th (9 pts, 7-5).

Over their last five matches, Fgura United averaged 2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Mgarr United averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Fgura United or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.13	3.42	2.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.58	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.07

1st half

1	X	2
2.76	2.16	3.47

2nd half

1	X	2
2.47	2.47	3.22

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.48	13.5	27.5
HT X	5.35	5.40	6.85
HT 2	23.0	13.5	4.65

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	11.5	2.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.0
1.5	1.22	3.50
2.5	1.80	1.90
3.5	2.97	1.30
4.5	5.85	1.07
5.5	11.0	1.01

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.27	3.14
2	1.35	2.74
2.25	1.57	2.16
2.75	2.01	1.67
3	2.38	1.46
3.25	2.71	1.37
3.75	3.72	1.20
4	5.10	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.34	1.24
-0.75	2.53	1.42
-0.5	2.02	1.62
-0.25	1.89	1.80
0	1.60	2.13
+0.25	1.44	2.47

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.03
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.5	4.30	1.15
-1.25	3.84	1.18
+0.75	1.22	3.50
+1	1.09	5.30
+1.5	1.06	6.35

Next Challenge League matches

31 Oct	St. Andrews – Pietà Hotspurs
31 Oct	Zurrieq – Attard
1 Nov	Swieqi United – Santa Lucía
1 Nov	Naxxar Lions – Gudja United
1 Nov	Melita – Sirens

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

30 Oct	Vittoriosa Stars 1-1 Zebbug Rangers
30 Oct	Tarxien Rainbows 2-1 Victoria Hotspurs
25 Oct	Mgarr United 0-1 Zurrieq
25 Oct	Pietà Hotspurs 2-0 Vittoriosa Stars
25 Oct	Victoria Hotspurs 1-2 Swieqi United
24 Oct	Santa Lucía 1-1 Naxxar Lions